Political-Baby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

669

lifetime

Volume

$7.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-29 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 53% $-17

Other

5% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1782487800	9	$591	516	489	+27	open	—	06-26 15:34
btc updown 5m 1782487200	3	$205	431	0	+431	open	—	06-26 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$132	107	107	+0	open	—	05-03 15:48
btc updown 5m 1782489000	3	$130	417	0	+417	open	—	06-26 15:53
btc updown 5m 1782488700	2	$125	459	0	+459	open	—	06-26 15:46
btc updown 5m 1782488100	4	$107	103	103	+0	open	—	06-26 15:37
btc updown 5m 1782487500	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	06-26 15:24
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$92	55	55	+0	open	—	04-27 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$75	188	0	+188	open	—	05-03 17:56
btc updown 5m 1782488400	3	$75	373	0	+373	open	—	06-26 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$73	51	51	+0	open	—	05-03 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$67	168	0	+168	open	—	05-03 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$67	194	0	+194	open	—	05-03 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$67	104	0	+104	open	—	05-03 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$60	81	0	+81	open	—	05-03 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$60	97	0	+97	open	—	05-03 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$60	91	0	+91	open	—	05-03 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$52	75	0	+75	open	—	05-03 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$52	76	0	+76	open	—	05-03 17:16
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?	3	$48	82	43	+39	open	—	04-27 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$45	65	0	+65	open	—	05-03 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$45	72	0	+72	open	—	05-03 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$42	29	29	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$38	59	0	+59	open	—	05-18 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$37	69	0	+69	open	—	05-18 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$37	65	0	+65	open	—	05-18 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$37	57	0	+57	open	—	05-18 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$37	56	0	+56	open	—	05-03 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$37	52	0	+52	open	—	05-18 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$37	52	0	+52	open	—	05-18 05:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 21:10:02	eth updown 5m 1782767400	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x040968…
06-28 16:40:04	eth updown 5m 1782664800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa15217…
06-26 16:03:50	btc updown 5m 1782489900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x08e512…
06-26 16:03:46	btc updown 5m 1782489900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xedbe32…
06-26 16:03:46	btc updown 5m 1782489900	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5903f6…
06-26 15:58:47	btc updown 5m 1782489300	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xe6c034…
06-26 15:58:47	btc updown 5m 1782489300	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcadecf…
06-26 15:53:55	btc updown 5m 1782489000	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xe36dd7…
06-26 15:46:56	btc updown 5m 1782489000	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xda6ba6…
06-26 15:46:50	btc updown 5m 1782489000	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf2787e…
06-26 15:46:26	btc updown 5m 1782488700	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x273f68…
06-26 15:45:34	btc updown 5m 1782488700	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xc2c91f…
06-26 15:44:53	btc updown 5m 1782488400	Up	BUY	271	9¢	$25	0xd94465…
06-26 15:43:49	btc updown 5m 1782488400	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xce524a…
06-26 15:37:35	btc updown 5m 1782488100	Up	SELL	38	90¢	$35	0x4f3203…
06-26 15:36:59	btc updown 5m 1782488400	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xaaf6cc…
06-26 15:36:01	btc updown 5m 1782488100	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xa5c266…
06-26 15:35:59	btc updown 5m 1782488100	Down	SELL	64	35¢	$22	0xd723c7…
06-26 15:35:49	btc updown 5m 1782488100	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x06e856…
06-26 15:34:47	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x7c9136…
06-26 15:33:53	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	SELL	489	77¢	$376	0xc1fc0d…
06-26 15:32:38	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xc6f6ff…
06-26 15:32:29	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x70fa1c…
06-26 15:31:08	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x76cc7d…
06-26 15:30:52	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x53a4d4…
06-26 15:30:47	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0800f3…
06-26 15:30:35	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x0b97bc…
06-26 15:30:29	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xa8eea3…
06-26 15:24:01	btc updown 5m 1782487500	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xaf52ec…
06-26 15:22:58	btc updown 5m 1782487200	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xcc7e8f…
06-26 15:19:44	btc updown 5m 1782487200	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7d858e…
06-26 15:18:20	btc updown 5m 1782487200	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x0dd33d…
06-26 15:17:10	btc updown 5m 1782486900	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc6c80c…
06-26 15:16:14	btc updown 5m 1782486900	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xd4fecf…
06-26 15:15:53	btc updown 5m 1782486900	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x94c90f…
06-25 10:55:04	btc updown 5m 1782384900	Up	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0x1b4977…
06-25 10:50:04	eth updown 5m 1782384600	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9e3d3e…
06-25 10:50:02	eth updown 5m 1782384600	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x31cbef…
06-24 15:55:02	eth updown 5m 1782316500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd181f6…
06-24 15:55:02	eth updown 5m 1782316500	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x625ae1…
06-24 13:30:04	btc updown 5m 1782307800	Up	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0x25f595…
06-23 06:30:04	eth updown 5m 1782196200	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x2e9948…
06-23 06:30:02	eth updown 5m 1782196200	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa6ecd8…
06-23 06:30:02	btc updown 5m 1782196200	Up	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x746844…
06-22 17:40:02	btc updown 5m 1782150000	Up	BUY	63	51¢	$32	0xface2e…
06-22 16:10:04	eth updown 5m 1782144600	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x9fe7ea…
06-22 16:10:02	eth updown 5m 1782144600	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb29417…
06-20 13:30:02	btc updown 5m 1781962200	Up	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xb2df4f…
06-19 07:45:02	btc updown 5m 1781855100	Up	BUY	58	56¢	$32	0xd0aec0…
06-17 22:44:20	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xf4be95…
06-17 12:30:04	eth updown 5m 1781699400	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x79ee73…
06-17 12:30:02	eth updown 5m 1781699400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x88d868…
06-17 06:47:26	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xfe958c…
06-16 04:40:03	eth updown 5m 1781584800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfa7414…
06-16 04:40:03	eth updown 5m 1781584800	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xbd1d72…
06-12 11:30:00	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xef7651…
06-12 11:29:58	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x51c9f2…
06-12 11:29:58	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4f9074…
06-11 12:30:03	eth updown 5m 1781181000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x656753…
06-11 12:30:03	eth updown 5m 1781181000	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x083312…
06-09 21:35:03	btc updown 5m 1781040900	Up	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x47b068…
06-09 08:15:03	btc updown 5m 1780992900	Up	BUY	62	54¢	$33	0x1edfdf…
06-07 19:15:03	btc updown 5m 1780859700	Up	BUY	69	52¢	$36	0xb7091e…
06-05 01:10:03	btc updown 5m 1780621800	Up	BUY	66	51¢	$34	0x303c33…
06-01 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	68	54¢	$37	0xeb49dc…
06-01 12:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	68	51¢	$35	0xb09d01…
05-31 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	54¢	$34	0xc8ef83…
05-31 14:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	54	60¢	$32	0x21a0ce…
05-30 22:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf02997…
05-29 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x236ffd…
05-27 22:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x890295…
05-26 17:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0xcb4460…
05-26 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	49	54¢	$26	0x665255…
05-26 07:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x931a44…
05-26 00:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	56¢	$27	0xfa22c7…
05-25 11:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x024548…
05-24 21:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0x3e424e…
05-23 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$29	0x802ed3…
05-23 06:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0x269276…
05-23 02:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x66b18e…
05-23 02:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5ff7b9…
05-23 02:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x0999ae…
05-23 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x36896f…
05-23 01:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe49889…
05-23 01:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5a48a0…
05-23 01:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa41aba…
05-23 01:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4824d2…
05-23 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb5729c…
05-23 01:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xf70364…
05-23 01:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	73¢	$22	0xf67168…
05-23 00:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	48	47¢	$22	0x5c2a8a…
05-23 00:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x8d4223…
05-22 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1769db…
05-22 22:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x5c4dff…
05-22 22:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x990012…
05-22 22:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x43d469…
05-22 22:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x051d76…
05-22 21:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	71¢	$22	0x0141db…
05-22 21:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xee881f…
05-22 20:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x88747e…