Quizzical-Participation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

+$74

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,551

lifetime

Volume

$243.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$253

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-17 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% — —

Other

35% 0% $-257

Tech

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AWS service disrupted by June 30?	No		+260	$178	97¢	$253	+$74	06-17 12:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	277	$16.7K	66,777	65,894	+883	open	—	03-09 01:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	32	$11.0K	7,551	6,201	+1,350	open	—	02-27 19:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	41	$9.2K	7,877	6,442	+1,435	open	—	06-12 19:38
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	22	$8.1K	10,297	11,391	-1,094	open	—	02-20 21:51
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	52	$7.9K	7,762	6,927	+835	open	—	03-31 18:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	55	$7.8K	20,968	13,475	+7,493	open	—	06-15 18:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	188	$7.5K	189,082	206,667	-17,585	open	—	04-08 06:56
AWS service disrupted by April 30?	42	$5.7K	4,014	2,531	+1,483	open	—	05-01 08:06
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	23	$5.1K	5,621	5,112	+509	open	—	06-14 21:26
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	13	$5.0K	3,045	3,045	+0	open	—	02-02 00:45
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	55	$4.3K	2,712	2,917	-205	open	—	04-21 06:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	43	$4.2K	3,189	3,171	+19	open	—	04-02 12:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	65	$3.9K	4,174	4,248	-73	open	—	04-10 17:36
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	29	$3.7K	8,173	1,490	+6,683	open	—	02-27 09:58
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	110	$3.6K	15,498	17,384	-1,886	open	—	04-23 19:38
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	11	$3.6K	2,309	2,544	-235	open	—	06-04 02:33
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	45	$3.6K	8,529	1,449	+7,080	open	—	03-30 18:18
iran closes its airspace by june 8	38	$3.5K	3,111	3,111	+0	open	—	06-07 20:57
efa lee nor 2026 03 07 lee	13	$3.5K	2,431	1,686	+745	open	—	03-08 18:19
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	48	$3.2K	3,056	3,282	-226	open	—	04-14 22:48
will trump post potus this week on truth social	55	$3.0K	3,121	1,939	+1,182	open	—	04-20 16:29
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	11	$3.0K	3,000	2,500	+500	open	—	06-15 20:55
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	10	$3.0K	1,545	1,545	+0	open	—	06-08 23:44
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$2.8K	2,098	2,098	+0	open	—	02-26 23:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	19	$2.7K	11,782	11,782	+0	open	—	06-11 19:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	9	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-12 19:48
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	28	$2.6K	3,641	4,835	-1,194	open	—	06-14 21:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	18	$2.5K	2,699	2,699	+0	open	—	06-12 14:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	7	$2.4K	1,217	1,210	+7	open	—	04-01 07:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$2.4K	1,194	1,194	+0	open	—	06-04 00:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 12:26:44	AWS service disrupted by June 30?	No	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0xb593b7…
06-15 20:55:15	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x18ee68…
06-15 20:54:34	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0x70204a…
06-15 20:52:27	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x80f45c…
06-15 20:51:31	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	500	75¢	$375	0xa76cc5…
06-15 20:44:18	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	500	52¢	$260	0x46ccc8…
06-15 20:42:39	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xb516f1…
06-15 20:42:39	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	392	54¢	$211	0xac00a4…
06-15 20:42:39	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	108	54¢	$58	0x3f54c1…
06-15 20:41:30	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	500	50¢	$250	0x2a07d3…
06-15 20:39:31	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	500	52¢	$260	0x73162e…
06-15 18:47:24	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x3fcc67…
06-15 18:13:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	728	2¢	$18	0x29f3c6…
06-15 18:13:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,188	4¢	$42	0x3d3248…
06-15 18:13:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x14a24e…
06-15 06:47:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	193	7¢	$13	0x37852a…
06-15 06:46:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	257	7¢	$18	0x7f0557…
06-15 06:43:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x9ccabc…
06-15 06:41:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	108	7¢	$8	0xc050b0…
06-15 06:40:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	7¢	$3	0x4d1fab…
06-15 06:40:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	135	7¢	$9	0x332343…
06-15 06:40:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,078	7¢	$75	0x2a8821…
06-15 06:40:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x95f539…
06-15 06:39:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xdea3b9…
06-15 06:35:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	403	15¢	$61	0xbebac1…
06-15 01:19:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,394	18¢	$255	0x2828f1…
06-15 01:18:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x00d5d7…
06-15 01:17:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	948	20¢	$194	0xbf861f…
06-15 01:17:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x34a611…
06-15 01:17:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xc6314b…
06-15 01:17:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xdc7d34…
06-15 01:17:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x266b7e…
06-15 01:17:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x148101…
06-15 01:17:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xde666f…
06-15 01:17:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xd0d35c…
06-15 01:08:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,912	8¢	$233	0xc2418f…
06-15 01:08:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	373	19¢	$70	0xe8fbff…
06-15 01:08:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,356	19¢	$255	0xf73c5b…
06-15 01:08:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x131000…
06-15 01:02:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	962	19¢	$179	0xaabd9b…
06-15 01:02:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	40	16¢	$7	0x421814…
06-15 01:01:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,160	16¢	$190	0xc3b699…
06-14 23:41:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	7¢	$15	0x00c369…
06-14 23:22:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	21¢	$206	0x62f5bd…
06-14 23:22:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	826	21¢	$171	0x5603fb…
06-14 23:22:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbf3003…
06-14 23:22:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xddfc25…
06-14 23:18:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,123	24¢	$507	0x1e7b37…
06-14 23:17:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	277	19¢	$52	0x6e725a…
06-14 23:14:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	690	16¢	$114	0x7d6428…
06-14 23:12:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,000	17¢	$174	0x1e2ef0…
06-14 23:12:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	57	17¢	$10	0x9b768b…
06-14 23:11:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	108	18¢	$19	0x1f7ee6…
06-14 23:10:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	196	19¢	$37	0x7261b1…
06-14 23:01:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xdb220f…
06-14 23:01:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa80ac6…
06-14 23:01:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	970	16¢	$155	0x6756cf…
06-14 23:01:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xf060e4…
06-14 23:01:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	17¢	$173	0xa74727…
06-14 23:01:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0xcc8b3e…
06-14 23:00:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x8122cb…
06-14 22:57:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	699	6¢	$42	0xc7c15b…
06-14 22:57:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	6¢	$18	0xbe4f43…
06-14 22:57:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xd6c3e1…
06-14 22:57:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	800	6¢	$48	0xeb79a2…
06-14 22:57:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x3db67f…
06-14 22:57:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	300	17¢	$52	0x8c4e6e…
06-14 22:57:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,775	17¢	$309	0x4f13ef…
06-14 22:43:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0xaa6f24…
06-14 22:43:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x6472ce…
06-14 22:43:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	51	26¢	$13	0xa7694c…
06-14 22:43:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,083	26¢	$283	0xe0a575…
06-14 22:43:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	920	26¢	$240	0xb7fd13…
06-14 22:41:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2,040	27¢	$551	0xab4b82…
06-14 22:32:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,881	31¢	$577	0x969c25…
06-14 22:31:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	127	31¢	$39	0xce95e5…
06-14 22:31:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	342	30¢	$104	0x7b5f97…
06-14 22:31:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc29f6b…
06-14 22:16:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x9647cf…
06-14 22:16:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,414	23¢	$560	0x476bfa…
06-14 22:16:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,029	23¢	$239	0xe24468…
06-14 22:15:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	3,000	24¢	$714	0x5a9ed5…
06-14 21:53:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,010	16¢	$162	0xc18f82…
06-14 21:53:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	990	16¢	$158	0x670196…
06-14 21:39:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	35¢	$354	0x9516d0…
06-14 21:32:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,000	41¢	$828	0x6d2f1e…
06-14 21:30:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	SELL	235	99¢	$233	0xd6a890…
06-14 21:26:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	1,404	86¢	$1,207	0x4e58f6…
06-14 21:26:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	130	86¢	$112	0x0ef4ad…
06-14 21:21:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	337	86¢	$290	0x964257…
06-14 21:12:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0xe487f4…
06-14 21:11:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	171	60¢	$103	0xe6b0a6…
06-14 21:10:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	48	57¢	$28	0xe467bd…
06-14 21:10:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	481	57¢	$274	0xd14cf1…
06-14 21:09:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	502	60¢	$301	0x719d59…
06-14 21:01:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	791	40¢	$316	0x35e05d…
06-14 20:53:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	540	44¢	$238	0x677c6f…
06-14 20:53:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	437	32¢	$140	0x7eec8c…
06-14 20:53:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	65	29¢	$19	0x20eb8d…
06-14 20:31:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	108	37¢	$40	0xf2b9c2…