Tricky-Meteorology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$548

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

292

Trades

681

lifetime

Volume

$8.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-16 23:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 37% -$494

Politics

2% 0% -$14

Other

0% 0% -$40

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:05 UTC	3	$274	280	261	+19	Up	+$263	04-13 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:25 UTC	2	$200	124	121	+3	Up	+$42	04-14 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:05 UTC	2	$154	104	100	+4	Up	+$49	04-14 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:45 UTC	2	$139	94	92	+2	Down	+$7	04-14 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:30 UTC	3	$137	96	93	+4	Up	+$50	04-13 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:10 UTC	3	$130	366	181	+185	Down	-$34	04-19 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:35 UTC	3	$126	176	75	+102	Up	+$21	04-14 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 17:45 UTC	2	$124	81	78	+3	Up	+$36	04-14 17:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:20 UTC	2	$118	76	74	+2	Up	+$30	04-14 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	8	$114	88	88	+0	Up	+$30	05-16 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:40 UTC	3	$107	1,066	64	+1,002	Up	+$21	04-14 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:25 UTC	2	$104	92	87	+5	Up	+$74	04-14 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:35 UTC	3	$102	78	74	+3	Down	+$48	04-13 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:00 UTC	2	$99	63	61	+2	Up	+$24	04-14 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:05 UTC	6	$90	200	188	+11	Up	+$3	04-19 00:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$88	132	132	+0	Yes	-$2	04-13 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:10 UTC	2	$88	66	63	+3	Up	+$41	04-14 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:25 UTC	3	$87	56	54	+2	Up	+$23	04-13 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:55 UTC	2	$85	58	56	+2	Up	+$28	04-13 15:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:05 UTC	2	$78	55	53	+2	Up	+$29	04-14 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:30 UTC	3	$78	147	46	+101	Up	+$15	04-14 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$75	189	0	+189	Up	-$75	05-11 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:30 UTC	7	$72	61	58	+2	Down	+$13	04-12 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:45 UTC	5	$70	48	47	+1	Up	+$11	04-14 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:10 UTC	5	$67	102	51	+52	Up	+$8	04-13 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:55 UTC	2	$67	46	44	+2	Up	+$22	04-14 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:15 UTC	4	$63	87	82	+5	Down	+$31	04-18 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 22:10 UTC	3	$62	69	39	+31	Down	-$19	04-14 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:10 UTC	4	$61	49	47	+2	Up	+$13	04-14 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC	5	$58	42	41	+2	Up	+$20	04-13 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 23:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa47ad4…
05-16 23:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x65c055…
05-16 22:44:11	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x6d31ed…
05-16 22:38:28	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	2¢	$5	0xa34dac…
05-16 22:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcc9a8f…
05-16 22:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xff5598…
05-16 22:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x3afca5…
05-16 22:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb9246f…
05-16 22:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd4b386…
05-16 22:26:28	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x9d1209…
05-16 22:24:07	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0xb411ca…
05-16 22:23:21	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	10¢	$10	0x90035c…
05-16 22:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x97eb65…
05-16 22:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x849ef9…
05-16 22:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x39c99f…
05-16 22:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4d8718…
05-16 22:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3f41b3…
05-16 22:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x45be1c…
05-16 22:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	24	44¢	$10	0x921829…
05-16 22:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0172cd…
05-16 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xffbb0c…
05-16 22:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x42f235…
05-16 22:07:15	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x62cd54…
05-16 22:06:58	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	7¢	$7	0x8712e7…
05-15 15:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x71322e…
05-15 15:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6ed576…
05-15 15:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x33c20f…
05-15 15:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xab050b…
05-15 15:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xec9106…
05-15 15:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5817c7…
05-15 14:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa537ec…
05-15 14:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xea686e…
05-15 14:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1754ef…
05-15 14:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x39129f…
05-15 14:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x29d5c1…
05-15 14:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe2d2a5…
05-15 14:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2478f0…
05-15 14:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa870f0…
05-15 14:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe6a6bc…
05-15 14:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8c5a77…
05-15 14:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xfab16f…
05-15 14:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x203405…
05-15 13:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x95e41a…
05-15 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x8266c9…
05-15 13:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd49968…
05-15 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x42bce7…
05-15 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4b097a…
05-15 13:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0xb1d617…
05-15 13:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xff6053…
05-15 13:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa8ea30…
05-15 13:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xba59cb…
05-15 13:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6bf6c6…
05-15 13:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98e63e…
05-15 13:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2993c5…
05-15 13:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xff538f…
05-15 13:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcd0c83…
05-15 10:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb31aa0…
05-15 10:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5475ec…
05-15 10:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5dc78b…
05-15 10:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb9765c…
05-15 10:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x441e56…
05-15 10:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x838286…
05-15 10:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x155ab4…
05-15 10:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	48	34¢	$16	0xb86855…
05-15 10:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8f9894…
05-15 09:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe5c23a…
05-15 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x83411f…
05-15 09:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc136a2…
05-15 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe0129a…
05-15 09:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb1a9ec…
05-15 09:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xb5c86c…
05-15 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6e7306…
05-15 09:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xde16a5…
05-15 09:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0xf02868…
05-15 09:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x911dbc…
05-15 09:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7e722a…
05-15 09:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa646e5…
05-15 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9f270e…
05-15 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x334c31…
05-15 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdbe734…
05-15 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8cf5e0…
05-15 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x379863…
05-15 09:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x299df8…
05-15 09:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x13173b…
05-11 17:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x9a7161…
05-11 17:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x73be10…
05-11 17:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x78d768…
05-11 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7b0cb8…
05-11 17:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	252	3¢	$8	0x2c6ac6…
05-11 17:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x56da5c…
05-11 17:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x043dee…
05-11 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa3c684…
05-11 16:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x461326…
05-11 16:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x5de1a1…
05-11 16:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xeef800…
05-11 16:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x09145e…
05-11 16:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcb2ede…
05-11 16:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	95	21¢	$20	0xf0b2b4…
05-11 16:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x7a3064…
05-11 16:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	47	40¢	$19	0xf390f2…