General-Cooking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$1.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-19 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% 0% $-1

Crypto

21% — —

Other

20% 100% +$11

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		-15	$-14	97¢	$-14	$-0	07-04 00:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	7	$428	256	256	+0	open	—	03-23 11:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 1	2	$251	153	151	+2	open	—	04-01 13:35
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	3	$57	38	38	+0	open	—	02-28 06:24
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$54	32	32	+0	open	—	02-27 15:40
will elon musks net worth be at least 670b on january 31	2	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	01-31 08:11
will google gemini score at least 40 on humanitys last exam	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	02-17 11:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	02-28 21:48
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	5	$42	39	36	+3	Yes	+$11	05-11 15:13
will deb tirar ms fotos bad bunny win album of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$35	55	0	+55	open	—	01-22 06:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	01-30 11:54
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	2	$30	26	26	+0	open	—	01-20 16:58
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	1	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	07-11 12:50
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	2	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	07-19 16:52
will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	2	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	02-16 15:15
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	02-28 06:44
will i just might bruno mars be the 1 song on us spotify this week	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	01-22 06:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	04-08 10:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-08 10:20
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	01-31 19:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$22	39	17	+22	open	—	03-16 11:41
bitcoin up or down january 31 2pm et	2	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	01-31 19:08
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	01-31 19:09
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	07-13 09:52
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	07-18 21:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	03-21 15:17
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$16	46	46	+0	open	—	01-20 21:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$16	21	21	+0	open	—	03-24 22:45
f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	03-29 07:35
btc updown 5m 1771328700	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	02-17 11:50
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$14	0	15	-15	open	—	07-04 00:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 16:52:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8f9896…
07-18 21:51:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x622034…
07-18 17:26:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe12d09…
07-18 17:24:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x50a9fb…
07-18 17:23:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9e311f…
07-13 09:52:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x760e51…
07-13 09:52:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xeacd41…
07-11 12:50:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x46dac5…
07-04 00:53:28	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x4c0568…
07-01 17:50:38	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x803c01…
07-01 16:57:20	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x64f732…
07-01 16:56:50	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x54c4a9…
06-15 21:33:49	Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x024e4d…
06-10 21:03:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6a350d…
06-10 21:03:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2eee7b…
06-08 11:47:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x35981b…
06-08 11:46:42	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x65ef98…
05-11 15:14:36	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x1d2de9…
05-11 15:13:18	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3f22f4…
05-10 13:58:40	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb4b5b…
05-10 13:57:07	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	70¢	$25	0xcbc454…
05-03 20:51:32	Will "Pinocchio" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x84592e…
05-03 20:51:10	Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6619f2…
05-03 20:51:02	Will "Kanye" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x09b3f4…
05-03 20:50:52	Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x61d7d9…
05-03 20:50:38	Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0a09da…
05-03 20:50:30	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc5538d…
04-28 09:50:10	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x085ec1…
04-28 09:49:30	Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76241b…
04-28 09:49:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xea949f…
04-22 07:29:14	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe0cf7b…
04-22 07:28:56	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xbff20a…
04-22 07:28:42	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x036021…
04-22 07:28:30	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4c720d…
04-22 07:27:54	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x33a6c0…
04-16 09:14:16	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4d80ae…
04-08 10:20:19	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0xcae0e9…
04-08 10:20:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x973277…
04-08 10:20:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0xf24f81…
04-01 13:35:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 1	Yes	SELL	151	80¢	$121	0xf39f5e…
04-01 13:31:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 1	Yes	BUY	153	85¢	$129	0xad1a10…
04-01 13:27:59	will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6a6ee3…
04-01 13:27:29	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4f1989…
04-01 13:27:01	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8f4a62…
04-01 13:25:03	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfcc297…
04-01 13:18:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x4a6af7…
03-31 08:32:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd61c9c…
03-31 08:19:07	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5a683f…
03-30 13:02:30	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x470461…
03-29 07:35:32	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7a7974…
03-27 07:40:15	f1 japanese grand prix winner hamilton 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeab456…
03-27 07:40:07	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x13d2b2…
03-27 07:39:59	f1 japanese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x6c6a4e…
03-25 16:33:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x52c6fb…
03-24 22:45:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x468703…
03-23 11:15:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0x72b961…
03-21 15:17:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x0d94d0…
03-19 16:32:53	Will either Tate brother be arrested by March 31?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xac8b41…
03-16 11:42:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6577d9…
03-16 11:42:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd46330…
03-16 11:42:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4d8f52…
03-16 11:41:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x6dfbb1…
03-16 11:31:57	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbd16a7…
03-04 15:06:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xd17f3e…
03-04 06:57:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xd4444a…
03-03 21:48:19	us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xb1a205…
03-03 21:47:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	105	76¢	$80	0x2e4ef1…
03-03 07:56:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	101	90¢	$91	0x44fa1f…
03-03 07:17:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x2776c7…
03-02 09:19:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x502255…
03-01 20:21:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x47d9b7…
03-01 20:19:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x504752…
03-01 11:02:29	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe40600…
03-01 11:01:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x10817e…
03-01 11:01:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc56eaa…
03-01 11:01:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x16dad1…
03-01 11:01:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1f89cf…
03-01 11:00:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x413304…
03-01 11:00:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x608cc6…
03-01 11:00:01	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe04655…
03-01 10:59:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x515881…
03-01 10:59:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf622d1…
03-01 10:55:27	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2e5036…
02-28 21:48:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x3f11c0…
02-28 15:39:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x015c04…
02-28 06:44:13	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xd7ba08…
02-28 06:43:21	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x5ddfff…
02-28 06:35:17	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x78b0f0…
02-28 06:33:33	nothing ever happens israel edition	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xfca674…
02-28 06:24:39	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x5ecf6c…
02-27 15:44:17	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3e7533…
02-27 15:43:55	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xd6f9eb…
02-27 15:42:47	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x115ec0…
02-27 15:42:13	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x006554…
02-27 15:41:15	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x64ecf3…
02-27 15:40:45	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x858053…
02-23 07:29:04	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa13bc0…
02-19 11:23:06	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb2e447…
02-19 11:22:58	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa93ebe…
02-19 06:55:24	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x35e7f1…