Crushing-Republic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$437

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-30 00:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

47% 88% +$19

Other

39% 100% +$34

Sports

12% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		-444	-$427	98¢	$-437	-$10	10-30 00:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	36	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$11	07-08 07:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	16	$2.5K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	+$10	05-23 10:43
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	8	$2.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	No	+$3	03-18 22:55
will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$1.7K	838	837	+1	No	+$1	02-13 10:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$1.1K	563	563	+0	No	+$0	04-03 02:07
Netanyahu out by June 30?	14	$970	500	500	+0	No	+$3	05-23 09:49
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	5	$817	414	414	+0	Yes	+$0	02-05 03:21
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$595	600	0	+600	Yes	+$5	05-11 13:26
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	2	$435	452	0	+452	Yes	+$17	04-18 11:50
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$427	0	444	-444	open	—	10-30 00:34
will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$418	211	210	+1	No	+$0	02-09 06:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$399	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	05-23 09:50
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	5	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-02 13:51
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$389	200	200	+0	No	+$3	01-30 08:40
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	7	$69	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:34:34	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	444	96¢	$427	0x9f3bda…
07-08 07:48:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$493	0xe8807c…
07-01 11:19:59	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x187d8a…
06-30 10:52:46	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x763e77…
06-30 10:46:05	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x516bf0…
06-30 10:44:34	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x71693b…
06-30 10:17:14	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x5b60de…
06-30 09:44:14	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x22efe5…
06-30 09:35:05	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x7deb51…
06-30 09:21:05	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xadbd51…
06-30 07:49:02	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0e33c8…
06-30 04:50:28	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xdf4523…
06-30 04:15:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbd91d1…
06-30 04:14:25	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x408e9d…
06-30 04:07:32	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	190	98¢	$186	0x2761e5…
06-30 02:31:41	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xaffff8…
06-30 01:11:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc89f1d…
06-30 00:40:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x617d69…
06-22 14:35:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$487	0xe71b96…
06-21 05:53:47	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	416	98¢	$406	0xa591ae…
06-20 15:01:16	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x440fbd…
06-20 14:03:43	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1c82a0…
06-20 13:20:20	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x72a549…
06-20 12:49:01	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc7ac6f…
06-20 12:16:56	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x666dba…
06-18 16:53:43	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xd0f0d9…
06-17 15:43:37	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0x3cb693…
06-15 18:48:34	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	296	97¢	$287	0x63b6c5…
06-14 06:55:22	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	204	97¢	$198	0xd40e0f…
06-11 03:06:00	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	151	97¢	$147	0x516af3…
06-10 06:22:51	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x45ffd3…
06-10 05:29:31	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0e061d…
06-10 03:37:39	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xab30b3…
06-09 21:17:19	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x711c5f…
06-09 05:43:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	190	97¢	$185	0x4e255a…
06-09 05:06:48	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	97¢	$128	0x0df228…
06-07 12:53:39	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0xc2b951…
05-23 10:43:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	488	73¢	$356	0xc7b1c0…
05-23 10:43:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	55	73¢	$40	0x5f654b…
05-23 10:41:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	68	73¢	$50	0xa96942…
05-23 10:41:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0xb43c6f…
05-23 10:38:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x5fc1dc…
05-23 10:37:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x05a33b…
05-23 10:36:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	219	73¢	$160	0x42e463…
05-23 10:36:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x8c9b40…
05-23 10:34:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xd4a31f…
05-23 10:34:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xa1bb76…
05-23 10:33:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xaead9f…
05-23 10:32:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x144781…
05-23 10:31:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	890	72¢	$641	0x31fd70…
05-23 10:22:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	706	74¢	$523	0x9eb1bf…
05-23 10:21:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	104	75¢	$78	0x66bee2…
05-23 10:20:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	810	74¢	$599	0x18d51a…
05-23 09:50:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xc8ed7f…
05-23 09:50:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x875cd3…
05-23 09:49:15	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	305	97¢	$296	0xb218b0…
05-23 09:20:07	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x6ee2da…
05-23 08:56:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	176	97¢	$172	0x0ca6dc…
05-18 07:14:44	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	186	97¢	$180	0xa2735e…
05-18 06:52:34	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xb88287…
05-18 06:52:34	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x36f294…
05-18 06:49:14	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x86249c…
05-18 06:42:14	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x1e68c5…
05-18 06:42:07	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x1f8fd8…
05-18 06:39:52	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb40bf6…
05-18 06:39:37	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x5755c1…
05-18 06:27:50	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x90220b…
05-18 05:05:49	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x3b6e24…
05-18 04:58:31	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	274	97¢	$264	0xaded5f…
05-13 06:42:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xd638f2…
05-11 13:26:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	600	99¢	$595	0x9c46c8…
05-11 02:07:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1e484e…
05-11 02:07:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xef980a…
05-11 02:07:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x68a696…
05-11 02:05:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x609df5…
05-11 02:05:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x052b00…
05-11 02:05:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x128caa…
04-18 11:50:42	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	252	96¢	$241	0x3a97b8…
04-15 05:57:44	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x3219af…
04-03 02:07:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	563	100¢	$563	0xa685c9…
04-01 01:46:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	563	100¢	$563	0xebed6c…
03-18 22:55:35	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	417	99¢	$414	0x57623a…
03-17 01:05:33	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	417	99¢	$413	0xc3afd5…
03-14 08:03:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	213	99¢	$211	0x5d9791…
03-13 00:46:43	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	213	99¢	$210	0xe6d2d6…
03-12 17:53:47	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	212	99¢	$210	0x3c57db…
03-11 00:55:35	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0xdae185…
03-10 11:07:27	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	212	99¢	$210	0xe29cdb…
03-09 03:34:55	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	212	98¢	$208	0x4d31b6…
02-13 10:34:07	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0x99f7d9…
02-13 06:53:37	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	209	99¢	$208	0xa242f5…
02-12 13:07:31	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0xd33b16…
02-12 13:07:05	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x53ddb3…
02-12 13:07:05	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x2e98f3…
02-12 01:31:21	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0xa671aa…
02-11 11:07:47	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	209	99¢	$206	0x9bdb08…
02-11 01:02:15	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	209	98¢	$205	0xbf648d…
02-10 02:02:15	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	210	98¢	$205	0x2f99a7…
02-10 01:18:07	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	213	98¢	$208	0xcb796e…
02-09 06:12:43	will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x7927a8…