Realized P&L
-$12.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
38.1%
Resolved
384
Trades
1,988
lifetime
Volume
$170.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$429
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-01 03:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
45%
37%
-$2,237
Sports
25%
21%
-$11,674
Crypto
18%
42%
+$2,905
Politics
11%
34%
-$1,054
Pop-Culture
1%
0%
-$627
Tech
0%
67%
-$98
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | -287 | -$222 | 94¢ | $-270 | -$47 | 05-22 10:10 | |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | No | -76 | -$53 | 90¢ | $-68 | -$15 | 06-04 23:00 | |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | No | -57 | -$48 | 95¢ | $-54 | -$6 | 05-01 15:03 | |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -542 | -$36 | 5¢ | $-27 | +$9 | 05-04 05:41 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | -580 | -$23 | 2¢ | $-10 | +$12 | 05-01 17:18 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 69 | $15.0K | 11,875 | 11,325 | +550 | Yes | +$175 | 03-03 10:15 |
| nba sac mem 2026 02 23 | 3 | $8.2K | 10,195 | 0 | +10,195 | Kings | -$8,153 | 02-22 08:26 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 5 | $6.9K | 5,543 | 5,543 | +0 | No | -$93 | 03-25 08:30 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 19 | $6.1K | 6,937 | 6,937 | +0 | No | +$7 | 01-30 01:09 |
| will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026 | 4 | $5.9K | 3,645 | 3,644 | +1 | No | -$45 | 02-19 16:47 |
| amzn above 240 on january 30 2026 | 4 | $5.2K | 3,466 | 3,466 | +0 | No | -$72 | 01-30 21:13 |
| Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 27 | $4.4K | 4,059 | 4,059 | +0 | Yes | +$305 | 02-27 13:26 |
| will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards | 40 | $4.2K | 3,385 | 3,384 | +1 | No | -$209 | 03-03 08:00 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 20 | $4.0K | 2,467 | 2,467 | +0 | No | -$40 | 02-08 09:59 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | 15 | $4.0K | 4,536 | 0 | +4,536 | Yes | +$577 | 02-27 20:44 |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 22 | $3.4K | 2,633 | 2,633 | +0 | No | -$28 | 02-10 23:13 |
| lol dcg shg 2026 02 28 | 2 | $3.3K | 3,886 | 0 | +3,886 | Deep Cross Gaming | +$622 | 02-27 21:34 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 12 | $3.1K | 7,911 | 1,970 | +5,941 | Yes | +$1,000 | 02-28 19:30 |
| Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale? | 30 | $3.0K | 2,344 | 2,344 | +0 | No | -$69 | 02-02 14:06 |
| will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards | 38 | $2.9K | 3,936 | 3,936 | +0 | Yes | -$199 | 03-05 14:23 |
| tsla above 430 on january 30 2026 | 4 | $2.7K | 3,175 | 3,175 | +0 | Yes | -$134 | 01-30 15:53 |
| will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards | 21 | $2.6K | 2,521 | 1,969 | +552 | Yes | -$42 | 03-01 15:17 |
| nba nyk phi 2026 02 11 | 7 | $2.6K | 5,346 | 5,240 | +106 | Knicks | -$2,456 | 02-12 02:27 |
| msft above 405 on february 27 2026 | 10 | $2.5K | 3,923 | 3,819 | +104 | No | -$236 | 02-27 12:21 |
| aapl above 260 on january 30 2026 | 15 | $2.4K | 5,944 | 5,944 | +0 | No | +$369 | 01-30 21:06 |
| bitcoin up or down on february 12 | 16 | $2.4K | 4,645 | 725 | +3,920 | Down | +$2,823 | 02-12 16:56 |
| will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 17 | $2.2K | 1,809 | 1,809 | +0 | No | -$213 | 03-16 05:36 |
| Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 13 | $2.1K | 1,556 | 1,556 | +0 | Yes | -$27 | 03-06 11:35 |
| will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards | 16 | $1.9K | 2,473 | 2,473 | +0 | Yes | -$167 | 03-07 08:50 |
| will g2 esports win the lec 2026 versus | 13 | $1.8K | 1,228 | 1,313 | -85 | Yes | -$259 | 02-22 13:25 |
| will elena rybakina win the 2026 womens australian open | 6 | $1.8K | 1,627 | 1,627 | +0 | Yes | -$9 | 01-31 10:38 |
| will t lm be the next president of vietnam | 53 | $1.6K | 5,218 | 8,752 | -3,534 | Yes | +$302 | 03-18 16:34 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 8 | $1.6K | 1,890 | 731 | +1,159 | Yes | +$241 | 02-28 19:38 |
| lol jdg tes 2026 02 24 | 4 | $1.5K | 2,473 | 0 | +2,473 | JD Gaming | +$991 | 02-24 09:54 |
| Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026? | 31 | $1.5K | 1,196 | 1,085 | +111 | Yes | +$44 | 02-20 08:30 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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