Studious-Swordfight-Pressurisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$41

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

227

2,126 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$608

$13.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-15 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 63% +$423

Other

1% 40% -$15

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 227 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		-76	-$26	6¢	$-5	+$22	05-14 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	9	$400	657	0	+657	Down	+$150	05-14 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	7	$309	468	79	+389	Down	+$98	05-14 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$300	502	0	+502	Up	-$300	05-14 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	12	$280	700	0	+700	Up	+$27	05-14 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	7	$277	177	177	+0	Up	+$37	06-18 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	22	$239	311	119	+192	Up	+$33	05-22 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:30 UTC	10	$230	368	280	+88	Up	+$38	06-18 15:34
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:50 UTC	7	$220	156	156	+0	Down	+$20	06-18 15:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:20 UTC	6	$215	137	137	+0	Up	+$15	06-18 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	18	$211	189	126	+63	Up	-$21	05-23 00:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:05 UTC	2	$193	126	126	+0	Up	+$37	06-17 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$175	270	0	+270	Up	+$95	05-14 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	17	$170	239	0	+239	Up	-$8	05-22 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	7	$153	246	61	+185	Down	+$38	05-13 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	8	$151	115	115	+0	Down	+$11	05-22 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$150	384	0	+384	Up	-$150	05-22 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$150	227	0	+227	Down	+$27	05-13 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	15	$150	197	0	+197	Up	+$10	05-22 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	6	$150	188	0	+188	Up	+$38	05-14 05:39
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:55 UTC	7	$140	182	0	+182	Down	+$42	06-18 15:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:10 UTC	5	$132	164	78	+85	Down	-$24	06-18 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	6	$127	321	0	+321	Up	+$114	05-14 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	4	$124	87	87	+0	Up	+$24	10-15 07:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:35 UTC	3	$123	180	129	+51	Up	+$3	06-16 23:38
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:40 UTC	4	$120	144	0	+144	Down	+$24	06-16 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:25 UTC	7	$118	176	0	+176	Down	-$111	06-17 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	13	$111	156	0	+156	Up	-$8	05-22 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$110	163	0	+163	Up	+$53	05-13 20:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	11	$110	115	0	+115	Up	+$5	06-15 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	15	$110	148	22	+126	Down	+$28	05-22 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 19:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x284f37…
10-15 19:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x642fc8…
10-15 19:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x92aee3…
10-15 18:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x05a893…
10-15 18:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x196bba…
10-15 18:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7ec5d3…
10-15 18:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa96bd1…
10-15 18:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x78a939…
10-15 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x643c2d…
10-15 18:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa61972…
10-15 18:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc2639d…
10-15 18:52:19	Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x133a75…
10-15 08:31:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x001991…
10-15 08:31:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6025fe…
10-15 08:30:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8d93f0…
10-15 08:30:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa7d6d5…
10-15 08:08:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb8a8c1…
10-15 08:08:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd74afa…
10-15 08:03:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x04f71a…
10-15 08:01:14	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xeaf4c8…
10-15 08:00:56	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x9a2e1a…
10-15 07:53:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5eca11…
10-15 07:50:17	Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xced1e9…
10-15 07:43:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbe02b4…
10-15 07:43:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb10e4e…
10-15 07:43:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x741720…
10-15 07:43:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6277d9…
10-15 07:42:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4a7146…
10-15 07:42:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x32fa32…
10-15 07:42:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xa04dbb…
10-15 07:38:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xc59a42…
10-15 07:38:20	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	33	49¢	$16	0x8a5800…
10-15 07:36:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x3b3e6d…
10-15 07:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x0111c6…
10-15 07:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xcdab39…
10-15 07:32:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	54	76¢	$41	0x202977…
10-15 07:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xd99da2…
10-15 07:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x51cf73…
10-15 07:09:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x32f1d0…
10-15 07:08:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x51cfd7…
10-15 07:08:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7303d0…
10-15 07:07:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xace383…
10-15 07:07:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfc6cc7…
10-15 07:07:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9c5052…
10-15 07:03:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xef10e9…
10-15 07:03:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x198ec1…
10-15 07:03:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfc0576…
10-15 07:02:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x511513…
10-15 07:01:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfb4063…
10-15 06:57:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb06922…
10-15 06:57:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2468d8…
10-15 06:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x3d3ea7…
10-15 06:57:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x9acd90…
10-15 06:56:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x9cd367…
10-15 06:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x64db43…
10-15 06:56:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4db105…
10-15 06:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x95c3df…
10-15 06:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x38fcfe…
10-15 06:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf59822…
10-15 06:55:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc97142…
10-15 06:55:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd65f47…
10-15 06:53:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbc9f56…
10-15 06:53:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1d2cec…
10-15 06:53:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0b9f7a…
10-15 06:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x790221…
10-15 06:53:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7e7068…
10-15 06:53:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xc898c3…
10-15 06:52:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x7f18dc…
10-15 06:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x044b35…
10-15 06:52:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcae54c…
10-15 06:51:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf4d6c2…
10-15 06:51:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8c0b9b…
10-15 06:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0d3a01…
10-15 06:51:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x59871b…
10-15 06:51:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe319cf…
10-15 06:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe2153f…
10-15 06:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x79ce30…
10-15 06:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9684d6…
10-15 06:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x60f2cb…
10-15 06:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xda4bf7…
10-15 06:47:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb40328…
10-15 06:47:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb46dd1…
10-15 06:47:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe8cb56…
10-15 06:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x03b7c3…
10-15 06:46:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xa5507f…
10-15 06:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x6378fa…
10-15 06:46:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x64bbca…
10-15 06:46:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x426583…
10-15 06:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe2c15f…
10-15 06:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa7e88b…
10-15 06:45:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1bd762…
10-15 06:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x905573…
10-15 06:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9b3f75…
10-15 06:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcb263d…
10-15 06:43:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xf4d262…
10-15 06:43:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xdda813…
10-15 06:42:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2ef7c9…
10-15 06:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0088b4…
10-15 06:42:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb7d074…
10-15 06:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc0e72c…