Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$37

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

102

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$1.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-19 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

55% 99% +$3

Crypto

26% 100% +$1

Politics

19% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+51	$38	2¢	$1	-$37	10-19 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$198	102	102	+0	No	+$0	08-26 16:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$117	59	59	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	2	$104	52	52	+0	No	+$0	08-13 23:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	10-03 04:41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	+$1	10-18 23:22
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$87	51	51	+0	open	—	10-17 09:16
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	08-31 16:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	09-21 20:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	09-14 18:56
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$58	59	0	+59	No	+$0	09-01 05:40
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$58	59	0	+59	Yes	+$1	09-10 14:06
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	1	$58	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	09-03 16:51
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	08-05 12:55
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$1	08-14 00:39
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-17 16:43
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-11 04:08
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	08-20 18:58
will ethereum dip to 2200 in august 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	08-31 20:17
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$38	51	0	+51	open	—	10-19 17:35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	08-31 16:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$26	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 16:41
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	07-31 19:19
will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-30 07:41
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$18	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-30 21:18
will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	03-31 14:14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-30 18:04
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in september 2026	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	09-29 16:15
will chainlink dip to 6 in january	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	01-24 01:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	2	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	09-30 20:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-30 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:35:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	51	73¢	$38	0x867b02…
10-18 23:22:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$47	0x773339…
10-17 15:10:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$46	0xa60771…
10-17 09:16:29	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	51	86¢	$44	0x099012…
10-15 06:36:38	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0xcb31a5…
10-10 19:18:42	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf28a36…
10-04 16:41:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x572440…
10-03 04:41:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xbdbbeb…
10-02 04:36:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0xe7c1eb…
09-30 20:14:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb63bf0…
09-30 17:25:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf4c823…
09-30 10:14:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x5ecac0…
09-29 16:15:39	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x368fec…
09-24 21:18:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xfa296f…
09-23 20:53:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf851ad…
09-22 23:34:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4d09ec…
09-21 20:58:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8a7680…
09-14 18:56:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x305b01…
09-10 14:06:15	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x8b805b…
09-07 13:03:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x498113…
09-06 04:16:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x863361…
09-03 16:51:55	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$58	0x7f9d2b…
09-01 05:40:52	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$58	0x12e6db…
08-31 20:17:55	will ethereum dip to 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xad9f90…
08-31 16:56:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0f5070…
08-31 16:39:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x17fb58…
08-30 03:20:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x879cb8…
08-27 04:37:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xb1bc48…
08-26 16:43:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0xcbaf99…
08-26 14:26:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9e0cf…
08-25 04:14:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x51115c…
08-24 18:40:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x143fd9…
08-23 23:29:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x6a7503…
08-23 20:59:42	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xc71afe…
08-20 18:58:30	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6f3381…
08-20 18:25:04	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0xc7136c…
08-19 17:32:01	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba7b7d…
08-17 16:43:36	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x98ad7b…
08-17 15:42:18	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x55fa96…
08-14 00:39:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x5afd17…
08-13 23:37:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xe46c1f…
08-13 01:57:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xa1c2da…
08-11 04:08:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xd2b668…
08-05 21:21:18	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeac325…
08-05 12:55:30	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x56da0c…
08-04 05:23:23	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x242b24…
07-31 19:19:30	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x2f93fd…
07-30 21:18:54	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xf2e2e5…
07-30 17:43:59	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xea5ab6…
07-28 18:27:50	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa366be…
07-28 18:11:52	will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd9cad…
07-28 00:21:52	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x311d9f…
07-26 10:34:36	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2698ab…
07-23 14:50:58	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c51d4…
07-23 13:28:31	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0361a7…
07-23 10:07:06	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x946dd0…
07-20 17:09:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3d910b…
07-17 10:22:28	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9a43e0…
07-11 02:46:53	will xauusd dip to 3500 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x96e505…
06-30 07:41:23	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x07f601…
06-28 06:25:01	will meta reach 660 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd55c87…
06-28 03:48:10	will meta reach 660 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xa3bf3c…
06-27 00:16:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde0baf…
06-26 23:52:52	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5d49fe…
05-30 18:04:41	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc8c393…
05-09 09:48:03	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8de861…
05-07 08:18:07	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbc7951…
05-06 15:03:04	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x650dcc…
05-06 07:01:08	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa6c62d…
05-05 18:05:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1d3cfe…
05-05 17:11:14	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0e5520…
05-05 12:33:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e7c3b…
05-05 12:18:32	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x055818…
05-05 04:58:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x49b857…
05-05 04:38:30	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2bdebb…
04-23 21:36:56	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc4a96d…
04-22 17:28:28	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xcd5750…
04-21 13:33:08	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe2ffad…
04-21 00:36:54	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9ac48…
04-19 11:50:00	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe83507…
04-18 20:02:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf54bc7…
04-17 07:51:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6c1420…
04-16 12:18:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbefae0…
04-15 05:53:08	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbe3fc3…
04-14 20:27:44	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x730c10…
04-06 09:42:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x3dceaa…
03-31 14:14:09	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x32bf33…
03-30 20:20:47	will chainlink reach 18 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x753482…
03-27 20:17:25	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21aa3f…
03-27 03:32:43	pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3479e7…
03-25 03:51:57	amzn above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98df19…
03-24 16:21:53	amzn above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x192952…
03-22 22:48:39	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa72af…
03-22 06:50:35	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18559d…
03-19 23:16:45	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe2c2a8…
03-18 04:56:35	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe05d90…
03-17 15:30:13	tsla above 470 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2951f6…
03-15 11:12:31	meta above 780 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x093b64…
03-09 19:11:07	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fbd9f…
03-08 06:01:23	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x580c18…