Dependable-Making — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

88.4%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$135

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-06 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 94% +$13

Other

36% 84% -$97

Sports

3% 100% +$9

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in November?	No		+126	$126	100¢	$126	$0	11-06 07:44
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-10	-$9	98¢	$-9	-$1	05-14 07:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	1	$126	126	0	+126	No	+$0	10-13 06:27
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in November?	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	11-06 07:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	08-26 09:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	09-08 03:00
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	1	$94	501	0	+501	No	-$94	07-02 06:47
Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	2	$43	23	20	+3	No	+$0	05-14 07:04
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$42	22	20	+2	No	+$0	06-24 05:25
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	2	$42	23	19	+4	No	$0	05-14 07:04
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	2	$40	22	20	+1	No	+$0	03-09 04:45
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$39	20	19	+1	No	+$0	06-24 05:25
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$36	24	12	+12	No	$0	06-16 07:21
will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	2	$36	24	12	+12	No	+$0	06-16 07:21
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	07-16 06:46
will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-16 06:46
will solana reach 160 in july 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-16 06:46
nba chi bos 2026 01 05	1	$25	30	0	+30	Celtics	+$6	01-05 10:26
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$24	13	12	+1	No	+$0	03-09 04:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	1	$24	48	0	+48	Yes	+$24	05-14 07:13
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-06 03:54
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 100 119	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	01-16 03:50
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-06 03:53
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-16 03:51
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-06 03:15
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 20 39	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	01-26 01:59
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 190 214	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	01-26 01:58
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1160 1199	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	01-16 03:51
dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13	1	$18	21	0	+21	Aurora	+$3	08-13 03:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-20 07:19
dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game2	1	$16	21	0	+21	Aurora	+$5	08-13 03:39
dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game1	1	$16	21	0	+21	Aurora	+$5	08-13 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 07:44:46	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in November?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x3630a1…
10-13 06:27:21	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x7b563e…
09-08 03:00:55	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x7e30c0…
08-26 09:13:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xbec4c0…
08-13 03:40:09	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x364cbc…
08-13 03:39:37	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game2	Aurora	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x2b323e…
08-13 03:39:12	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game1	Aurora	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x1e3c41…
08-13 03:38:45	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13	Aurora	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0xf90d8e…
08-13 03:35:54	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	Team Liquid	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x163a6b…
08-13 03:35:33	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x90084e…
08-13 03:35:04	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 game2	Vici Gaming	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x812bd4…
08-13 03:34:36	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 game1	Vici Gaming	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x2a6e34…
07-16 06:46:26	will solana reach 160 in july 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x82b57e…
07-16 06:46:13	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf646a1…
07-16 06:46:02	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2a5b05…
07-02 06:48:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xdf86e9…
07-02 06:47:25	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	501	19¢	$94	0xac158e…
07-02 06:41:20	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x0081c3…
06-24 05:28:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x44cfec…
06-24 05:27:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf6254c…
06-24 05:26:52	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa7f01d…
06-24 05:25:22	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd2d89b…
06-24 05:25:10	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7459b6…
06-16 07:41:06	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb4a6c7…
06-16 07:39:45	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	92	13¢	$12	0x21c412…
06-16 07:21:45	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x623956…
06-16 07:21:34	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2782c0…
06-06 03:15:12	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc267ea…
06-06 03:14:36	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x557cd8…
06-06 03:14:01	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x040ff3…
06-06 03:11:27	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb19d8a…
06-06 03:11:07	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0b5beb…
06-06 03:10:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x784ad4…
05-27 07:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x59a159…
05-27 07:56:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d6ceb…
05-27 07:56:17	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 25-31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa11a0a…
05-27 07:55:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xfcfb9e…
05-20 07:20:51	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x18dfd2…
05-20 07:20:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x48a13a…
05-20 07:19:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcf8fb3…
05-20 07:19:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x05e8dd…
05-20 07:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x19ce40…
05-14 07:15:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0206f…
05-14 07:14:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbcf5b2…
05-14 07:13:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xe37559…
05-14 07:04:22	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9b6e8e…
05-14 07:04:11	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9466a5…
05-14 07:03:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x0bb234…
05-06 03:55:50	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7d41c9…
05-06 03:55:28	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x30f63d…
05-06 03:54:40	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfe33af…
05-06 03:53:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6cf8a0…
04-14 02:47:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0b381c…
04-14 02:47:05	bitcoin above 62k on april 16	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x46cd48…
04-14 02:46:43	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xee60af…
04-03 01:39:09	bitcoin above 60k on april 3	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a15dc…
04-03 01:38:55	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x31f5f0…
04-03 01:38:47	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd33cba…
04-03 01:38:31	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf4da93…
04-03 01:38:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x110618…
03-31 01:21:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8fdceb…
03-31 01:21:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 480 499	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf4c7b8…
03-31 01:21:27	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 300 319	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcda23f…
03-29 03:09:42	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4c697e…
03-29 03:09:28	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6c93fd…
03-29 03:09:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 30	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1354db…
03-29 03:09:02	bitcoin above 80k on march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x30b5f5…
03-29 03:08:50	bitcoin above 78k on march 30	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5093dd…
03-18 01:53:05	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf795b4…
03-18 01:52:57	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 165 189	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe25eaf…
03-18 01:52:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf9f25e…
03-18 01:52:25	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x66347c…
03-18 01:52:11	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a81dd…
03-09 04:51:01	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 190 214	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfe34d5…
03-09 04:50:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a46ad…
03-09 04:50:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x923559…
03-09 04:50:33	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33e583…
03-09 04:50:15	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x45a0e8…
03-09 04:49:55	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa08233…
03-09 04:49:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc231af…
03-09 04:45:27	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf8d235…
03-09 04:45:19	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x7832a1…
03-04 07:10:49	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8e563b…
03-04 07:10:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe39007…
03-04 07:10:19	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf74ccd…
03-04 07:09:55	ethereum above 2300 on march 4	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb77ffe…
03-04 07:09:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0317dd…
02-05 08:12:19	will ethereum reach 2900 february 2 8	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd54670…
02-05 08:12:03	will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x62b672…
02-05 08:11:43	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x930eb0…
02-05 08:11:27	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd504d2…
01-31 01:49:06	will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xff421c…
01-31 01:48:22	will ethereum dip to 2200 january 26 1	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x80314a…
01-31 01:48:00	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x036a63…
01-31 01:47:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 31	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x86dee7…
01-26 01:59:50	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4d8824…
01-26 01:59:32	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x50bbc8…
01-26 01:59:10	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 20 39	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xce17fd…
01-26 01:58:52	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 190 214	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x04bdc6…
01-19 01:36:46	nba cha den 2026 01 18	Hornets	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1dbcf5…