Growing-Mink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$343

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-04 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

60% 20% +$20

Other

22% 0% $-3

Crypto

17% 0% $-10

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No		+18	$5	32¢	$6	+$1	06-04 12:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+17	$3	18¢	$3	$-0	06-04 12:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$76	71	71	+0	Yes	+$66	05-09 06:03
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	3	$31	51	29	+21	open	—	05-18 13:03
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$25	100	0	+100	Yes	$-25	05-08 06:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$20	74	0	+74	open	—	05-09 06:06
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$20	68	0	+68	open	—	05-09 06:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	05-08 06:30
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	1	$10	269	0	+269	Yes	$-10	05-08 06:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-08 06:40
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-08 06:39
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	1	$10	28	0	+28	Yes	$-10	05-10 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	$-10	05-08 06:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	05-09 06:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-09 06:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?	2	$8	73	0	+73	open	—	05-16 10:02
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	05-10 17:44
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	1	$5	116	0	+116	open	—	05-16 09:48
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-18 09:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	05-08 06:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-23 12:21
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-18 09:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	06-04 12:10
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	1	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	06-04 12:14
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$3	75	0	+75	open	—	05-08 12:24
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	1	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	05-18 13:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	06-04 12:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	1	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	06-04 12:15
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$3	21	0	+21	No	$-3	05-08 12:28
Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 08:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	17	0	+17	open	—	06-04 12:13
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	1	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	05-16 09:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 12:15:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x748d82…
06-04 12:14:15	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xcc5120…
06-04 12:13:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xa79a73…
06-04 12:10:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xed8b5b…
06-04 12:10:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x814de3…
05-25 08:42:36	Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3cb734…
05-25 08:32:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x0876bb…
05-23 12:24:04	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xdd21ec…
05-23 12:21:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcccc07…
05-23 12:21:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xad33f8…
05-18 13:03:11	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0d9a27…
05-18 13:02:11	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x4f7d7a…
05-18 13:01:56	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	29	53¢	$16	0x4f78a8…
05-18 09:56:31	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xecfa7e…
05-18 09:56:15	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xa4400f…
05-16 10:02:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x359784…
05-16 10:00:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xebe60c…
05-16 10:00:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xdfb0bf…
05-16 09:48:24	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0xc7f1e0…
05-16 09:48:12	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xa9b49e…
05-16 09:46:51	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe474d0…
05-16 09:46:34	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8d4801…
05-16 09:46:23	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x26710d…
05-11 07:41:07	Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd34b63…
05-11 07:40:43	Will Trump post "Court" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x29914d…
05-11 07:38:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x73097e…
05-10 17:44:55	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	No	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x845e65…
05-10 17:44:08	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xab25a0…
05-10 17:42:24	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1e4768…
05-09 06:20:23	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x37b3ae…
05-09 06:19:45	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xb1a5ba…
05-09 06:07:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc6e89e…
05-09 06:06:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x6c0841…
05-09 06:05:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8413de…
05-09 06:03:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x6fdaae…
05-08 12:28:14	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xc91ee5…
05-08 12:24:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xafa041…
05-08 12:24:21	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xc9a32f…
05-08 06:40:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x91e06a…
05-08 06:39:29	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0d7529…
05-08 06:37:41	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	269	4¢	$10	0x813c55…
05-08 06:36:34	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa9b074…
05-08 06:35:52	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa576e7…
05-08 06:31:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x52fa82…
05-08 06:30:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x054233…
05-08 06:29:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x04c50e…
05-08 06:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x42d440…