Cultured-Swing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$424

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

232

Trades

600

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$98

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-17 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

62% 76% -$435

Crypto

20% 64% -$249

Politics

17% 82% +$243

Tech

1% 67% +$17

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No		+100	$81	98¢	$98	+$17	05-27 11:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$1.2K	666	666	+0	No	+$88	05-22 05:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	2	$927	516	516	+0	No	+$70	05-18 14:22
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	19	$893	519	519	+0	No	+$94	05-27 10:00
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$580	302	302	+0	No	+$24	05-25 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7?	4	$550	571	0	+571	No	+$21	06-07 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?	4	$466	375	97	+278	Yes	-$1	06-06 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	20	$455	360	360	+0	Yes	-$52	05-31 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?	15	$446	457	46	+411	Yes	+$39	05-29 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 2?	14	$421	340	110	+230	No	+$14	06-02 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30?	25	$408	572	0	+572	No	+$164	05-30 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$407	321	321	+0	Down	-$3	05-18 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	12	$379	384	0	+384	Yes	+$5	06-08 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1?	15	$362	386	100	+286	Yes	+$0	06-01 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?	2	$340	344	0	+344	Yes	-$340	06-09 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 3?	2	$337	300	40	+260	Yes	+$3	06-03 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 30?	2	$292	149	149	+0	No	+$4	05-30 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	6	$276	290	0	+290	Yes	+$14	06-02 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	1	$270	272	0	+272	Yes	+$3	06-06 07:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?	7	$235	240	0	+240	No	+$5	05-31 14:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$230	128	128	+0	No	+$11	05-30 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	2	$228	230	0	+230	Yes	+$2	06-05 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?	1	$222	225	0	+225	Yes	+$3	06-04 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$221	124	124	+0	Up	+$11	05-26 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	5	$215	1,321	0	+1,321	Down	-$215	05-18 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$203	104	104	+0	Down	+$3	05-19 07:24
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$200	263	0	+263	No	-$200	06-17 06:00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	2	$199	114	114	+0	open	—	06-02 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4?	1	$198	200	0	+200	Yes	+$2	06-04 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?	3	$197	140	70	+70	No	$0	06-08 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 29?	5	$193	150	150	+0	No	+$18	05-29 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 06:00:49	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xc4ec6d…
06-09 07:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?	No	BUY	272	99¢	$269	0xe4a7be…
06-09 07:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x3e9e1a…
06-09 06:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xf34f88…
06-09 06:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 9?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x70aa8c…
06-09 06:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 9?	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0xcaae65…
06-09 06:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 9?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xf36480…
06-09 05:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 9?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x06e30e…
06-09 04:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9b573e…
06-09 04:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xec1ff3…
06-09 04:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xc0a410…
06-09 03:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	No	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x50bff2…
06-09 03:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xb557aa…
06-09 03:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x43dc0d…
06-09 03:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x59106a…
06-09 03:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd93495…
06-09 03:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xf7ad1f…
06-09 03:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xd74729…
06-08 17:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?	No	SELL	70	91¢	$63	0x7b7447…
06-08 13:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	115	95¢	$110	0x48a2c8…
06-08 13:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x07f3af…
06-08 06:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x59d950…
06-08 06:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcfc7da…
06-08 06:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa8a97…
06-08 06:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 8?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xb8b97e…
06-08 06:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x481af1…
06-08 06:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 8?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdfba8c…
06-08 06:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 8?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd640f1…
06-08 05:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x0c77f2…
06-08 05:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x0b10d8…
06-08 05:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 8?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x94f6d9…
06-08 05:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xbd4df3…
06-08 05:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 8?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0xf5ff30…
06-08 05:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0xe961ea…
06-08 05:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x2a246a…
06-08 05:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x191c3b…
06-08 05:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x913fb6…
06-08 05:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb1b302…
06-08 05:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x538b92…
06-08 05:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f06e4…
06-08 05:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xc13d35…
06-08 04:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x048d13…
06-08 04:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 8?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0x98efd8…
06-08 04:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xea4f47…
06-08 03:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4ce56f…
06-07 03:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x6ca28c…
06-07 03:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5ee8dc…
06-07 03:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7?	No	BUY	165	97¢	$159	0x153b5c…
06-07 03:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7?	No	BUY	317	98¢	$309	0x4d43ea…
06-07 03:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 7?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x997b24…
06-07 02:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 7?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x3adf48…
06-07 01:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0xdd70b6…
06-07 01:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x261c19…
06-07 01:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 7?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$18	0xb9512d…
06-07 01:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7?	No	BUY	59	89¢	$53	0x636bee…
06-06 08:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 6?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x7c6ff7…
06-06 08:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x3616e9…
06-06 07:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x12e3a8…
06-06 07:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	92	96¢	$89	0xe713be…
06-06 07:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 6?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0x71af70…
06-06 07:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 7?	No	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0xb6e933…
06-06 07:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 7?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0x3a6b2c…
06-06 07:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3a2f4c…
06-06 07:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0xbbc219…
06-05 15:33:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x631965…
06-05 15:00:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x6da365…
06-05 14:40:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0xe4abcb…
06-05 14:18:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x12c655…
06-05 14:17:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5fe1fe…
06-05 14:15:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?	No	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x9f528f…
06-05 10:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x213f57…
06-05 09:41:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xc79ee9…
06-05 09:30:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x34111b…
06-05 08:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x49caa1…
06-05 08:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xec762f…
06-05 08:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xde37d4…
06-05 08:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb15d85…
06-05 08:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4f49f4…
06-05 08:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb53282…
06-05 08:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xfe3052…
06-05 08:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x15ed8e…
06-05 08:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9d9319…
06-05 08:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x85162b…
06-05 08:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xec37a7…
06-05 08:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x1d4434…
06-05 07:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 5?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xb4dd5e…
06-05 07:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x181e79…
06-05 07:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x837f18…
06-05 07:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x346987…
06-05 06:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 5?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xbfaa5b…
06-05 06:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 5?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$28	0xc0ae35…
06-05 05:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7ce57e…
06-05 05:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xd84724…
06-05 05:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xd21310…
06-05 05:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x461b88…
06-05 05:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 5?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xaca0ba…
06-05 04:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x519849…
06-05 04:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x99545e…
06-05 02:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xfd42d7…
06-05 02:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xc06c45…