Realized P&L
+$27.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.56K
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
25
Trades
36
lifetime
Volume
$384.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10.7K
Open exposure
$43.9K
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 07-20 04:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
48%
100%
+$23,741
Sports
39%
100%
+$1,607
Other
13%
57%
+$2,562
Crypto
0%
0%
-$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | -11,905 | -$10,595 | 96¢ | $-11470 | -$875 | 05-26 03:40 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | +11,177 | $10,000 | 98¢ | $11.0K | +$1,004 | 05-01 00:55 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | +11,111 | $10,000 | 98¢ | $10.9K | +$917 | 04-29 03:02 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | +10,811 | $10,000 | 97¢ | $10.5K | +$514 | 04-29 03:00 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win the World Cup? | 1 | $100.0K | 100,517 | 0 | +100,517 | No | +$517 | 06-29 04:02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 2 | $40.0K | 56,620 | 0 | +56,620 | No | +$16,620 | 05-26 02:30 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 2 | $20.4K | 10,467 | 10,467 | +0 | No | +$351 | 04-21 22:41 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $20.0K | 20,829 | 0 | +20,829 | No | +$829 | 06-15 01:34 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | 1 | $10.6K | 0 | 11,905 | -11,905 | open | — | 05-26 03:40 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,753 | 0 | +10,753 | No | +$753 | 05-03 14:43 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $10.0K | 12,259 | 0 | +12,259 | No | +$2,259 | 06-15 01:41 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $10.0K | 11,111 | 0 | +11,111 | open | — | 04-29 03:02 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | 1 | $10.0K | 11,225 | 0 | +11,225 | No | +$1,225 | 05-28 23:54 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31 | 1 | $10.0K | 10,123 | 0 | +10,123 | No | +$123 | 07-01 11:49 |
| Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,365 | 0 | +10,365 | No | +$365 | 06-26 15:00 |
| will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026 | 1 | $10.0K | 10,365 | 0 | +10,365 | No | +$365 | 07-20 04:13 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,811 | 0 | +10,811 | open | — | 04-29 03:00 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | 1 | $10.0K | 11,177 | 0 | +11,177 | open | — | 05-01 00:55 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | 1 | $10.0K | 11,180 | 0 | +11,180 | No | +$1,180 | 04-29 02:56 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,638 | 0 | +10,638 | No | +$638 | 04-29 03:08 |
| trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31 | 1 | $10.0K | 10,086 | 0 | +10,086 | No | +$86 | 06-29 11:55 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $10.0K | 11,030 | 0 | +11,030 | No | +$1,030 | 05-26 04:18 |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,214 | 0 | +10,214 | No | +$214 | 06-21 13:37 |
| Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,176 | 0 | +10,176 | No | +$176 | 06-21 13:38 |
| iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026 | 1 | $10.0K | 10,261 | 0 | +10,261 | No | +$261 | 07-01 11:49 |
| Will Netherlands win the World Cup? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,289 | 0 | +10,289 | No | +$289 | 06-29 04:03 |
| Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,046 | 0 | +10,046 | No | +$46 | 06-21 13:38 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 2 | $6.6K | 3,614 | 3,614 | +0 | No | +$611 | 05-01 00:40 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 2 | $6.3K | 3,553 | 3,553 | +0 | No | +$304 | 04-24 03:35 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | 2 | $110 | 110,000 | 0 | +110,000 | No | -$110 | 06-30 03:31 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | 2 | $110 | 12,837 | 0 | +12,837 | No | -$110 | 07-01 03:26 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | 2 | $110 | 110,000 | 0 | +110,000 | No | -$110 | 06-30 03:31 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7? | 1 | $1 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | Yes | -$1 | 06-03 04:28 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||