Slim-Committee — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

173 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$7.64K lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-25 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

67% 47% -$71

Politics

24% 38% +$666

Tech

5% 67% -$37

Crypto

3% 50% +$1

Sports

1% 0% -$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes		+100	$12	1¢	$1	-$11	06-24 09:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$1.2K	714	714	+0	No	+$178	06-25 20:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$482	500	500	+0	Yes	+$362	06-15 04:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$447	345	255	+89	No	+$136	06-25 12:17
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$248	150	150	+0	No	+$48	07-02 06:45
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$158	100	100	+0	Yes	+$34	07-01 03:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$152	500	200	+300	No	+$52	06-01 15:29
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	3	$143	100	100	+0	Yes	+$57	07-21 21:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$128	80	80	+0	Yes	+$29	03-22 13:47
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	5	$126	80	80	+0	Yes	+$33	06-09 17:11
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	2	$113	78	78	+0	Yes	+$43	02-10 18:19
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	3	$112	304	0	+304	No	-$112	07-02 06:15
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	1	$104	149	0	+149	No	-$104	06-20 21:25
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	2	$102	420	0	+420	Alexander Zverev	-$102	06-02 13:33
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$102	200	200	+0	No	+$4	03-04 09:51
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul	1	$100	150	0	+150	Daniil Medvedev	+$50	10-15 14:57
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	1	$100	141	0	+141	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	-$100	10-18 08:53
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur	1	$100	161	0	+161	Novak Djokovic	+$61	10-06 11:39
atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17	1	$100	154	0	+154	Rafael Jodar	-$100	10-17 11:26
ucl aja oly 2026 01 28 aja	1	$100	152	0	+152	No	+$52	01-28 20:19
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	1	$100	233	0	+233	Yes	-$100	09-05 08:06
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	1	$100	147	0	+147	Canada	+$47	06-28 19:57
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$100	116	0	+116	Argentina	+$16	07-07 12:05
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	2	$91	73	73	+0	Yes	+$30	01-20 16:10
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$87	300	0	+300	No	-$87	01-14 20:37
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	2	$86	69	69	+0	Yes	+$52	01-21 20:55
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$86	100	100	+0	Yes	-$52	07-07 03:39
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	1	$80	100	0	+100	Under	+$20	06-22 18:33
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-09-03?	1	$77	100	0	+100	No	+$23	09-03 11:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$77	685	0	+685	Yes	+$608	03-31 12:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	2	$70	100	100	+0	open	—	10-23 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:59:38	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x86a6ec…
10-23 12:01:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xa22cf6…
10-18 08:53:33	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xdb0b9d…
10-18 08:25:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x00ad34…
10-17 18:05:03	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xbe6f5f…
10-17 12:53:44	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Rotherham United FC: Fleetwood Town FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x37b112…
10-17 12:31:05	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Rotherham United FC: Fleetwood Town FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x343974…
10-17 11:26:18	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x8dc79a…
10-15 14:57:14	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x6f0eba…
10-12 05:09:59	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xf8b567…
10-11 18:47:06	ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x175e3e…
10-11 18:03:36	Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. St. Truidense VV: St. Truidense VV O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x7cbe93…
10-11 18:03:09	Rio Ave FC vs. CD Nacional: Rio Ave FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x29d4b9…
10-11 17:57:24	Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. St. Truidense VV: St. Truidense VV O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xb4b1b0…
10-11 15:04:25	Rio Ave FC vs. CD Nacional: Rio Ave FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x306515…
10-11 14:11:18	Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x50cb21…
10-11 12:52:25	Standard Liege vs. Royal Charleroi SC: Standard Liege O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x478a11…
10-11 11:50:15	Standard Liege vs. Royal Charleroi SC: Standard Liege O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0e4334…
10-07 14:59:34	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier	Holger Rune	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x448a9e…
10-06 12:48:30	Nantong Zhiyun vs. Ningbo Professional FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xa9ade9…
10-06 12:30:12	Changchun Yatai vs. Yanbian Longding: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x868100…
10-06 11:39:34	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur	Novak Djokovic	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x580278…
10-04 12:46:58	Bryne FK vs. Lyn 1896 FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xa51ac5…
10-04 11:51:23	Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Granada CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xadcd81…
10-04 10:12:47	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xf2cc06…
09-05 08:06:22	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x897037…
09-03 11:54:40	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-09-03?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x3408a7…
08-31 11:25:03	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x934958…
08-29 13:32:03	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xbd9ffa…
08-28 13:06:22	Will Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xfe0be6…
07-21 21:43:46	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdca25e…
07-19 17:43:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x5ea885…
07-19 14:22:13	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	No	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x26870b…
07-18 18:49:10	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	82	43¢	$35	0x037148…
07-18 18:25:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x094151…
07-16 18:54:56	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x04e0c2…
07-13 20:36:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	98	33¢	$32	0x468429…
07-10 11:15:35	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x820c17…
07-07 12:05:08	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x82fdf3…
07-07 12:04:40	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xfd9296…
07-07 03:39:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xae5f95…
07-06 13:48:52	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xd38cdf…
07-06 11:36:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x984018…
07-05 12:47:10	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x99586d…
07-02 06:45:16	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x054fc1…
07-02 06:41:22	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x3f9a70…
07-02 06:40:37	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	52	53¢	$28	0xb4e06b…
07-02 06:15:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6e02cb…
07-01 20:43:35	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xdab80e…
07-01 19:48:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xbbcecd…
07-01 13:38:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xddf75e…
07-01 03:48:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xeb007f…
06-30 19:36:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa01537…
06-30 19:36:02	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd58457…
06-30 19:28:23	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xe9a598…
06-30 19:18:47	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xc9ce2b…
06-30 18:27:43	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x022c02…
06-30 12:45:50	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x41a8ed…
06-29 19:40:14	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x5e30d2…
06-29 19:14:02	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xfa03c0…
06-29 19:11:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xbf4ac0…
06-29 18:33:28	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xeeb63e…
06-28 19:57:14	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x3f5084…
06-28 06:30:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x6aba48…
06-27 18:12:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x5ef461…
06-26 15:34:31	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 shots erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x21fbff…
06-25 20:16:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	664	95¢	$632	0x2f9e28…
06-25 13:13:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7ec5ff…
06-25 12:17:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xf20d18…
06-25 09:05:14	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdefcb7…
06-25 07:14:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x807e02…
06-24 18:28:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xfc7603…
06-24 09:34:26	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xa7e996…
06-23 20:23:25	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2dfda8…
06-23 18:54:04	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0x3bb2c0…
06-23 18:32:31	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 assists ivan perisic gte1	Yes	BUY	45	30¢	$14	0x82fc8f…
06-22 18:33:28	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xaec56e…
06-22 17:34:31	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xd8fb4e…
06-21 18:28:55	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x775ce7…
06-21 17:10:16	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x735c2a…
06-21 17:06:20	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x56fdd6…
06-21 16:11:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	107	96¢	$103	0x9ecab4…
06-20 21:25:07	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	70¢	$104	0xa83093…
06-20 19:58:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x8c574a…
06-20 19:58:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x3f91b1…
06-19 12:49:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xf68f14…
06-15 18:20:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	382	0¢	$1	0x611ae4…
06-15 18:17:10	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	69	65¢	$45	0x33802e…
06-15 18:15:54	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x0b1823…
06-15 17:13:34	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf78f60…
06-15 07:49:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xa09a7e…
06-15 04:51:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	500	84¢	$422	0x3ca847…
06-13 09:27:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x547a38…
06-10 20:26:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xe90a3c…
06-09 17:11:00	Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	Yes	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x736889…
06-09 05:48:03	Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x7e92a1…
06-09 05:22:42	Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x1801cc…
06-09 05:20:43	Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x2d6850…
06-09 05:20:28	Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xb7c8e8…
06-05 09:40:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xdee136…