Vigorous-Duel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

5,175

Trades

5,933

lifetime

Volume

$498.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-26 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% -$26,482

Other

2% 80% -$583

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	9	$16.8K	8,853	8,853	+0	Down	+$765	04-30 02:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:40 UTC	3	$7.1K	7,275	3,582	+3,693	Up	-$868	03-12 08:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:20 UTC	5	$7.1K	8,425	8,294	+131	Down	-$1,428	03-13 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:35 UTC	5	$6.5K	4,235	4,180	+55	Up	+$1,074	03-13 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:55 UTC	4	$5.6K	3,485	3,454	+31	Down	+$424	03-13 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:55 UTC	5	$5.1K	8,439	0	+8,439	Down	-$5,120	04-23 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$5.1K	8,493	0	+8,493	Up	-$5,120	04-30 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$5.1K	8,178	0	+8,178	Up	+$3,058	05-11 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:40 UTC	4	$5.0K	8,776	0	+8,776	Down	+$3,736	03-30 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:40 UTC	6	$4.8K	6,360	6,267	+93	Down	-$2,707	03-13 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	8	$4.3K	7,072	0	+7,072	Down	-$4,350	05-11 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:50 UTC	2	$3.5K	4,132	0	+4,132	Up	+$632	03-13 03:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:45 UTC	1	$3.2K	5,989	0	+5,989	Up	+$2,789	03-23 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:20 UTC	4	$3.1K	4,703	4,631	+72	Down	-$2,044	03-13 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 16:30 UTC	3	$2.8K	4,811	0	+4,811	Down	+$2,051	04-08 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 08:00 UTC	7	$2.7K	3,166	3,118	+48	Down	-$544	03-13 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:35 UTC	4	$2.7K	4,161	0	+4,161	Up	+$1,501	04-09 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:35 UTC	2	$2.6K	3,947	0	+3,947	Down	-$2,560	03-30 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$2.6K	3,766	0	+3,766	Down	-$2,560	04-30 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC	4	$2.6K	4,514	0	+4,514	Up	+$1,954	04-03 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:30 UTC	3	$2.6K	4,585	0	+4,585	Up	+$2,025	03-30 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$2.6K	4,139	0	+4,139	Up	-$2,560	05-11 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$2.6K	3,600	0	+3,600	Up	+$1,040	05-05 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:50 UTC	3	$2.6K	3,346	0	+3,346	Up	-$2,560	04-23 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$2.3K	3,342	0	+3,342	Up	-$2,252	05-11 06:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:05 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,901	0	+2,901	Up	+$901	03-13 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 14:35 UTC	2	$2.0K	3,650	0	+3,650	Up	+$1,650	03-11 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$2.0K	3,354	0	+3,354	Down	-$2,000	05-11 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:35 UTC	2	$2.0K	3,893	0	+3,893	Up	-$2,000	03-12 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 07:40 UTC	5	$2.0K	2,258	1,950	+308	Up	-$128	03-13 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x51d9ae…
10-26 08:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd2c51d…
10-26 08:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa1f28d…
10-26 07:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x485f47…
10-26 07:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0df661…
10-26 07:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe7ac80…
10-26 07:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x988fa9…
10-26 07:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3610de…
10-26 07:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb4c6f4…
10-26 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x878234…
10-26 07:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcc3f04…
10-26 07:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x9267c5…
10-26 07:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x664956…
10-26 07:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x83ede7…
10-25 21:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xacda5c…
10-25 21:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x688358…
10-25 21:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x75f3e2…
10-25 21:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcaa540…
10-25 21:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7fae7b…
10-25 21:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf5acb9…
10-25 21:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x776f89…
10-25 21:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb87c9f…
10-25 21:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x42ae9f…
10-25 21:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf93f11…
10-25 21:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6b50e6…
10-25 15:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa078b2…
10-25 15:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb35490…
10-25 15:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7376f0…
10-25 15:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5fb85c…
10-25 15:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x11e82a…
10-25 15:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5bf1fc…
10-25 15:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x12ed72…
10-25 15:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1a9a78…
10-25 15:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb2b943…
10-25 15:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7e9ad0…
10-25 15:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x441171…
10-25 14:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5bfb79…
10-25 14:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa02d89…
10-25 14:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x535798…
10-25 14:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x98630a…
10-25 14:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x57ca42…
10-25 14:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x51eb54…
10-25 14:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd2b0f9…
10-25 14:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x14e309…
10-25 14:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc5b0ac…
10-25 14:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xddc2f4…
10-25 14:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x672060…
10-25 13:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3dfd74…
10-25 13:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x0a7e68…
10-25 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8dee85…
10-25 13:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x41d1ed…
10-25 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdf9b5f…
10-25 13:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4f32d3…
10-25 13:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9e674f…
10-25 13:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8fc214…
10-25 13:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xede38e…
09-24 05:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xaa4db3…
09-24 05:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbc73da…
09-24 05:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e0a28…
09-24 05:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8d6fc3…
09-24 04:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x910e7b…
09-24 04:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x86ebcc…
09-20 13:02:06	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	46	71¢	$33	0x17f661…
09-05 16:41:09	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x1e2faf…
09-05 14:04:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	67	82¢	$55	0xda19d6…
09-04 19:11:36	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xf694bd…
09-01 12:03:16	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-09-01?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xcd78f7…
09-01 11:50:54	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-09-01?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xb15171…
08-31 19:19:28	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x3757fc…
08-30 15:05:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xae3563…
08-29 20:35:24	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xe4c0c8…
05-11 09:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x36e21d…
05-11 06:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	288	51¢	$147	0xf0ad30…
05-11 06:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,718	74¢	$1,265	0x6ccb9a…
05-11 06:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	921	68¢	$629	0x23b34a…
05-11 06:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	703	51¢	$358	0x0d381a…
05-11 06:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	685	59¢	$405	0xcd5d02…
05-11 06:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	800	72¢	$574	0xb646ce…
05-11 06:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,053	88¢	$927	0x987d3f…
05-11 06:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	996	84¢	$836	0x5d08aa…
05-11 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,129	40¢	$450	0xf43fe0…
05-11 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	768	51¢	$390	0x86ff92…
05-11 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	973	43¢	$418	0x42e7e9…
05-11 06:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	667	52¢	$350	0xc6deb4…
05-11 06:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,664	54¢	$906	0xb297f1…
05-11 06:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,690	65¢	$1,094	0x01a869…
05-11 06:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	305	60¢	$183	0x869f16…
05-11 06:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,414	54¢	$760	0x0357ad…
05-11 06:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	278	56¢	$155	0xdc1899…
05-11 06:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	653	53¢	$345	0xb8c232…
05-11 05:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,038	60¢	$622	0xfa9d26…
05-11 05:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0xa1a6e3…
05-11 05:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	636	55¢	$347	0x8c6c88…
05-11 05:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	665	63¢	$418	0x95c1d7…
05-11 05:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,051	48¢	$500	0xc032cb…
05-11 05:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,311	54¢	$704	0xda1c15…
05-11 05:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	596	50¢	$296	0x17bc99…
05-11 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	714	50¢	$360	0x53062b…
05-11 05:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	269	52¢	$140	0xee9d04…
05-11 05:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,715	53¢	$916	0xc8478a…