Ultimate-Waterfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,705

lifetime

Volume

$508.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-10 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

51% 58% +$239

Other

49% 50% $-413

Crypto

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	2	$26.9K	16,921	16,921	+0	open	—	03-08 00:02
Madrid Open: Martin Damm vs Jakub Mensik	2	$23.7K	14,411	14,302	+108	open	—	04-25 11:47
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19	2	$23.4K	40,419	0	+40,419	open	—	03-19 22:48
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	2	$21.0K	36,305	35,814	+490	open	—	04-27 03:21
dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 total 1pt5	2	$20.5K	11,220	11,168	+52	open	—	04-23 20:25
mlb nym chc 2026 04 17	2	$16.8K	11,666	11,522	+143	open	—	04-17 18:38
wta lys svitoli 2026 04 15	2	$12.7K	7,089	7,053	+37	open	—	04-15 20:18
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	1	$12.5K	12,999	0	+12,999	open	—	04-27 00:39
atp munar jodar 2026 04 13	2	$11.9K	6,960	6,902	+59	open	—	04-13 18:20
nhl wsh buf 2026 03 12	2	$10.4K	14,930	14,605	+325	open	—	03-13 01:27
wta bondar cirstea 2026 04 17	2	$9.9K	6,961	6,909	+53	open	—	04-17 18:19
mex tig que 2026 03 13 tig	1	$8.5K	12,107	0	+12,107	open	—	03-15 22:45
nba cha bos 2026 04 07	2	$8.4K	7,796	7,712	+84	open	—	04-08 01:22
mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	4	$6.8K	5,660	5,660	+0	open	—	07-23 21:37
nhl col sea 2026 03 12	1	$6.6K	9,987	0	+9,987	open	—	03-13 01:28
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royer	4	$5.7K	7,012	7,012	+0	open	—	05-24 19:08
nba cle orl 2026 03 11	6	$5.4K	4,884	4,368	+517	open	—	03-12 01:03
mlb tex hou 2026 07 31	2	$5.2K	3,704	3,704	+0	open	—	08-01 00:58
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 total 2pt5	2	$5.2K	3,175	3,175	+0	open	—	03-11 20:48
Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)	4	$5.1K	3,204	3,204	+0	open	—	05-23 15:05
mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	4	$4.9K	5,904	5,904	+0	open	—	07-23 20:58
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$4.6K	3,030	2,999	+31	open	—	04-26 17:52
atp henning donski 2026 06 07	4	$3.9K	3,495	3,458	+37	open	—	06-07 12:19
mlb tb mia 2026 06 05	2	$3.8K	2,209	2,209	+0	open	—	06-06 00:07
mlb pit atl 2026 06 07	2	$3.7K	2,334	2,334	+0	open	—	06-07 20:11
wta eala bartunk 2026 06 07	5	$3.6K	3,445	3,445	+0	open	—	06-07 14:55
atp moutet ruud 2026 04 08	1	$3.4K	4,787	0	+4,787	open	—	04-08 01:23
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$3.3K	2,642	2,642	+0	open	—	05-31 01:03
nhl las car 2026 06 11	2	$3.2K	2,765	2,765	+0	open	—	06-12 01:41
atp perrica bublik 2026 06 12	2	$3.1K	2,425	2,425	+0	open	—	06-12 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 22:01:54	mlb mil sd 2026 08 10	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	943	53¢	$500	0x85216b…
08-10 22:00:03	mlb mil sd 2026 08 10	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x87ef35…
08-10 21:18:52	mlb nym atl 2026 08 10	Atlanta Braves	SELL	847	57¢	$483	0xefd018…
08-10 12:41:25	mlb nym atl 2026 08 10	Atlanta Braves	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0xaffd48…
08-09 16:23:58	mlb det sf 2026 08 09	Detroit Tigers	BUY	1,852	54¢	$1,000	0x202588…
08-09 01:29:34	mlb chc kc 2026 08 08	Chicago Cubs	SELL	810	3¢	$24	0x515e82…
08-08 17:29:07	mlb chc kc 2026 08 08	Chicago Cubs	SELL	843	59¢	$497	0x1e5ce3…
08-08 17:28:22	mlb chc kc 2026 08 08	Chicago Cubs	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0x75a305…
08-08 14:40:18	mlb chc kc 2026 08 08	Chicago Cubs	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0x4a335d…
08-08 02:53:25	mlb det sf 2026 08 07	Detroit Tigers	SELL	567	30¢	$170	0x592ac3…
08-08 02:12:27	mlb det sf 2026 08 07	Detroit Tigers	BUY	567	57¢	$323	0x5ceca4…
08-08 01:05:58	mlb laa mia 2026 08 07	Miami Marlins	SELL	85	73¢	$62	0x057f37…
08-08 01:05:31	mlb min mil 2026 08 07	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	81	50¢	$40	0x4c213f…
08-07 22:58:28	mlb min mil 2026 08 07	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x6f92e2…
08-07 22:58:06	mlb laa mia 2026 08 07	Miami Marlins	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xed731c…
08-07 10:57:33	npb yom tok 2026 08 07	Yomiuri Giants	SELL	81	33¢	$27	0x882efb…
08-07 08:34:51	npb yom tok 2026 08 07	Yomiuri Giants	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x7b511e…
08-07 02:29:15	mlb sd ari 2026 08 06	San Diego Padres	SELL	255	78¢	$199	0xd5a954…
08-07 01:22:13	mlb sd ari 2026 08 06	San Diego Padres	BUY	255	51¢	$130	0x5bbffe…
08-07 01:21:40	mlb mia atl 2026 08 06	Atlanta Braves	SELL	161	80¢	$129	0xac9a44…
08-06 23:29:14	mlb mia atl 2026 08 06	Atlanta Braves	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x074268…
08-06 18:16:08	mlb nym cle 2026 08 06	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	755	20¢	$148	0x7bca9d…
08-06 12:46:09	mlb nym cle 2026 08 06	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	755	53¢	$400	0x9d982c…
08-06 00:44:23	mlb pit mil 2026 08 05	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	909	92¢	$836	0x761baf…
08-05 23:22:05	mlb pit mil 2026 08 05	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0xbf0c8c…
08-05 21:03:29	mlb tb col 2026 08 05	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	1,695	91¢	$1,542	0x963a10…
08-05 19:01:35	mlb tb col 2026 08 05	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	1,695	59¢	$1,000	0x14ca83…
08-05 01:56:56	mlb sd ari 2026 08 04	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	943	28¢	$264	0x163c58…
08-05 00:35:20	mlb sd ari 2026 08 04	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	943	53¢	$500	0x764722…
08-05 00:04:08	mlb min kc 2026 08 04	Minnesota Twins	SELL	862	32¢	$276	0xf9f8e2…
08-04 22:43:20	mlb min kc 2026 08 04	Minnesota Twins	BUY	862	58¢	$500	0xf5970a…
08-04 22:16:51	mlb oak cin 2026 08 04	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	909	54¢	$491	0x5bdb43…
08-04 22:12:21	mlb oak cin 2026 08 04	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x5933f2…
08-04 03:25:53	wnba phx chi 2026 08 03	Phoenix Mercury	SELL	364	100¢	$363	0xbd17a8…
08-04 01:09:36	mlb tor hou 2026 08 03	Houston Astros	SELL	351	27¢	$95	0x0a377c…
08-03 23:23:41	wnba phx chi 2026 08 03	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x447132…
08-03 23:03:41	mlb tor hou 2026 08 03	Houston Astros	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x4b6720…
08-02 21:11:53	mlb det oak 2026 08 02	Detroit Tigers	SELL	364	92¢	$335	0x1a9b3b…
08-02 19:59:47	mlb det oak 2026 08 02	Detroit Tigers	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x83cc74…
08-02 19:58:00	mlb mia nym 2026 08 02	Miami Marlins	SELL	189	84¢	$158	0x48c72d…
08-02 19:56:03	mlb ari cle 2026 08 02	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	500	95¢	$476	0xfc9725…
08-02 17:35:24	mlb mia nym 2026 08 02	Miami Marlins	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x80edfd…
08-02 12:22:59	mlb ari cle 2026 08 02	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xef7b73…
08-01 23:25:23	mlb pit cin 2026 08 01	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	370	87¢	$322	0x3e8e32…
08-01 22:21:47	mlb pit cin 2026 08 01	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x7eb5c8…
08-01 21:31:44	mlb mil laa 2026 08 01	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	862	58¢	$500	0xeb08a6…
08-01 21:23:39	mlb stl tor 2026 08 01	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	1,639	97¢	$1,590	0xf40a41…
08-01 19:01:48	mlb stl tor 2026 08 01	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1,639	61¢	$1,000	0x67370e…
08-01 02:58:00	mlb bos lad 2026 07 31	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	3,367	21¢	$707	0x73dbe1…
08-01 00:58:41	mlb tex hou 2026 07 31	Houston Astros	SELL	3,704	87¢	$3,222	0x9efed0…
07-31 23:56:47	mlb tex hou 2026 07 31	Houston Astros	BUY	3,704	54¢	$2,000	0x4e8218…
07-31 20:46:36	mlb bos lad 2026 07 31	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3,367	55¢	$1,852	0x081454…
07-31 03:11:42	mlb sf sd 2026 07 30	San Diego Padres	SELL	3,279	19¢	$616	0xaadf97…
07-31 00:02:18	mlb sf sd 2026 07 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	3,279	61¢	$2,000	0x763547…
07-30 23:45:02	mlb wsh atl 2026 07 30	Atlanta Braves	SELL	833	38¢	$317	0xd66518…
07-30 20:22:17	mlb wsh atl 2026 07 30	Atlanta Braves	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0x223791…
07-30 01:16:18	mlb cle cin 2026 07 29	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0xa00209…
07-30 01:14:42	mlb bos oak 2026 07 29	Boston Red Sox	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x0b1309…
07-30 00:07:20	mlb cle cin 2026 07 29	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x67a848…
07-29 16:53:17	mlb atl nym 2026 07 29	Atlanta Braves	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xf8eed1…
07-28 02:53:37	mlb chc stl 2026 07 27	Chicago Cubs	SELL	943	91¢	$856	0xe3a26e…
07-27 22:22:18	mlb chc stl 2026 07 27	Chicago Cubs	BUY	943	53¢	$500	0x2d5b38…
07-26 23:11:13	mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x50d9a0…
07-26 20:31:34	mlb hou cws 2026 07 26	Chicago White Sox	SELL	945	98¢	$926	0x2a4c10…
07-26 18:02:15	mlb hou cws 2026 07 26	Chicago White Sox	BUY	945	53¢	$500	0x50a228…
07-26 12:22:51	wta bondar korpats 2026 07 26	Tamara Korpatsch	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x95a389…
07-26 12:22:07	wta bondar korpats 2026 07 26	Anna Bondar	SELL	167	29¢	$48	0xde1079…
07-26 12:22:04	wta bondar korpats 2026 07 26	Anna Bondar	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x3ccbbe…
07-26 11:35:06	wta snigur tagger 2026 07 26	Daria Snigur	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xdb8403…
07-24 17:00:07	mlb ari wsh 2026 07 24	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0xe7e854…
07-23 21:37:49	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	3,774	76¢	$2,868	0x310278…
07-23 21:02:42	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	3,774	53¢	$2,000	0xd97248…
07-23 20:58:40	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	2,819	11¢	$310	0x974eac…
07-23 18:23:28	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2,819	52¢	$1,466	0x5baec5…
07-23 17:47:18	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	3,084	50¢	$1,542	0x9e73c2…
07-23 17:43:33	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3,084	51¢	$1,573	0xc517f8…
07-23 17:42:22	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	1,887	51¢	$962	0xb983df…
07-23 07:26:06	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	1,887	53¢	$1,000	0x630fba…
07-22 23:12:24	atp lajal ruiz 2026 07 22	Mark Lajal	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0x702c31…
07-22 23:12:10	atp lajal ruiz 2026 07 22	Mark Lajal	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x6109cf…
07-22 01:44:58	mlb wsh col 2026 07 21	Washington Nationals	SELL	980	37¢	$363	0x506d79…
07-22 01:35:42	mlb wsh col 2026 07 21	Washington Nationals	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x3aa21a…
07-22 01:23:40	mlb wsh col 2026 07 21	Washington Nationals	SELL	667	28¢	$187	0x8d7fde…
07-21 18:37:18	mlb wsh col 2026 07 21	Washington Nationals	BUY	667	52¢	$347	0x82d7f4…
07-21 01:41:45	mlb stl laa 2026 07 20	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x29f561…
07-21 01:34:04	mlb sf kc 2026 07 20	Kansas City Royals	SELL	290	89¢	$258	0x8d12e1…
07-20 23:58:21	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	370	41¢	$152	0xe4b9ed…
07-20 22:58:42	mlb min cle 2026 07 20	Minnesota Twins	SELL	364	31¢	$113	0x1845d2…
07-20 22:10:33	mlb min cle 2026 07 20	Minnesota Twins	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x8e3e4e…
07-20 21:18:24	mlb sf kc 2026 07 20	Kansas City Royals	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x49580a…
07-19 19:01:12	mlb bal hou 2026 07 19	Houston Astros	SELL	189	31¢	$58	0xadb4dd…
07-19 18:04:18	mlb bal hou 2026 07 19	Houston Astros	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xf0f38a…
07-19 17:48:01	mlb cws tor 2026 07 19	Chicago White Sox	SELL	1,923	89¢	$1,712	0xa82ca2…
07-19 14:49:39	mlb cws tor 2026 07 19	Chicago White Sox	BUY	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0x604cdf…
07-19 00:00:48	mlb pit cle 2026 07 18	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	980	50¢	$490	0x829974…
07-18 23:21:07	mlb pit cle 2026 07 18	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x247976…
07-18 19:47:39	mlb cws tor 2026 07 18	Chicago White Sox	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0xae930e…
07-18 19:37:31	mlb cws tor 2026 07 18	Chicago White Sox	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x4f4b28…
07-18 19:19:40	mlb min chc 2026 07 18	Minnesota Twins	SELL	465	9¢	$42	0x11794a…
07-18 17:40:18	mlb min chc 2026 07 18	Minnesota Twins	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xc70620…