Hilarious-Weakness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-21 09:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 0% $-4

Politics

15% — —

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		-30	$-29	99¢	$-30	$-1	06-14 00:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	7	$2.1K	2,000	1,986	+14	open	—	04-25 03:09
Abidjan: Maximilian Neuchrist vs Karim Bennani	4	$1.2K	952	952	+0	open	—	04-21 08:09
mlb sd col 2026 04 22 spread away 1pt5	2	$990	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-22 07:41
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?	2	$950	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-26 01:45
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNally	3	$890	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-26 03:35
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?	4	$879	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	04-25 04:23
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	2	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-25 04:02
Abidjan: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Oscar Weightman	6	$626	793	793	+0	open	—	04-22 07:41
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	3	$440	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 06:53
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-04-26?	26	$335	435	435	+0	open	—	04-26 06:17
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5	6	$258	248	248	+0	open	—	04-26 05:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 03:13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	3	$235	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 05:16
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	10	$220	250	250	+0	open	—	06-18 06:42
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	2	$219	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 05:47
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	11	$198	250	250	+0	open	—	06-19 17:03
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	8	$198	195	195	+0	open	—	06-14 17:58
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	9	$166	150	150	+0	open	—	06-14 20:36
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	2	$165	181	181	+0	open	—	04-29 05:07
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	7	$164	150	150	+0	open	—	06-15 13:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	7	$152	200	150	+50	open	—	06-16 14:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	7	$148	100	200	-100	open	—	06-14 16:05
Aix en Provence: Thomas Faurel vs David Goffin	2	$122	102	102	+0	open	—	04-29 04:28
will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	9	$122	133	133	+0	open	—	06-15 00:28
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	4	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	06-20 00:24
will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	5	$109	100	100	+0	open	—	06-14 06:47
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	2	$106	200	200	+0	open	—	05-28 00:20
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	7	$105	150	150	+0	open	—	06-18 18:12
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	4	$95	100	100	+0	open	—	06-19 06:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	6	$93	100	100	+0	open	—	06-15 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 09:23:53	will prjx launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x016576…
06-20 10:51:40	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x69a29c…
06-20 10:51:32	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xcef8a0…
06-20 09:24:41	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x36729b…
06-20 04:48:29	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xca1417…
06-20 00:24:37	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xf2d4c9…
06-19 17:05:47	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x1b5bca…
06-19 17:05:16	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xf59b57…
06-19 17:03:05	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x633280…
06-19 16:55:49	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x6799a8…
06-19 16:19:29	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0xfebc77…
06-19 16:19:26	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x5c5f4b…
06-19 16:19:22	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x947ef1…
06-19 14:14:26	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x7eac71…
06-19 12:57:02	will prjx launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x5e0bcc…
06-19 10:39:11	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xed8fd1…
06-19 09:28:05	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x32b072…
06-19 06:50:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x614053…
06-19 06:50:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x18d810…
06-19 06:07:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x3815ac…
06-19 06:06:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x4a7176…
06-19 01:46:37	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x7df491…
06-19 01:46:01	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x946364…
06-18 18:12:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xb583eb…
06-18 17:41:04	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xc9bb46…
06-18 17:40:49	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xae5587…
06-18 17:06:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0xaba7ac…
06-18 17:05:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x7f2843…
06-18 15:50:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x3377ae…
06-18 15:41:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0x93d44a…
06-18 15:29:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x72bbfa…
06-18 14:18:56	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x3a463d…
06-18 14:17:49	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x48fee0…
06-18 14:15:29	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	63¢	$23	0xcd7774…
06-18 14:11:47	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xbfdcb8…
06-18 10:27:32	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x9deb72…
06-18 10:25:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xd7c7f4…
06-18 07:44:43	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8ef469…
06-18 07:44:41	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0xce962f…
06-18 06:42:13	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xbff433…
06-18 06:42:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xf62ac4…
06-18 06:42:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xf62ac4…
06-18 05:27:14	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x878f75…
06-17 22:37:37	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x2f5964…
06-17 19:13:04	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xdbf2f0…
06-17 19:12:58	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x3a7378…
06-17 18:10:32	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xee6198…
06-17 07:49:04	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x1a8183…
06-17 07:43:43	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x1ef112…
06-17 05:27:16	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xc6a75c…
06-17 04:54:59	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x48d526…
06-16 14:21:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x8ba1fd…
06-16 14:03:47	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0xe78494…
06-16 14:03:47	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0xb1396b…
06-16 14:03:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0x915797…
06-16 13:59:07	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xe4b61c…
06-16 13:58:55	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x10c812…
06-16 11:45:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xf511a3…
06-16 11:41:30	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x073471…
06-16 11:22:57	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x8b5eaf…
06-16 10:46:22	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x743c2b…
06-16 09:52:46	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0xb86954…
06-16 09:52:00	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0x0810cf…
06-16 09:51:01	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x9ea0c4…
06-16 09:23:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x713165…
06-16 09:23:49	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xb128c7…
06-16 08:48:03	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xd4299a…
06-16 08:45:31	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xf86063…
06-16 06:29:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x9990fc…
06-16 04:55:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xecc2d1…
06-16 04:45:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x792b50…
06-16 04:26:46	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x1713d1…
06-16 04:26:27	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0x1eddaa…
06-16 04:23:49	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8cf72c…
06-15 15:59:57	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x995564…
06-15 15:39:55	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xc4ee8a…
06-15 15:39:52	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x8cf471…
06-15 14:46:07	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x3cbce9…
06-15 14:29:15	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x26b997…
06-15 14:28:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x90d621…
06-15 13:59:40	us and iran sign an agreement by july 31 2026 20260611221049854	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x005bf7…
06-15 13:59:19	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x3c15e0…
06-15 13:58:45	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x2f5c64…
06-15 13:57:12	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x70e2bd…
06-15 13:51:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x0df709…
06-15 12:33:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x998c76…
06-15 12:33:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x312638…
06-15 11:20:52	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	Yes	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0xda67be…
06-15 10:07:37	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x729747…
06-15 10:07:37	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x729747…
06-15 10:01:31	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x4bedd4…
06-15 09:59:19	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0xacbef5…
06-15 09:53:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x15cf57…
06-15 09:33:19	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x21bea0…
06-15 09:33:18	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x33da9a…
06-15 09:33:18	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x0a85f4…
06-15 09:27:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x9a3329…
06-15 09:03:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x12eae7…
06-15 09:03:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x309d08…
06-15 09:03:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xc70581…