Loud-Pickax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$153

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$20	32	+32	Up	+$11	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$18	18	+18	Down	+$0	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$18	28	+28	Up	$-18	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$13	21	+21	Down	$-5	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$12	35	+35	Down	+$23	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-05 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Up	+$0	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$8	17	+17	Up	+$9	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Up	+$2	05-05 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	+$4	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Down	+$5	05-05 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$2	100	+100	Down	$-2	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	05-05 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 08:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x30a013…
05-05 08:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfd0592…
05-05 08:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xeefb50…
05-05 08:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x59f2ce…
05-05 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x5cc49c…
05-05 04:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x975c4a…
05-05 04:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6f2e2a…
05-05 03:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xa4641f…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3b9903…
05-05 01:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x01cb02…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb2bd70…
05-05 01:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0xd33f39…
05-05 01:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdcb1c6…
05-05 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc834c8…
05-05 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x28c0f8…
05-05 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x00bd53…
05-04 23:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xfadf67…
05-04 23:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x6ef961…
05-04 23:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xde1e46…
05-04 23:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x991588…
05-04 23:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x2ac2be…
05-04 23:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc6fb0f…
05-04 22:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0600b5…
05-04 22:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x612c73…
05-04 22:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbd2fd9…
05-04 22:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xb7ccdc…
05-04 22:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb3a184…
05-04 22:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xec4cd5…
05-04 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x713a0c…
05-04 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xd0b362…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$2.43K	76	05-05 08:51
Physical-Competence 0xfa67…d948	20	$943	57	05-05 08:51
Deep-Observatory 0xc131…f5d5	19	$539	127	05-05 08:51
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	18	$5.14K	127	05-05 08:55
Hurtful-Infancy 0xb36b…0cb1	17	$601	37	05-05 08:51
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	15	$2.39K	63	05-05 08:51
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	14	$1.02K	76	05-05 08:51
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	14	$1.00K	76	05-05 08:51