Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$72

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

137

Trades

2,288

lifetime

Volume

$182.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$1.54K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-25 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

73% 67% +$15,799

Politics

18% 63% +$3,061

Tech

8% 83% +$5,162

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-1,600	-$1,464	96¢	$-1536	-$72	07-03 01:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	49	$8.5K	13,791	13,791	+0	No	+$4,101	03-13 09:15
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	22	$8.0K	14,000	14,000	+0	No	+$575	02-20 00:25
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes 638 582	8	$6.6K	3,345	3,345	+0	No	+$60	01-25 02:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	20	$6.0K	3,000	4,000	-1,000	Yes	+$440	03-07 01:42
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 17 2026	20	$6.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	-$195	02-17 17:41
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	52	$5.8K	9,000	9,000	+0	Yes	+$1,572	02-27 22:59
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	10	$5.8K	3,935	1,935	+2,000	Yes	+$42	02-22 13:45
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	42	$5.5K	16,592	16,592	+0	Yes	+$4,513	03-12 12:42
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	45	$5.4K	5,647	5,733	-86	No	+$4,053	02-11 07:22
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	27	$5.0K	5,226	4,300	+925	Yes	-$320	02-28 22:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	13	$5.0K	3,535	2,055	+1,480	Yes	-$6	07-01 19:26
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	2	$4.7K	2,865	2,865	+0	Yes	+$1,003	01-26 20:58
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	34	$4.6K	3,317	3,059	+258	No	+$1,228	02-10 12:15
will iran strike israel on march 3	15	$4.4K	2,835	2,835	+0	Yes	+$424	03-03 23:20
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	17	$3.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$1,830	03-11 13:15
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	25	$3.6K	5,806	805	+5,000	No	+$1,479	03-13 00:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	21	$3.6K	1,000	4,000	-3,000	No	+$3,016	10-04 21:21
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	17	$3.4K	1,684	2,353	-669	Yes	+$438	01-23 17:53
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in less than 1 hour	9	$3.3K	1,672	1,672	+0	No	+$43	01-25 01:45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$3.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$1,852	10-25 23:00
will iran strike israel on march 6	46	$3.1K	6,128	5,273	+855	No	-$85	03-08 22:06
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	5	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$1,016	03-10 17:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 867	44	$2.8K	13,933	14,995	-1,062	No	+$208	01-31 15:17
will iran strike israel on march 4	18	$2.6K	16,457	6,454	+10,003	Yes	+$623	03-07 03:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	35	$2.5K	3,000	5,000	-2,000	No	-$398	03-22 11:51
will mrbeasts next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4	12	$2.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$190	03-25 15:24
will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	28	$2.4K	4,700	4,700	+0	No	-$863	01-28 18:21
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	44	$2.1K	6,122	6,222	-100	No	+$1,080	02-16 21:13
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	32	$2.1K	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$16	03-25 08:27
Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	10	$2.1K	2,109	0	+2,109	No	+$51	04-27 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:00:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	636	78¢	$496	0xc6512c…
10-25 23:00:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x8f3939…
10-25 23:00:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	515	78¢	$402	0x7baf07…
10-25 23:00:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	43	78¢	$33	0x18f041…
10-25 23:00:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	678	78¢	$527	0x076ec2…
10-25 22:15:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	57¢	$1,140	0xecc90a…
10-25 22:06:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0x314692…
10-04 21:21:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,699	82¢	$2,224	0x3c30ed…
10-04 21:20:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	601	82¢	$495	0xb920ef…
10-04 21:20:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	700	82¢	$577	0xb57520…
07-10 05:58:50	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	SELL	1,000	75¢	$750	0xf50f21…
07-03 01:30:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	800	93¢	$744	0xccb029…
07-01 19:26:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1,469	84¢	$1,234	0xf7e528…
07-01 19:20:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0xda3e9d…
07-01 19:19:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x93d283…
07-01 17:55:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x7f47da…
07-01 17:55:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	333	93¢	$309	0xbe2ff9…
07-01 16:59:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x3c550f…
07-01 11:17:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x76a9a5…
07-01 11:17:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	194	92¢	$178	0x4e780b…
07-01 11:00:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	115	92¢	$106	0x6640ca…
07-01 10:57:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	655	92¢	$603	0x2a1671…
07-01 09:10:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	69	92¢	$63	0x75cbda…
07-01 09:08:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	964	92¢	$887	0xacf59b…
07-01 08:34:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1,535	93¢	$1,425	0x37b2ef…
06-26 21:58:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	SELL	1,616	52¢	$840	0x4fbba1…
06-26 20:40:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xfc1dff…
06-26 06:00:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0xfc57a6…
06-26 01:12:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	621	52¢	$323	0x9aac54…
06-24 11:27:31	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0xaf7650…
06-24 11:27:31	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x2f0a46…
06-24 11:26:58	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	0¢	$0	0xaff0f3…
06-24 09:52:40	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xf69f7d…
06-24 09:52:40	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x3b3eb2…
06-24 09:52:26	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x99ca1a…
06-24 09:52:26	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x884955…
06-24 09:52:26	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x0552e3…
06-23 22:39:46	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0xea16fc…
06-23 22:32:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xc97a3f…
06-23 22:32:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xc10cf3…
06-23 22:32:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x4fb9c8…
06-23 22:32:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x482a05…
06-23 21:41:41	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd2b7ff…
06-23 21:41:41	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x606d27…
06-23 19:19:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0xc3c974…
06-23 19:19:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	0¢	$1	0xbc8aa4…
06-23 19:19:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$0	0x783faa…
06-23 19:19:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x66db69…
06-23 19:19:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4b1e15…
06-23 19:19:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x2c7f53…
06-23 19:19:14	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xea2c25…
06-23 19:19:14	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xda9686…
06-23 19:19:14	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x499919…
06-23 17:43:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	1¢	$2	0x11d65a…
06-23 17:37:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xa60952…
06-23 17:37:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x68e55c…
06-23 17:37:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x4ba049…
06-23 17:37:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x11dbdd…
06-23 14:52:04	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x9e47dd…
06-23 10:27:01	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb46ec1…
06-23 10:27:01	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x17ba0b…
06-23 09:51:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xeec33d…
06-23 09:51:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x039715…
06-23 09:50:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x20c054…
06-23 09:50:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x0d83c1…
06-23 09:49:38	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x4968c7…
06-23 09:49:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x601a3e…
06-23 09:46:38	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xe84dca…
06-23 09:44:31	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x7a55df…
06-23 09:44:31	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	86¢	$28	0x2864f5…
06-23 09:44:31	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x148341…
06-23 09:44:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xfdcf6b…
06-23 09:44:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	86¢	$34	0xe4be8e…
06-23 09:44:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	86¢	$55	0xc75e2e…
06-23 09:44:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x84426a…
06-23 09:44:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x2b98d9…
06-23 09:44:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x0a163f…
06-23 09:44:02	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0x194218…
06-23 08:58:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	48	86¢	$41	0xace7d1…
06-23 08:48:14	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xfd7db6…
06-23 08:44:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xe5b597…
06-23 08:44:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107	86¢	$92	0xc490e7…
06-23 08:44:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	86¢	$95	0x966190…
06-23 08:44:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x5e2cd4…
06-22 16:09:05	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	32¢	$17	0x87f121…
06-22 14:50:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x3c506f…
06-22 11:11:50	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x28281c…
06-22 11:11:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	283	3¢	$9	0x260812…
06-22 05:17:58	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	562	32¢	$180	0xbad2d0…
06-11 02:29:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	800	90¢	$720	0x3b8dc9…
06-02 00:14:07	Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	64¢	$17	0x396e00…
06-02 00:10:51	Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?	Yes	SELL	981	50¢	$490	0x1408e4…
06-01 18:31:24	Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x308478…
05-20 09:09:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	116	28¢	$33	0x8dd201…
05-20 09:09:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x293f31…
05-20 09:09:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x7168c3…
05-20 09:09:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd29ec8…
05-20 09:09:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x1c7eca…
05-20 09:09:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xbee9fd…
05-20 09:09:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xa3f0a9…