Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 08-26 11:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

54% 89% +$12

Other

38% 73% -$6

Sports

5% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+12	$10	88¢	$11	+$1	08-13 02:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	05-16 14:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on israel by january 31	2	$251	132	132	+0	No	+$1	01-30 09:20
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$207	162	162	+0	Yes	+$10	02-01 18:36
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	1	$145	145	0	+145	Yes	+$0	01-30 16:24
military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	03-24 04:08
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	1	$131	131	0	+131	Yes	+$0	02-08 14:02
will president be said at the super bowl 277	1	$102	103	0	+103	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$86	88	0	+88	No	+$2	05-25 06:57
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$85	86	0	+86	No	+$1	02-14 02:11
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$80	88	0	+88	Yes	+$8	01-22 04:46
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$79	81	0	+81	No	+$2	02-23 12:02
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	1	$78	83	0	+83	Yes	+$5	06-27 04:10
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$76	44	44	+0	No	+$2	03-14 18:00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$75	52	52	+0	No	+$18	04-08 00:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$72	37	37	+0	No	+$0	03-15 02:40
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	2	$59	92	92	+0	No	+$20	05-06 10:29
nothing ever happens microstrategy	3	$52	116	116	+0	No	-$29	02-22 14:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$47	329	329	+0	open	—	05-16 14:03
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 13:49
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	03-27 14:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$32	21	21	+0	No	-$4	03-16 03:52
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	1	$24	32	0	+32	Yes	+$8	08-26 11:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$17	48	0	+48	Yes	-$17	01-30 08:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$13	1,311	1,311	+0	No	-$3	04-15 06:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	08-13 02:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 11:20:13	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x86175f…
08-13 02:52:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x806c2c…
06-27 04:10:50	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x3d1203…
05-25 06:57:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0xf3a31f…
05-16 14:03:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	329	7¢	$23	0x160a7b…
05-16 11:34:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	7¢	$24	0x97a5bd…
05-13 13:49:37	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x80fd86…
05-11 04:19:45	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x3b5ffd…
05-06 10:29:36	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	92	43¢	$40	0xaff8e4…
05-03 07:13:04	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	92	21¢	$19	0x275626…
04-15 06:25:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,311	0¢	$5	0x46b588…
04-15 04:26:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,311	1¢	$8	0xbd255f…
04-08 00:59:47	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	52	89¢	$46	0x95ce66…
03-31 08:36:23	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	52	55¢	$29	0x38051a…
03-27 14:51:35	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x357f62…
03-24 04:08:35	military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x864f22…
03-16 03:52:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	68¢	$14	0x96ddbd…
03-15 13:32:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x00b6d8…
03-15 02:40:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x513aa0…
03-14 18:00:45	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	44	89¢	$39	0x6ae9d3…
03-14 13:26:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x281762…
03-14 04:55:49	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	44	85¢	$37	0xaa59cf…
02-23 12:02:10	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	81	97¢	$79	0x1215a7…
02-22 14:56:06	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	98	10¢	$10	0x8e9ba3…
02-22 14:55:54	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x294d16…
02-14 02:11:41	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x56334f…
02-09 10:45:17	will president be said at the super bowl 277	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xbf8d68…
02-08 14:02:13	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x9f66de…
02-01 20:00:48	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	116	35¢	$41	0xbddfce…
02-01 18:36:42	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	162	67¢	$108	0xcd7a43…
02-01 17:52:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	162	61¢	$99	0xc35fbb…
01-30 16:24:28	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xeac9fc…
01-30 09:20:48	iran strike on israel by january 31	No	SELL	132	96¢	$126	0x4ee17d…
01-30 08:50:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	48	35¢	$17	0x57b041…
01-26 06:04:58	iran strike on israel by january 31	No	BUY	132	95¢	$125	0x5bca1c…
01-22 04:46:18	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0x83beca…