Political-Baby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

609

lifetime

Volume

$5.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-09 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 53% $-17

Other

6% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$132	107	107	+0	open	—	05-03 15:48
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$92	55	55	+0	open	—	04-27 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$75	188	0	+188	open	—	05-03 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$73	51	51	+0	open	—	05-03 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$67	168	0	+168	open	—	05-03 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$67	194	0	+194	open	—	05-03 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$67	104	0	+104	open	—	05-03 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$60	81	0	+81	open	—	05-03 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$60	97	0	+97	open	—	05-03 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$60	91	0	+91	open	—	05-03 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$52	75	0	+75	open	—	05-03 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$52	76	0	+76	open	—	05-03 17:16
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?	3	$48	82	43	+39	open	—	04-27 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$45	65	0	+65	open	—	05-03 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$45	72	0	+72	open	—	05-03 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$42	29	29	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$38	59	0	+59	open	—	05-18 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$37	69	0	+69	open	—	05-18 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$37	65	0	+65	open	—	05-18 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$37	72	0	+72	open	—	05-18 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$37	56	0	+56	open	—	05-03 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$37	52	0	+52	open	—	05-18 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$37	57	0	+57	open	—	05-18 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$37	52	0	+52	open	—	05-18 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$37	74	0	+74	open	—	05-18 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$37	52	0	+52	open	—	05-18 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$37	51	0	+51	open	—	05-18 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$37	77	0	+77	open	—	05-18 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$37	56	0	+56	open	—	05-18 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$37	52	0	+52	open	—	05-18 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:35:03	btc updown 5m 1781040900	Up	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x47b068…
06-09 08:15:03	btc updown 5m 1780992900	Up	BUY	62	54¢	$33	0x1edfdf…
06-07 19:15:03	btc updown 5m 1780859700	Up	BUY	69	52¢	$36	0xb7091e…
06-05 01:10:03	btc updown 5m 1780621800	Up	BUY	66	51¢	$34	0x303c33…
06-01 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	68	54¢	$37	0xeb49dc…
06-01 12:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	68	51¢	$35	0xb09d01…
05-31 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	54¢	$34	0xc8ef83…
05-31 14:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	54	60¢	$32	0x21a0ce…
05-30 22:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf02997…
05-29 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x236ffd…
05-27 22:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x890295…
05-26 17:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0xcb4460…
05-26 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	49	54¢	$26	0x665255…
05-26 07:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x931a44…
05-26 00:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	56¢	$27	0xfa22c7…
05-25 11:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x024548…
05-24 21:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0x3e424e…
05-23 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$29	0x802ed3…
05-23 06:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0x269276…
05-23 02:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x66b18e…
05-23 02:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5ff7b9…
05-23 02:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x0999ae…
05-23 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x36896f…
05-23 01:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe49889…
05-23 01:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5a48a0…
05-23 01:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa41aba…
05-23 01:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4824d2…
05-23 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb5729c…
05-23 01:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xf70364…
05-23 01:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	73¢	$22	0xf67168…
05-23 00:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	48	47¢	$22	0x5c2a8a…
05-23 00:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x8d4223…
05-22 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1769db…
05-22 22:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x5c4dff…
05-22 22:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x990012…
05-22 22:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x43d469…
05-22 22:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x051d76…
05-22 21:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	71¢	$22	0x0141db…
05-22 21:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xee881f…
05-22 20:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x88747e…
05-22 20:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x3c73d7…
05-21 13:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x353d37…
05-21 11:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xa0f385…
05-21 11:05:03	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x9bc2ba…
05-21 11:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x940dd6…
05-21 11:05:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x6c8247…
05-21 11:05:03	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x2e9fa8…
05-21 09:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xedb4dc…
05-21 09:50:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xc24287…
05-21 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x9fcda4…
05-21 09:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x0d89a7…
05-20 22:15:03	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xa8f137…
05-20 22:15:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0xa1fe24…
05-20 22:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x9ef51f…
05-20 22:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x251219…
05-20 13:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x6583c6…
05-19 22:10:03	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x170c0f…
05-19 10:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa22423…
05-18 10:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	51¢	$37	0x4160c2…
05-18 10:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	57	66¢	$37	0x2f87b4…
05-18 10:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0x947748…
05-18 09:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	73¢	$37	0xb22dab…
05-18 09:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	72	52¢	$37	0xa927cd…
05-18 09:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	47	72¢	$34	0xa4b7e5…
05-18 07:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	77	49¢	$37	0xc45829…
05-18 07:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	67¢	$37	0x2d340e…
05-18 07:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	57	59¢	$34	0x42a53d…
05-18 06:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	52	72¢	$37	0x688c2e…
05-18 06:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	72¢	$37	0xe2acc3…
05-18 06:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	52	72¢	$37	0x5cc56f…
05-18 05:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	64¢	$38	0x946edc…
05-18 05:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	52	72¢	$37	0x80f390…
05-18 05:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	65	58¢	$37	0x192d06…
05-18 04:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	69	49¢	$34	0xabe772…
05-18 03:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xba62f6…
05-18 03:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	47	71¢	$34	0x7e44f1…
05-18 03:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xc8cd91…
05-18 02:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	49	54¢	$26	0xa9576a…
05-18 02:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	59¢	$22	0x520a53…
05-18 01:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0x38aeca…
05-18 01:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x32b79b…
05-18 01:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x03f328…
05-18 01:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0xfe0dfd…
05-17 23:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0xec72ec…
05-17 17:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	52¢	$16	0xa34511…
05-17 00:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xa1bc54…
05-16 09:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x68c5a9…
05-16 09:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xfbeaea…
05-16 04:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xf8aa43…
05-14 23:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x60b691…
05-13 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$17	0xa8ec24…
05-12 23:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	91¢	$26	0x70098a…
05-12 23:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0x1b25c0…
05-11 21:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0x0c92d7…
05-11 20:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4cf889…
05-11 16:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x9b52d8…
05-11 08:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfe3eb9…
05-10 15:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb67add…
05-10 14:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	42¢	$7	0x6590a9…
05-10 14:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x8700cf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	510	$392.8K	14,175	06-09 21:38
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	510	$169.1K	28,126	06-09 21:39
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	509	$184.6K	31,239	06-09 21:39
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	509	$171.5K	50,585	06-09 21:39
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	509	$159.8K	47,960	06-09 21:37
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	503	$39.0K	10,801	06-09 21:38
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	499	$1.19M	47,920	06-09 21:38
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	495	$83.5K	8,721	06-09 21:37