Informal-Index-Discovery — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$47.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$289

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

225

10,475 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$22.8K

$1.40M lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

$7.28K

21 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Sports

64% 46% -$50,909

Other

36% 48% -$120,035

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+18,525	$2,967	12¢	$2.1K	-$836	10-31 16:29
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+7,672	$1,136	16¢	$1.3K	+$123	08-22 20:15
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+7,760	$1,319	13¢	$1.0K	-$310	10-28 19:42
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+8,964	$63	6¢	$551	+$489	08-10 17:26
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	+560	$465	93¢	$523	+$58	09-13 22:49
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+867	$173	34¢	$299	+$126	09-28 11:23
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+6,207	$221	5¢	$289	+$67	08-21 14:40
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	+300	$225	84¢	$252	+$27	08-20 12:47
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+5,816	$137	4¢	$206	+$69	08-21 14:39
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+580	$34	22¢	$128	+$95	06-01 16:23
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	+9,864	$42	1¢	$128	+$87	09-14 23:12
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+189	$102	64¢	$122	+$20	09-12 20:20
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	+220	$206	47¢	$103	-$103	05-18 10:19
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	+1,470	$93	5¢	$73	-$20	10-06 01:17
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	+763	$59	10¢	$72	+$14	10-18 23:58
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	+126	$103	54¢	$67	-$36	05-18 14:57
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	+540	$41	8¢	$43	+$2	10-26 00:20
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+9,707	$45	0¢	$10	-$36	08-25 01:56
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-500	-$55	1¢	$-6	+$49	09-22 14:49
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	+214	$104	2¢	$5	-$99	08-14 02:22
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	+157	$75	1¢	$2	-$73	08-14 02:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	52	$206.4K	429,947	0	+429,947	England	-$206,375	07-06 00:55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	105	$112.3K	232,447	50,000	+182,447	Yes	-$53,245	07-19 20:14
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	371	$70.7K	50,612	50,612	+0	No	+$30,172	07-22 22:40
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	320	$53.9K	94,041	25,323	+68,718	Yes	+$50,148	10-26 19:58
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	702	$42.6K	72,094	72,138	-44	No	+$9,107	05-30 12:13
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	82	$38.1K	65,493	105	+65,387	Yes	+$24,909	04-25 20:42
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	367	$35.3K	67,627	21,858	+45,769	No	-$15,148	05-27 01:36
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	666	$28.4K	48,881	36,269	+12,612	Yes	+$20,390	02-08 21:56
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	81	$27.6K	24,600	20,589	+4,011	No	+$744	05-03 18:22
will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	41	$24.7K	25,943	11,431	+14,512	Yes	+$6,947	02-06 03:46
will joe alt win the nfl protector of the year	2	$20.1K	20,441	0	+20,441	No	+$341	02-06 00:51
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$19.8K	53,110	53,110	+0	No	+$1,593	07-09 15:54
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	226	$19.4K	31,351	31,351	+0	Yes	+$1,258	07-15 03:00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$19.4K	70,000	70,000	-0	No	+$1,640	07-06 21:08
Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	10	$18.2K	27,129	0	+27,129	No	+$8,317	05-02 02:53
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	69	$16.3K	31,416	1,509	+29,906	No	+$11,962	05-20 23:45
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	83	$14.2K	29,091	0	+29,091	No	+$3,508	05-04 17:58
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	129	$11.2K	31,361	0	+31,361	No	-$11,155	05-26 00:30
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	39	$11.1K	14,686	0	+14,686	Yes	+$3,577	04-03 22:21
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	12	$11.0K	2,057	13,974	-11,917	Yes	-$3,721	03-16 17:43
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$10.9K	120,938	550	+120,388	No	-$10,862	03-11 20:52
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	4	$10.8K	13,802	19	+13,783	Yes	+$2,573	01-22 15:38
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	36	$10.2K	151,555	0	+151,555	No	-$10,212	06-29 19:51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	77	$9.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$9,900	05-04 18:45
will the jaguars win the afc championship 1	23	$9.7K	6,854	4,681	+2,173	No	+$377	01-11 20:58
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	62	$9.6K	18,028	0	+18,028	Yes	+$8,473	04-17 15:22
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	1	$8.9K	10,936	0	+10,936	Yes	+$2,035	04-24 20:32
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$8.6K	59,963	0	+59,963	No	-$8,624	06-27 22:02
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	58	$8.5K	18,484	0	+18,484	No	+$10,020	05-01 14:46
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	28	$8.5K	4,437	7,325	-2,888	No	+$225	01-13 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:55:51	Will Brighton finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0xa77435…
10-31 16:36:30	Will Brighton finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	62	54¢	$34	0x4ab6f1…
10-31 16:29:55	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	7,185	12¢	$862	0x2cc69b…
10-30 20:24:27	Will Jayden Maiava win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$0	0x8644c5…
10-30 20:21:40	Will CJ Carr win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0xe58fb8…
10-30 12:47:36	Will the Detroit Lions win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 10.5	SELL	376	60¢	$224	0xa541b5…
10-30 02:23:58	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2218e2…
10-30 02:23:07	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	115	61¢	$70	0x0e5d79…
10-30 02:23:00	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xdd42b6…
10-30 02:22:49	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	316	61¢	$193	0x686c1f…
10-30 02:22:22	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x037d04…
10-30 02:22:00	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xcc3087…
10-30 02:21:52	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x952636…
10-29 22:57:01	Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb5fe5a…
10-29 21:41:55	Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3c4e8c…
10-29 20:43:58	Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,092	13¢	$142	0x7a2fa6…
10-29 14:39:59	Will the Chicago Bears have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	665	37¢	$246	0x1402b9…
10-29 14:39:13	Will the Chicago Bears have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	650	74¢	$481	0x3f2089…
10-29 10:41:01	Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	657	68¢	$446	0xb171d3…
10-28 22:47:41	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0xf41583…
10-28 19:42:34	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	370	17¢	$63	0xe8e8f7…
10-28 19:42:34	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xc51c53…
10-28 19:42:32	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x3ee78d…
10-28 18:53:55	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xef2afe…
10-28 18:37:52	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	357	17¢	$61	0xff9f6a…
10-28 18:37:50	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x8a9057…
10-28 18:12:35	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x17fa70…
10-28 18:12:34	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xfe852d…
10-28 18:09:41	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	75	17¢	$13	0xa66aac…
10-28 18:09:41	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	90	17¢	$15	0x28daf7…
10-28 18:09:41	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	370	17¢	$63	0x1bce3d…
10-28 17:11:14	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xf6d692…
10-28 16:13:37	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x29abb1…
10-28 15:58:25	Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x41e894…
10-28 15:35:53	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x44b279…
10-28 15:26:17	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x247f05…
10-28 14:55:55	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	190	17¢	$32	0x49f2c6…
10-28 13:42:38	Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	BUY	116	40¢	$46	0x3a6da4…
10-28 13:03:41	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x47d50b…
10-28 10:29:59	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xf5e2d3…
10-28 10:27:34	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,020	17¢	$173	0x86203b…
10-28 10:24:49	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	522	17¢	$89	0x7320d7…
10-28 09:21:40	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x5f8574…
10-28 09:06:34	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xa70bd9…
10-28 07:36:52	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x8dd362…
10-28 07:29:50	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x4dea69…
10-28 07:28:28	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x457703…
10-28 07:24:32	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	56	17¢	$9	0x98dbb7…
10-28 04:43:04	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x83d889…
10-28 01:44:02	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xabc6e3…
10-28 01:27:06	Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xef1f18…
10-28 01:27:06	Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	148	50¢	$74	0x4a75bf…
10-27 22:53:56	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	92	17¢	$16	0xdab68a…
10-27 22:53:33	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	66	17¢	$11	0xe58c8e…
10-27 22:53:33	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xbe3286…
10-27 22:53:33	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x6c35a5…
10-27 22:53:33	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	76	17¢	$13	0x650647…
10-27 22:53:33	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4,008	17¢	$681	0x1c6e8e…
10-27 21:25:32	Will the Seattle Seahawks have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	192	10¢	$19	0x8f5149…
10-27 21:19:24	Will the Indianapolis Colts win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	U 7.5	BUY	386	75¢	$288	0x122e21…
10-27 20:32:14	Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	152	76¢	$116	0x20e037…
10-27 20:28:51	Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	424	13¢	$55	0x7abdd9…
10-27 20:25:29	Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	39	47¢	$18	0x3ac6d0…
10-27 20:23:39	Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	407	26¢	$106	0x35f77e…
10-27 20:21:24	Will Cincinnati Bengals advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	2,682	53¢	$1,415	0x52bcea…
10-27 20:18:47	Will the Indianapolis Colts win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	U 7.5	BUY	342	70¢	$239	0x9729d6…
10-27 20:16:12	Will the Detroit Lions win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 10.5	BUY	4,358	49¢	$2,123	0x1e9710…
10-27 20:02:00	Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	4,147	58¢	$2,397	0x1eb84d…
10-27 19:59:17	Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 7.5	BUY	93	51¢	$47	0x78f26a…
10-27 16:20:41	Will the Denver Broncos win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 9.5	BUY	463	74¢	$341	0x886518…
10-27 16:18:08	Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xbe3c43…
10-27 16:05:48	Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	U 7.5	BUY	657	42¢	$276	0xc9a88d…
10-27 16:04:06	Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	686	74¢	$508	0x4155c4…
10-27 15:03:48	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	424	41¢	$174	0xfcf808…
10-27 15:01:33	Will Chelsea finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	617	25¢	$154	0xc7f94b…
10-27 13:42:45	Will the New York Jets win more than 5.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 5.5	BUY	84	34¢	$28	0x8d7a07…
10-27 03:02:32	Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x6541c9…
10-27 02:55:53	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe57ddc…
10-27 02:55:53	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0x8be3bd…
10-27 02:55:33	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x7e6fbd…
10-27 02:55:00	Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?	No	BUY	340	89¢	$302	0x99a00e…
10-27 01:40:51	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	602	61¢	$367	0x3bbedd…
10-26 22:55:45	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	864	1¢	$9	0x22d2c6…
10-26 22:55:45	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x22704b…
10-26 22:55:42	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xbb0634…
10-26 22:55:41	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	995	1¢	$10	0xa87cf8…
10-26 22:55:41	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9a1b0f…
10-26 22:55:39	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	3,093	1¢	$31	0x2914d2…
10-26 22:53:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x4c92f4…
10-26 22:51:39	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xbe07cd…
10-26 22:23:24	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x7c31ca…
10-26 22:15:20	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	113	20¢	$23	0xc10444…
10-26 22:15:18	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x9d1a7c…
10-26 22:14:03	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	181	20¢	$36	0x941bff…
10-26 22:12:20	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x0926ab…
10-26 22:06:23	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	1,961	25¢	$490	0x90e046…
10-26 22:06:18	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xd98e81…
10-26 22:06:12	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x778848…
10-26 22:06:09	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xf458de…
10-26 21:07:42	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x2f3739…