(anonymous) 0x5284d4…4827f5
whale bot cold 25L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.19K
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
10.6%
Resolved
1,709
Trades
15,316
lifetime
Volume
$113.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$113
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-13
last 10-27 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
94% 19% -$4,026
Politics
3% 0% -$94
Tech
2% 7% -$61
Sports
1% 33% -$11
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 1687 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +12 $10 95¢ $11 +$1 09-23 02:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +9 $5 72¢ $7 +$1 09-21 18:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +8 $6 79¢ $6 +$0 09-23 18:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 09-23 17:00
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 $0 09-23 20:44
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +6 $4 79¢ $5 +$1 09-23 19:02
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +6 $5 76¢ $5 -$1 09-23 02:17
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +6 $16 72¢ $4 -$11 09-22 15:16
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +6 $4 72¢ $4 +$1 09-23 15:24
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +6 $5 71¢ $4 -$1 09-24 01:54
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 70¢ $4 -$1 09-22 16:17
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 09-20 14:55
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +6 $5 64¢ $4 -$1 09-23 22:55
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? No +6 $5 60¢ $4 -$1 09-23 23:10
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +13 $2 28¢ $4 +$1 09-23 14:13
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +6 $2 59¢ $4 +$2 09-21 18:44
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +6 $4 56¢ $3 -$1 09-21 20:22
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +6 $4 56¢ $3 -$1 09-23 20:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +4 $5 76¢ $3 -$2 09-16 11:36
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? No +6 $2 48¢ $3 +$0 09-23 10:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +6 $13 46¢ $3 -$10 09-22 15:02
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +6 $4 46¢ $3 -$1 09-23 19:32
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +6 $3 42¢ $3 +$0 09-24 01:11
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $3 30¢ $2 -$1 09-22 22:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3 $3 54¢ $2 -$1 09-16 20:31
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +6 $1 29¢ $2 +$0 09-24 00:47
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +6 $4 28¢ $2 -$2 09-21 11:15
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$1 09-18 19:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +5 $2 28¢ $1 -$1 09-21 18:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +6 $2 21¢ $1 $0 09-23 18:24