Failing-Party — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 76% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	$-2	05-04 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 04:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 05:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 07:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 07:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 07:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 07:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 10:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 10:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 08:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 10:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfb7730…
05-05 10:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3bdbed…
05-05 10:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x21e2ee…
05-05 10:10:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3d2c73…
05-05 10:05:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x15179b…
05-05 08:55:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x26d264…
05-05 08:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x50a644…
05-05 08:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcb779b…
05-05 08:40:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcba65d…
05-05 08:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xca380f…
05-05 08:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7ac22f…
05-05 08:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5433c4…
05-05 08:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb7dea4…
05-05 08:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x39e47b…
05-05 08:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x64f5f0…
05-05 08:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3d7c05…
05-05 08:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xeecd72…
05-05 08:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x348ae9…
05-05 08:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8bdb2d…
05-05 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x57cb9b…
05-05 08:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb74fc3…
05-05 07:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7bb3fb…
05-05 07:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3ab8de…
05-05 07:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb17d97…
05-05 07:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa9cc3f…
05-05 07:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7787f8…
05-05 07:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa22b6e…
05-05 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x90ec33…
05-05 07:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc330a6…
05-05 07:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7908ba…
05-05 07:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x24311b…
05-05 07:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc8f88a…
05-05 07:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb9c7a3…
05-05 06:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1326d8…
05-05 06:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4d1815…
05-05 06:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x18f4e4…
05-05 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x80d543…
05-05 05:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5cfa0f…
05-05 04:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xddeda5…
05-05 04:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x18d21f…
05-05 04:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe546fc…
05-05 04:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcc50a4…
05-05 03:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x58ad64…
05-05 03:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9df402…
05-05 03:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x10b307…
05-05 03:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x93bbab…
05-05 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x00d2b0…
05-05 03:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x028c12…
05-05 03:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x355faf…
05-04 20:05:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x3810c2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	44	$3.24K	286	05-05 10:25
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	44	$592	144	05-05 10:25
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	43	$4.46K	187	05-05 10:26
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	29	$529	77	05-05 10:25
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	23	$1.95K	120	05-05 08:35
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	22	$1.96K	120	05-05 08:35
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	21	$1.22K	111	05-05 08:35
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	21	$1.17K	105	05-05 08:35