Shoddy-Moat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$61.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 88% +$109

Other

8% 100% +$12

Politics

2% 0% $-5

Sports

0% 0% $-20

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772793300	6	$4.7K	3,103	3,071	+32	open	—	03-06 10:40
btc updown 5m 1771251900	2	$3.1K	1,916	1,892	+24	open	—	02-16 14:28
btc updown 5m 1772013000	2	$2.6K	1,717	1,694	+23	open	—	02-25 09:53
btc updown 5m 1771251300	3	$2.3K	1,269	1,262	+7	open	—	02-16 14:21
btc updown 5m 1771775400	2	$2.2K	1,550	1,529	+20	open	—	02-22 15:54
btc updown 5m 1772012700	2	$2.2K	1,216	1,210	+7	open	—	02-25 09:49
btc updown 5m 1771773900	2	$2.1K	1,120	1,118	+3	open	—	02-22 15:29
btc updown 5m 1771774500	2	$2.0K	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	02-22 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$2.0K	1,943	924	+1,019	open	—	05-15 06:33
btc updown 5m 1772792700	3	$1.4K	1,516	1,496	+19	open	—	03-06 10:29
btc updown 5m 1771246500	2	$1.0K	537	536	+0	open	—	02-16 13:00
btc updown 5m 1771246800	2	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	02-16 13:04
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	2	$1000	502	502	+0	No	+$0	05-05 18:40
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$999	503	503	+0	open	—	05-08 17:56
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$999	504	504	+0	open	—	05-06 17:07
btc updown 5m 1772793000	2	$988	531	529	+1	open	—	03-06 10:32
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	2	$970	488	488	+0	open	—	05-13 11:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	2	$960	492	492	+0	open	—	05-12 13:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$960	486	486	+0	open	—	05-14 10:22
Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	2	$956	487	487	+0	open	—	05-11 17:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	2	$943	475	475	+0	open	—	05-15 05:30
btc updown 5m 1772793600	1	$942	1,583	0	+1,583	open	—	03-06 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$940	475	475	+0	open	—	05-15 05:45
btc updown 15m 1771333200	3	$917	468	468	+0	open	—	02-17 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$909	489	489	+0	Down	+$29	05-12 18:59
btc updown 5m 1772010000	4	$882	709	702	+7	open	—	02-25 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$853	457	457	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$842	721	721	+0	Up	+$43	05-12 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$828	473	473	+0	Up	$-12	05-12 18:52
btc updown 5m 1771263900	2	$817	417	417	+0	open	—	02-16 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 11:23:30	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbd78bc…
06-06 10:01:04	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x08fc54…
06-05 05:11:45	will trump praise dana white by june 30	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x919836…
06-03 08:45:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb546c5…
06-02 04:55:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x170e8e…
05-29 19:03:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xa0b4c4…
05-28 06:22:05	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0af461…
05-25 12:11:23	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd6eb7e…
05-24 17:47:06	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0x8ba37b…
05-24 04:47:30	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5ccaa3…
05-24 04:47:15	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x3b11fa…
05-23 19:20:06	Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs	Keyd	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0c4c1f…
05-23 17:04:58	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x91bbd9…
05-23 09:09:35	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Legacy	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xeee562…
05-22 05:12:21	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x21213c…
05-21 15:14:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x9eb9b5…
05-15 17:10:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1427ac…
05-15 06:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x72ae9d…
05-15 06:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,019	69¢	$700	0xb663c3…
05-15 06:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	924	84¢	$777	0x36490c…
05-15 06:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	924	53¢	$490	0x47c858…
05-15 05:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	475	99¢	$470	0x8b40ea…
05-15 05:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	475	99¢	$470	0xa2ed6f…
05-15 05:30:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	475	100¢	$473	0x45f699…
05-14 18:00:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	475	99¢	$470	0x201ac0…
05-14 10:22:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	486	99¢	$480	0x606327…
05-14 09:35:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	486	99¢	$480	0xdda2ae…
05-13 11:33:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	SELL	488	99¢	$485	0x9d7e59…
05-13 06:19:19	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	488	99¢	$485	0x98ce77…
05-12 19:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	721	61¢	$443	0xa4eb1c…
05-12 19:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	721	55¢	$400	0xcdd351…
05-12 18:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	489	96¢	$469	0x97ebb8…
05-12 18:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	489	90¢	$440	0x4897dd…
05-12 18:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	473	86¢	$408	0x8294e8…
05-12 18:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	473	89¢	$420	0x6958d5…
05-12 18:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	457	95¢	$433	0xd4c73b…
05-12 18:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	457	92¢	$420	0x26d516…
05-12 13:02:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	492	98¢	$480	0x9f3486…
05-12 06:00:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	492	98¢	$480	0x045f9e…
05-11 17:21:04	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	No	SELL	487	98¢	$476	0xc326b0…
05-11 15:35:57	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	No	BUY	487	99¢	$480	0xb68e11…
05-09 06:19:57	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x5996a7…
05-08 17:56:57	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	503	99¢	$499	0x7f34af…
05-08 17:54:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$500	0x278c93…
05-08 17:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0xd97292…
05-08 06:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xdd80e7…
05-06 17:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x993067…
05-06 17:07:11	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	504	99¢	$499	0xb11881…
05-05 18:42:50	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xbad615…
05-05 18:40:18	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$500	0x6258fe…
05-05 18:38:26	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x1bb12b…
05-05 10:36:36	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x926d23…
05-05 10:19:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x136e34…
05-04 17:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	533	94¢	$500	0x684efe…
05-01 19:30:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xb06d9b…
05-01 08:32:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x05408a…
05-01 07:23:54	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	117	7¢	$9	0xe58485…
04-30 14:49:54	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	117	3¢	$3	0xea0b30…
04-27 17:51:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd12a71…
04-27 07:03:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x05d609…
04-18 08:46:42	dota2 xtreme navi 2026 04 18	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3175d8…
04-17 17:32:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x764076…
04-15 18:19:52	btc updown 5m 1776277200	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x39234d…
04-06 17:13:25	btc updown 5m 1775495700	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x07941a…
04-01 18:06:45	btc updown 15m 1775091600	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x8891d5…
04-01 18:06:19	btc updown 15m 1775066400	Down	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x5e40ef…
04-01 18:05:31	btc updown 15m 1775066400	Down	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x4e7cb5…
04-01 11:55:21	btc updown 5m 1775044500	Up	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x4f37d8…
03-31 17:42:09	btc updown 5m 1774978800	Down	SELL	55	72¢	$39	0x1574e6…
03-31 17:41:29	btc updown 5m 1774978800	Down	BUY	56	73¢	$41	0x3ad572…
03-31 17:31:47	btc updown 15m 1775048400	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x28328f…
03-30 18:03:49	btc updown 15m 1774962000	Up	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xc5d294…
03-30 11:52:12	btc updown 15m 1774875600	Up	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0xcc5092…
03-28 20:16:44	btc updown 5m 1774728900	Up	BUY	201	55¢	$112	0x81c987…
03-27 15:29:31	btc updown 5m 1774625100	Up	SELL	160	93¢	$149	0x4db398…
03-27 15:28:53	btc updown 5m 1774625100	Up	BUY	162	63¢	$102	0x275d49…
03-27 09:38:19	btc updown 15m 1774616400	Up	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xa227aa…
03-26 12:50:27	btc updown 15m 1774530000	Up	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0xa8e6b1…
03-25 13:25:11	btc updown 5m 1774444800	Down	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x2360b4…
03-25 13:24:21	btc updown 5m 1774444800	Down	BUY	108	56¢	$60	0xc0a00f…
03-25 13:05:11	btc updown 15m 1774443600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x706d25…
03-25 13:04:57	btc updown 15m 1774443600	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xf18178…
03-25 07:16:09	btc updown 15m 1774443600	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x8b3f4c…
03-24 12:48:03	btc updown 15m 1774357200	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x4356c1…
03-23 18:17:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xea243e…
03-23 17:05:15	btc updown 5m 1774285200	Up	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0x9a72af…
03-23 17:04:45	btc updown 5m 1774285200	Up	BUY	142	81¢	$116	0xa421e3…
03-23 17:00:17	btc updown 5m 1774284900	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x51ef43…
03-23 16:56:57	btc updown 5m 1774284900	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x278a8d…
03-23 13:22:21	btc updown 5m 1774272000	Up	SELL	134	77¢	$104	0xd71f17…
03-23 13:21:49	btc updown 5m 1774272000	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x00398b…
03-23 13:18:45	btc updown 5m 1774271700	Up	SELL	124	81¢	$101	0xf2629b…
03-23 13:17:39	btc updown 5m 1774271700	Up	BUY	126	66¢	$84	0x2138d6…
03-23 13:14:51	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Down	SELL	67	60¢	$40	0xbfb92c…
03-23 13:12:53	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Up	SELL	115	39¢	$45	0xdd4026…
03-23 13:11:45	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x259410…
03-23 13:10:55	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x9025b3…
03-23 13:10:35	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Up	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0xb6f214…
03-23 13:09:09	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x4bec21…
03-23 13:06:51	btc updown 15m 1774270800	Up	SELL	62	29¢	$18	0x3bb439…