Fine-Sprag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

442

Trades

843

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

73% 76% +$2

Crypto

21% 87% +$1

Politics

4% 75% +$0

Sports

1% 67% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2000 on july 26 2026	3	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	07-26 03:53
bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	4	$79	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	07-20 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 30?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-29 15:11
bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-24 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-22 10:57
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	08-01 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 19?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-19 17:55
bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-28 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 17?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-17 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	05-15 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 20?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-20 00:07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 24?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-24 11:57
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	2	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	08-24 04:29
ethereum above 2000 on july 24 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 26?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-25 18:22
will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	5	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 18:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 26?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-25 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on July 30?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 07:00
will ethereum reach 1950 on july 23	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 02:41
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 11?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-11 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on July 21?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-21 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 28?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-28 04:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 07:25
ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-23 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on July 28?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-27 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 21?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 22?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:22
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x41056c…
10-18 22:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 19?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc64475…
10-16 09:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x977c4b…
10-13 13:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on October 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xf0caa6…
10-13 09:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x7946f2…
10-12 15:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x571b6b…
10-12 08:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x62d0d0…
10-12 07:36:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xabe091…
10-12 07:25:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xcc88a6…
10-12 05:21:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd0a4d0…
10-12 02:27:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc6028e…
10-10 05:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xfb3173…
10-07 20:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe1b4f9…
10-05 11:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3c17d4…
10-01 23:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8ca0db…
10-01 22:30:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdd3b2f…
10-01 06:38:09	bitcoin above 74k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5dd0b1…
09-28 02:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x677c17…
09-27 21:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x536280…
09-23 21:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xbfebdf…
09-23 21:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x4bbaf2…
09-22 23:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2bd3ef…
09-22 12:15:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0d8536…
09-21 21:21:27	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 58 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e5113…
09-19 10:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x94cece…
09-17 23:59:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d86b5…
09-17 13:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed3710…
09-13 04:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc39336…
09-11 21:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 11?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x880ec1…
09-11 21:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0x39aa5d…
09-11 02:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4c33fc…
09-10 19:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xf228df…
09-07 16:12:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x052786…
09-06 13:00:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xddd35a…
09-06 04:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5e2fca…
09-05 22:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on September 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcc6c2f…
09-05 06:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3d0084…
09-05 00:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 5?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x53d583…
09-04 21:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x31fb26…
09-04 16:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x550e8e…
09-04 11:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe42a9a…
09-04 09:13:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5300e4…
09-03 06:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6b1111…
09-03 03:56:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x161083…
09-02 19:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa392cf…
09-02 12:23:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x77dc41…
09-02 07:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2a0538…
09-01 08:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x74f7f0…
09-01 01:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x513da2…
08-31 05:22:01	Will Google have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x67e2cb…
08-30 22:20:22	will bitcoin reach 83k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x05b06b…
08-30 16:49:31	will bitcoin dip to 72k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb52ffd…
08-30 12:39:39	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xec85b4…
08-30 08:08:07	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7a4dae…
08-29 22:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa962b0…
08-29 13:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3cf26e…
08-29 07:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xca7781…
08-28 10:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xeca038…
08-27 12:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4f605a…
08-27 04:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa18f9f…
08-26 22:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc6ac5a…
08-26 18:43:31	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5281da…
08-26 17:48:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75e387…
08-26 09:59:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc42660…
08-25 10:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xef15e9…
08-25 03:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x4f8be4…
08-24 22:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaa2b1d…
08-24 18:17:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7567a9…
08-24 10:24:13	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8199d9…
08-24 04:29:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9def1a…
08-23 17:10:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x957e97…
08-23 15:22:24	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9f8e2e…
08-14 09:22:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x31537c…
08-13 17:43:13	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 13	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7a1b9e…
08-13 16:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7ce6e5…
08-13 08:44:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab41ce…
08-12 23:21:52	Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2ce38e…
08-12 22:46:33	Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb79105…
08-12 05:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x56243b…
08-12 01:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcb33a9…
08-12 00:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfd2a50…
08-11 22:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7eb241…
08-11 13:07:21	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6801fc…
08-10 23:12:22	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x723279…
08-10 19:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x75c4ca…
08-10 13:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x79f47a…
08-10 11:36:39	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa92580…
08-09 12:06:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x01eeb6…
08-09 11:05:37	will bitcoin dip to 58k on august 9	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x972884…
08-09 04:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 9?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc0e3a5…
08-09 02:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xbeeb0d…
08-08 18:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8425d3…
08-08 07:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb6c6a1…
08-08 01:59:58	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2b0965…
08-07 21:33:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x3496b2…
08-07 16:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb0fe3f…
08-07 11:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6ac39b…
08-07 09:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9a4726…
08-06 06:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5bdc25…
08-06 02:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6020d1…