Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$635

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$80

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-22

last 11-06 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Tech

52% 100% +$20

Other

48% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+33	$22	76¢	$25	+$3	11-05 17:47
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	+43	$24	44¢	$19	-$5	11-06 18:45
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	+29	$25	62¢	$18	-$7	11-06 18:45
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+24	$20	42¢	$10	-$9	11-06 18:45
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+36	$25	22¢	$8	-$18	11-06 18:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	1	$49	49	+49	Yes	+$0	11-02 18:00
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	1	$47	49	+49	No	+$2	10-22 23:29
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	1	$47	50	+50	Yes	+$3	10-22 23:29
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	1	$46	47	+47	Yes	+$1	10-26 19:06
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	1	$43	45	+45	No	+$2	10-26 19:06
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	1	$42	46	+46	Yes	+$4	10-26 19:06
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$40	48	+48	No	+$9	10-28 17:06
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	1	$39	49	+49	Yes	+$10	10-28 17:06
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	1	$38	39	+39	No	+$0	10-22 23:29
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	1	$36	37	+37	No	+$1	10-26 19:06
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$35	38	+38	No	+$4	10-28 17:06
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-22 23:29
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$29	34	+34	Yes	+$5	10-23 00:49
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	1	$25	36	+36	open	—	11-06 18:46
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	1	$25	29	+29	open	—	11-06 18:45
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$24	43	+43	open	—	11-06 18:45
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	1	$22	33	+33	open	—	11-05 17:47
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	1	$20	24	+24	open	—	11-06 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 18:46:43	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x851cce…
11-06 18:45:43	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	43	57¢	$24	0xd52110…
11-06 18:45:42	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	80¢	$20	0x4b090d…
11-06 18:45:42	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x138d58…
11-05 17:47:40	Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	68¢	$22	0x37a4dc…
11-02 18:00:09	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x3b20de…
10-28 17:06:41	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	38	90¢	$35	0xc6c11f…
10-28 17:06:40	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	48	82¢	$40	0x8bc2fe…
10-28 17:06:25	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	79¢	$39	0xa6a9de…
10-26 19:06:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xf17dc8…
10-26 19:06:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x7fce28…
10-26 19:06:33	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x430e35…
10-26 19:06:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x250330…
10-23 00:49:36	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x893565…
10-22 23:29:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xdd53aa…
10-22 23:29:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xd1a417…
10-22 23:29:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xc0714d…
10-22 23:29:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x33b81b…