Foolish-Toenail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.2%

Resolved

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$206.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$720

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-14 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Politics

35% 75% -$2

Sports

35% 18% -$1,842

Other

29% 29% +$289

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$6.7K	3,342	3,342	+0	No	-$3	05-09 04:18
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$5.9K	2,953	2,953	+0	No	-$3	03-22 14:46
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$5.5K	2,770	2,770	+0	open	—	06-15 06:08
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$5.1K	3,009	2,077	+932	No	+$4	03-17 10:34
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$4.9K	2,457	2,457	+0	open	—	06-15 10:04
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$4.2K	2,093	2,093	+0	No	-$2	05-25 07:56
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	4	$4.0K	2,001	2,001	+0	open	—	06-24 08:10
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$3.9K	1,963	1,963	+0	open	—	07-10 18:16
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$3.6K	1,813	1,813	+0	open	—	06-03 10:22
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$3.4K	1,730	1,730	+0	No	-$2	05-07 07:19
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$3.3K	1,669	1,669	+0	open	—	06-07 10:06
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$3.3K	1,662	1,662	+0	No	-$2	06-13 18:14
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$3.3K	1,662	1,662	+0	open	—	06-06 03:55
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.3K	1,656	1,656	+0	open	—	06-14 14:33
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$3.3K	1,652	1,652	+0	open	—	06-20 11:03
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.3K	1,630	1,630	+0	No	-$2	03-22 09:21
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$3.2K	1,613	1,613	+0	open	—	06-15 08:35
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$3.2K	1,608	1,608	+0	No	-$2	03-25 13:38
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.1K	1,577	1,577	+0	No	-$3	03-25 11:01
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$3.1K	1,580	1,580	-0	open	—	06-17 04:41
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$3.1K	1,580	1,580	+0	open	—	06-10 06:29
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$3.1K	1,549	1,549	+0	No	-$2	03-25 05:21
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$3.1K	1,549	1,549	+0	No	-$2	06-08 07:45
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$3.1K	1,538	1,538	+0	open	—	06-29 08:46
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,514	1,514	+0	No	-$3	03-25 16:00
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,507	1,507	+0	No	-$2	03-24 06:58
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	4	$3.0K	1,499	1,499	+0	No	-$1	03-07 10:34
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,495	1,495	+0	No	-$1	03-28 09:32
will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.0K	1,486	1,486	+0	No	-$1	03-21 06:13
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$2.8K	1,424	1,424	-0	No	-$1	07-02 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 21:00:05	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	303	99¢	$301	0xa0b738…
07-14 16:53:14	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$301	0xe4f305…
07-10 18:16:25	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	344	99¢	$341	0x42233c…
07-10 13:46:02	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	344	99¢	$342	0xf5edbc…
07-09 05:21:47	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	303	99¢	$301	0x945f02…
07-09 04:04:56	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$301	0x971ea7…
07-08 05:53:44	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	295	99¢	$293	0xf74fa9…
07-08 05:15:53	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	295	99¢	$293	0xba6e42…
07-07 08:46:52	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	290	99¢	$288	0x9dcf3f…
07-07 04:47:47	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	290	99¢	$288	0x086ccd…
07-03 08:10:14	Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0x78f6c4…
07-03 04:03:16	Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0xb5f7f9…
07-02 10:35:20	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0xacceb0…
07-02 06:35:14	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0x987a9e…
06-30 10:34:11	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	709	99¢	$703	0xc6ef76…
06-30 08:27:40	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	709	99¢	$704	0x3c4a56…
06-30 07:23:53	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	741	99¢	$735	0x918127…
06-30 03:15:23	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	741	99¢	$735	0xad51d2…
06-29 10:04:10	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	746	99¢	$740	0x1a0143…
06-29 08:49:41	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	746	99¢	$741	0xda76ee…
06-29 08:46:14	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	652	99¢	$647	0xce9678…
06-29 07:13:43	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	652	99¢	$648	0x205c0c…
06-29 06:38:02	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	710	99¢	$705	0xba66d7…
06-29 02:54:34	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	710	99¢	$705	0xd85416…
06-24 08:10:41	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	512	100¢	$510	0xe05e4c…
06-24 03:54:28	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	512	100¢	$510	0x3dc7aa…
06-23 09:36:53	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	762	100¢	$760	0x02845a…
06-23 08:10:25	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	762	100¢	$760	0xa607de…
06-23 04:05:17	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	711	99¢	$705	0x49bf2a…
06-23 02:46:46	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	711	99¢	$706	0x7ab6c8…
06-22 08:37:58	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	551	99¢	$546	0x50a1b9…
06-22 07:55:19	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	551	99¢	$547	0xcff9b9…
06-22 07:47:23	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	636	99¢	$631	0xb1fa14…
06-22 05:55:29	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	636	99¢	$632	0x41ca31…
06-22 04:28:40	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	647	99¢	$642	0x94fec8…
06-22 02:53:11	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	647	99¢	$643	0xd2aa92…
06-20 11:03:37	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	871	99¢	$865	0x7f4a66…
06-20 09:02:29	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	871	99¢	$866	0x3ae012…
06-18 05:47:26	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	941	99¢	$934	0x1da1c6…
06-18 02:46:58	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	941	99¢	$935	0x7656db…
06-17 07:35:50	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,176	100¢	$1,172	0x8e7e86…
06-17 06:04:05	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,176	100¢	$1,173	0xfcd048…
06-17 04:41:08	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,269	99¢	$1,259	0xbd5985…
06-17 02:25:21	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,269	99¢	$1,260	0xac13ac…
06-15 10:04:16	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,575	99¢	$1,562	0x0ecf4d…
06-15 08:37:43	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,575	99¢	$1,564	0x2f617a…
06-15 08:35:42	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,613	100¢	$1,609	0x3f9722…
06-15 06:15:57	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,613	100¢	$1,610	0xd26387…
06-15 06:08:27	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,206	100¢	$1,202	0x15b310…
06-15 02:45:19	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,206	100¢	$1,204	0xaacaf1…
06-14 14:33:51	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,656	99¢	$1,643	0xb543f9…
06-14 05:52:13	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,656	99¢	$1,645	0xa3c1b0…
06-13 18:14:12	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,662	100¢	$1,656	0x00495e…
06-13 06:10:52	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,662	100¢	$1,657	0x6b82a4…
06-13 02:13:40	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	456	100¢	$454	0xfca9b9…
06-10 06:29:42	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,580	99¢	$1,567	0x769274…
06-10 03:21:22	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,580	99¢	$1,569	0xe792b1…
06-09 10:38:58	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1,489	100¢	$1,481	0x533c8e…
06-09 06:20:54	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1,489	100¢	$1,483	0x3172ef…
06-09 04:29:31	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,564	100¢	$1,560	0x30df1c…
06-09 02:34:03	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,564	100¢	$1,561	0xf64334…
06-08 09:32:18	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,159	99¢	$1,149	0x25011a…
06-08 08:32:52	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,159	99¢	$1,150	0x66545c…
06-08 07:45:15	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,549	100¢	$1,543	0x747f4c…
06-08 06:43:33	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,549	100¢	$1,544	0xbe5153…
06-08 05:05:57	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,619	99¢	$1,606	0x6114db…
06-08 02:35:36	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,619	99¢	$1,608	0x4de1ea…
06-07 10:06:06	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,669	100¢	$1,663	0xd7401d…
06-07 07:55:24	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,669	100¢	$1,664	0x56fb13…
06-06 03:55:07	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,662	99¢	$1,649	0x3da793…
06-06 02:43:25	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,662	99¢	$1,650	0xf02f53…
06-04 06:18:27	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	145	43¢	$62	0x8c8f5e…
06-03 10:22:15	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	582	99¢	$578	0xc3bf9c…
06-03 09:14:25	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	582	99¢	$579	0x8f2f5e…
06-03 07:28:50	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	505	99¢	$501	0x3cce41…
06-03 03:51:22	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$502	0x38af2b…
06-02 06:57:42	Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	526	100¢	$524	0x39e481…
06-02 05:42:20	Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	526	100¢	$524	0xf053fa…
06-02 05:11:33	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	129	41¢	$53	0x72638e…
06-02 03:49:38	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	603	100¢	$601	0x660668…
06-02 02:33:56	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	603	100¢	$602	0x770181…
06-01 07:40:38	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	328	99¢	$326	0x7f1ff3…
06-01 06:52:05	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	328	99¢	$326	0x5f5a87…
06-01 03:57:15	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$312	0xe5acc8…
06-01 02:19:26	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0x3508eb…
05-31 04:04:47	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	311	99¢	$309	0x77a458…
05-31 03:13:03	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	311	99¢	$309	0xefe61f…
05-29 04:39:21	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	290	99¢	$288	0xcb2be6…
05-29 03:43:07	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	290	99¢	$289	0x8d8bd1…
05-27 10:24:53	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	335	100¢	$334	0x80007b…
05-27 08:44:22	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$334	0xbce15a…
05-27 05:10:05	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$321	0xea80e3…
05-27 03:49:42	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$321	0xde2236…
05-27 02:33:42	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	317	99¢	$314	0xbfb0bc…
05-27 01:26:31	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	317	99¢	$315	0xded8fd…
05-27 01:12:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	238	99¢	$237	0xcf5dcf…
05-25 10:16:07	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	537	99¢	$532	0xe3fad0…
05-25 09:18:17	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	537	99¢	$533	0x9f092a…
05-25 07:56:05	Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	352	100¢	$351	0xf3777e…
05-25 05:49:42	Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0xbf6996…