Elliptical-Church — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$542

Unrealized P&L

-$134

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

6,848 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$902

$220.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$593

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 06:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 267 days

Categories

Other

67% 47% +$5,405

Sports

30% 45% +$2,137

Politics

2% 48% +$28

Tech

1% 100% +$634

Crypto

0% 100% +$127

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No		+340	$200	88¢	$299	+$99	09-27 00:14
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No		+247	$200	99¢	$245	+$45	11-04 08:30
Luton Town FC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC: O/U 3.5	Over	—	+56	$28	48¢	$27	-$1	11-06 15:01
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No		+626	$208	3¢	$16	-$192	11-07 06:22
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No		+18	$5	30¢	$5	$0	11-05 10:03
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No		+202	$87	1¢	$1	-$86	11-04 14:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	48	$6.7K	4,901	2,642	+2,259	Yes	-$538	05-20 20:25
Exact Score: FK Kudrivka 0 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?	18	$6.4K	3,338	3,338	+0	No	+$224	08-03 17:14
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria	25	$4.1K	4,157	4,157	+0	Tatjana Maria	+$178	06-09 12:49
fif sin far 2026 03 26 draw	60	$4.0K	2,408	1,731	+677	Yes	+$132	03-24 04:33
fif nep hkg 2026 03 26 draw	193	$3.1K	3,211	100	+3,111	Yes	+$165	03-25 15:56
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	90	$3.1K	4,979	0	+4,979	No	+$1,924	07-19 21:11
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901?	13	$3.0K	1,651	1,651	+0	No	-$48	08-23 16:02
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	32	$3.0K	6,500	6,500	+0	Yes	+$1,952	04-28 09:14
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901?	10	$2.8K	1,478	1,478	+0	No	-$22	08-23 15:56
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	13	$2.4K	2,553	0	+2,553	No	+$154	09-26 11:34
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$2.3K	2,188	2,186	+2	Yes	+$317	07-17 11:02
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	67	$2.1K	2,832	222	+2,610	No	+$884	06-14 14:01
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	40	$1.9K	4,488	0	+4,488	Yes	-$1,944	06-21 22:39
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	19	$1.9K	1,056	1,056	+0	No	+$115	05-20 14:11
fif sin far 2026 03 26 sin	27	$1.9K	1,280	613	+667	No	+$37	03-24 02:28
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	22	$1.8K	2,216	0	+2,216	No	+$381	06-28 13:11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	10	$1.8K	0	2,100	-2,100	Yes	-$294	07-26 15:59
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	17	$1.7K	1,873	108	+1,765	No	+$262	05-03 17:53
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	48	$1.4K	2,401	940	+1,461	No	+$923	05-30 18:52
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	9	$1.4K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$634	09-21 03:34
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	23	$1.4K	1,958	23	+1,935	Yes	-$1,322	05-03 17:34
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	14	$1.2K	1,188	98	+1,090	No	+$95	06-07 14:21
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Stade Rennais FC 1901?	6	$1.2K	626	626	+0	No	-$9	08-23 15:58
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	73	$1.2K	1,743	0	+1,743	Yes	-$1,156	06-26 02:09
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	7	$1.1K	1,229	0	+1,229	No	+$125	05-24 15:43
Will Exeter Chiefs win?	11	$1.1K	1,538	0	+1,538	Yes	-$1,062	06-13 15:10
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	29	$1.1K	1,799	26	+1,773	Yes	-$1,015	05-24 20:36
ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	36	$1.0K	1,567	31	+1,536	Tom Nolan	-$4	06-07 01:29
lal osa bil 2026 01 03 draw	2	$999	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	01-03 18:16
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?	22	$973	1,857	245	+1,612	No	+$970	05-31 21:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 06:22:31	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xa6e441…
11-07 06:12:24	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	42	32¢	$13	0xc1f1fd…
11-06 15:01:07	Luton Town FC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	56	49¢	$28	0xc2e9ab…
11-05 18:43:48	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	104	32¢	$33	0xd1d96f…
11-05 12:38:00	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	321	34¢	$109	0xdcde5f…
11-05 10:03:24	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xf0c7e8…
11-05 06:15:10	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x90485c…
11-04 23:00:48	Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Wizards	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x0f1f1a…
11-04 14:54:27	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc480e9…
11-04 09:23:55	bklkl jon ryt 2026 11 05	BC Rytas Vilnius	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xe58fb2…
11-04 08:30:58	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xfc1159…
11-04 08:29:54	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x869133…
11-04 07:03:34	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x2d9bf0…
11-04 07:02:40	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xcb1105…
11-04 06:35:15	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0x1cf67d…
11-04 05:52:27	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xaa1205…
11-04 05:37:37	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xcd883f…
11-04 01:51:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x3e886f…
11-04 01:36:12	Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xc2428d…
11-04 01:25:40	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x8c9c92…
11-04 00:57:00	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x6fb5d8…
11-01 16:10:28	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x662ca5…
10-31 18:28:54	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	31	89¢	$27	0x46f652…
10-31 18:17:43	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xfc8b56…
10-30 13:57:49	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xe02a6c…
10-30 10:46:48	Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-6.5)	Guangzhou Loong Lions	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xf57c13…
10-30 09:22:39	Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-6.5)	Guangzhou Loong Lions	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xad5b91…
10-30 09:22:07	Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-6.5)	Guangzhou Loong Lions	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xd2bd71…
10-30 09:21:04	Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-6.5)	Guangzhou Loong Lions	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa0e087…
10-30 09:19:37	Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-6.5)	Guangzhou Loong Lions	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xb67215…
10-30 09:19:33	Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-6.5)	Guangzhou Loong Lions	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdcd498…
10-30 04:04:13	Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	72	78¢	$56	0x90f386…
10-30 04:04:10	Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x90b508…
10-30 03:47:27	Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x316e9f…
10-29 21:34:31	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x264e2a…
10-29 17:00:43	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	89	85¢	$76	0x004b30…
10-29 12:45:28	Will Australia win?	No	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x9e7bd3…
10-28 22:32:02	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	144	82¢	$118	0x1b8a9c…
10-28 13:59:08	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x22c102…
10-18 14:20:54	Will Exeter Chiefs win?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xb4d6e7…
10-15 13:47:40	SaiPa Lappeenranta vs. HPK Hameenlinna	SaiPa Lappeenranta	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xe431b8…
10-14 18:05:39	bkeurocup cb2 max 2026 10 14 spread home 7pt5	CB 1939 Canarias	BUY	101	47¢	$47	0x193d59…
10-14 00:52:25	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x03801f…
10-13 21:30:15	World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs Australia Champions	England Champions	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x9582ee…
10-13 21:21:34	World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs Australia Champions	England Champions	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x49bdff…
10-13 19:14:37	World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs Australia Champions	England Champions	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa6b3bf…
10-13 15:06:58	World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs Australia Champions	England Champions	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x297056…
10-13 15:06:58	World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs Australia Champions	England Champions	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x128936…
10-13 14:32:34	Spread: Sydney Kings (-10.5)	New Zealand Breakers	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x03ce9d…
10-13 12:02:50	Will Bangladesh win?	No	BUY	87	38¢	$33	0x1ca7d4…
10-13 12:02:34	Will Bangladesh win?	No	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0xaf319a…
10-13 11:54:16	Will Bangladesh win?	No	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xbc08ad…
10-11 15:08:45	Will Jacob Skov Olesen win the 2026 Open de Espana?	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x298023…
10-11 14:23:15	Will Australia win?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf528ae…
10-11 14:21:19	Will Australia win?	No	BUY	90	37¢	$33	0x4e99a3…
10-11 14:21:09	Will Australia win?	No	BUY	91	37¢	$34	0x2bb1b3…
10-11 12:05:09	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xd6ab9e…
10-11 12:05:06	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf9079a…
10-11 04:47:42	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x521cfa…
10-10 17:26:12	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x6556bc…
10-10 16:24:13	Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	51	76¢	$39	0xbb4768…
10-10 16:24:10	Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xbcec35…
10-10 16:22:46	Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	95	74¢	$70	0x517f3e…
10-10 16:22:45	Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	79	77¢	$61	0xfad158…
10-10 14:53:06	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xb699ed…
10-10 14:44:46	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x57c325…
10-10 13:37:33	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	36	43¢	$15	0x6a3ff9…
10-10 13:30:31	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xb41796…
10-10 13:29:19	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x629de8…
10-10 13:27:37	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x557020…
10-10 12:51:16	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x881f13…
10-10 12:27:19	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xec9d63…
10-10 12:21:51	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xf2c400…
10-10 12:21:51	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x2c97d1…
10-10 12:08:06	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xdba046…
10-10 11:18:52	Notts County FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0xeab40e…
10-10 09:25:15	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x1c5fc0…
10-10 02:55:27	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x47b488…
10-10 02:55:08	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x1574f9…
10-09 10:57:52	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe61101…
10-09 10:55:10	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbbfede…
10-09 10:55:10	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x879f8f…
10-09 10:49:30	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	16	72¢	$11	0x7870ae…
10-09 10:09:16	KooKoo vs. Jukurit Mikkeli	Jukurit Mikkeli	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x77f516…
10-09 08:11:25	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	77	95¢	$73	0xd9791f…
10-09 08:09:55	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x4f1055…
10-09 07:36:03	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xb0092e…
10-09 07:31:21	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	199	83¢	$165	0x52086d…
10-09 02:11:11	Oldham Athletic AFC vs. Accrington Stanley FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x4615a5…
10-07 14:24:14	Vaasan Sport vs. Ilves Tampere	Ilves Tampere	BUY	112	68¢	$76	0x1f2f4a…
10-06 22:00:17	Spread: Hornets (-5.5)	Nets	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x56ce49…
10-06 11:47:03	Spread: Hornets (-4.5)	Hornets	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xddd232…
10-06 05:26:45	SC Recife vs. São Bernardo FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	208	96¢	$199	0x029c71…
10-05 17:19:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x8de6ed…
10-05 16:48:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xcddec4…
10-05 16:48:10	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0x2b7cc6…
10-05 16:34:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x902bd8…
10-05 16:34:04	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xb66e98…
10-05 16:33:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xf5fd26…
10-05 16:32:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	51	84¢	$43	0x66b3be…