Trustworthy-Accompanist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.29K

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

1,256

Trades

21,381

lifetime

Volume

$9.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$438

Open exposure

$10.8K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-24 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

64% 97% +$13,981

Politics

29% 94% +$7,374

Sports

5% 98% -$735

Crypto

2% 97% +$175

Tech

1% 100% +$76

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+8,517	$5,365	74¢	$6.3K	+$941	09-24 16:48
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+5,500	$1,645	44¢	$2.4K	+$748	10-24 10:04
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+3,012	$481	69¢	$2.1K	+$1,597	10-23 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4,525	$1.94M	1,059,748	949,594	+110,153	No	+$4,188	03-30 23:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1,801	$922.7K	518,098	458,396	+59,702	No	+$6,468	04-27 20:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	667	$542.4K	271,860	279,486	-7,626	No	+$735	05-29 04:55
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	995	$442.7K	253,174	201,634	+51,540	No	+$1,493	02-20 03:03
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1,311	$429.9K	236,985	221,185	+15,799	No	+$1,446	02-20 00:36
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	615	$271.9K	140,331	136,238	+4,093	No	-$92	02-19 03:24
Will the US strike Iran next?	747	$267.9K	168,566	107,102	+61,464	No	+$2,455	03-02 00:01
will gta 6 cost 100	241	$265.4K	156,780	109,567	+47,213	No	+$278	03-01 04:38
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	395	$239.9K	136,299	108,022	+28,277	No	+$536	02-25 02:31
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	359	$207.8K	115,762	94,938	+20,824	No	+$245	02-27 01:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	44	$84.3K	65,339	19,434	+45,905	Yes	-$301	03-03 19:42
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	140	$76.1K	44,740	32,341	+12,399	No	+$136	02-18 03:02
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	27	$69.0K	38,229	31,105	+7,124	No	+$4	02-17 00:43
will iran strike israel on march 3	14	$55.2K	27,076	28,187	-1,111	Yes	+$22	03-07 00:21
will the us strike somalia next 656	84	$53.8K	30,374	23,608	+6,766	Yes	+$60	01-25 03:24
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	25	$52.8K	29,781	23,046	+6,735	Yes	+$30	03-04 18:21
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	5	$51.6K	25,820	25,820	+0	No	+$0	02-14 13:15
will paradex launch a token on march 5	6	$48.6K	24,305	24,305	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 20:35
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	248	$44.7K	36,266	8,675	+27,591	No	+$41	02-12 21:41
lol wb tes 2026 03 02	83	$44.4K	44,444	0	+44,444	Weibo Gaming	+$44	03-02 15:04
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	81	$44.1K	23,577	20,728	+2,849	No	+$34	01-31 05:09
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$43.3K	33,335	10,000	+23,335	Yes	+$60	02-03 23:44
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	266	$42.7K	23,410	21,166	+2,244	No	+$135	03-13 14:49
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	65	$42.3K	28,202	15,044	+13,158	No	+$380	03-01 04:19
Will the US strike Iran next?	50	$41.9K	30,461	11,740	+18,721	No	+$310	02-11 22:11
nba orl okc 2026 02 03	182	$41.4K	34,810	6,686	+28,124	Thunder	+$72	02-04 02:57
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	133	$40.4K	18,609	22,015	-3,406	No	+$66	01-25 02:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$38.0K	33,599	4,444	+29,155	No	+$29	03-06 21:10
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 560 579	111	$35.6K	17,445	18,313	-868	No	+$7	01-16 16:54
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	50	$34.2K	18,008	18,005	+4	No	+$43	02-07 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 10:04:11	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	501	45¢	$226	0x4756df…
10-23 16:29:12	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x151ca7…
10-22 03:34:42	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	63¢	$31	0xd4c868…
10-22 03:34:42	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x4b62c7…
10-22 03:34:38	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x05286c…
10-22 03:34:36	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	220	63¢	$139	0x5add8d…
10-22 03:34:33	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xf3b4a7…
10-21 06:12:53	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	632	63¢	$398	0xc7fdf3…
10-08 00:50:23	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x93a578…
10-07 10:44:02	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	69	59¢	$40	0x123e96…
10-07 00:50:47	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0xaf57c7…
10-06 21:29:51	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	871	62¢	$540	0xbca9e4…
10-03 00:50:17	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	75	62¢	$46	0xf873c0…
10-02 20:38:30	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x3f22ba…
10-01 20:00:00	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7481b2…
10-01 17:35:53	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	250	62¢	$155	0x8c68e5…
10-01 13:21:57	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	67¢	$335	0x0020e5…
10-01 12:47:26	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,000	65¢	$650	0x0d2fbc…
09-24 16:48:53	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,112	63¢	$703	0x4d940b…
09-24 16:48:39	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,212	64¢	$770	0xc60c3e…
09-24 15:03:41	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	181	64¢	$116	0x5336d8…
09-24 15:03:39	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,232	64¢	$788	0xb7cb10…
09-24 15:03:38	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	99	64¢	$63	0x1a8a5e…
09-24 11:18:32	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0xe7f4b1…
09-24 10:46:36	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	652	27¢	$176	0xd19836…
09-24 10:45:12	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	348	27¢	$94	0x575b4c…
09-24 07:25:38	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	670	24¢	$161	0xe53606…
09-24 07:20:57	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	99	24¢	$24	0x5f04e9…
09-24 06:50:21	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xabe4ca…
09-24 06:50:21	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	24¢	$7	0x19a55b…
09-24 03:19:31	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,091	60¢	$655	0xea531a…
09-24 03:19:06	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,717	34¢	$584	0x296b49…
09-24 02:24:53	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,250	34¢	$425	0xa693a8…
09-24 01:43:29	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,033	34¢	$351	0x693116…
09-10 00:23:04	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	611	66¢	$404	0x9b07ee…
09-09 12:46:43	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	556	64¢	$356	0x8cc9a5…
09-09 10:50:48	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,815	58¢	$1,053	0xe85a8f…
09-07 03:59:00	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0x85f740…
09-06 17:03:06	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x33a6f9…
08-24 11:34:30	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0x2bf7d6…
08-24 00:52:43	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	34	68¢	$23	0x1235a0…
08-24 00:04:51	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	226	68¢	$153	0xd9fe63…
08-23 23:55:34	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x996567…
08-23 18:37:45	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xdd59f1…
08-23 09:36:07	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	99	68¢	$67	0x06fa44…
08-23 02:25:39	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	92	68¢	$63	0xee3c1d…
08-22 03:57:34	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	125	74¢	$92	0x414be8…
08-22 03:54:25	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	125	74¢	$92	0xe742ed…
08-22 03:46:51	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	250	74¢	$185	0xb826f3…
08-22 03:11:45	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	99	74¢	$73	0xb433e3…
08-17 18:44:33	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xb07b2c…
08-02 12:29:08	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	183	51¢	$93	0x8fd457…
08-02 04:59:59	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2ae9e1…
08-02 01:55:45	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	881	51¢	$449	0xbd951b…
08-01 23:50:32	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	593	51¢	$302	0xa30b04…
07-22 16:50:06	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7cc079…
07-22 16:46:55	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	284	49¢	$139	0x55e987…
07-18 09:53:24	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	442	62¢	$274	0x0c7a37…
07-16 18:29:46	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,404	61¢	$856	0x93c5c6…
07-15 20:39:14	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,000	60¢	$600	0x97f903…
07-15 12:31:22	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2e8a01…
07-15 12:30:46	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	185	49¢	$91	0x3f43d6…
07-15 12:30:25	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	199	49¢	$98	0xb662a1…
07-14 20:11:20	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,139	58¢	$1,241	0x0acfc7…
07-14 19:25:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x335a5b…
07-14 18:53:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x72a42b…
07-13 15:05:44	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	820	28¢	$230	0x754ed4…
07-13 10:15:41	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	428	62¢	$266	0xa40340…
07-13 10:15:29	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	130	62¢	$81	0x8424e9…
07-12 00:00:56	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xc7cd9a…
07-10 22:02:38	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,000	49¢	$980	0xfb9e7b…
07-07 21:47:11	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4cb299…
07-07 08:31:58	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x0f9ff1…
07-07 08:31:55	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	800	18¢	$144	0x44e56f…
07-06 18:01:49	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd1b375…
07-06 04:25:38	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc34d7c…
07-05 17:48:44	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x80bf3d…
07-05 14:15:19	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xc0dab6…
07-05 09:51:04	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0x1213c7…
07-04 22:03:59	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9f3788…
07-04 22:03:56	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	266	50¢	$133	0x93cbc8…
07-04 13:56:02	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0x712e36…
07-04 00:05:46	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb2a289…
07-03 15:42:20	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	91	45¢	$41	0x90c764…
07-03 15:04:17	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x2d08b4…
07-03 15:04:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xa2f40a…
07-03 15:03:56	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x1528f4…
07-03 15:03:23	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x7f2364…
07-03 14:32:53	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x244cd0…
07-03 12:51:16	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeb9e06…
07-03 12:44:02	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	593	45¢	$267	0xaf5b8e…
07-03 10:03:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,766	51¢	$1,411	0xd15542…
07-03 03:09:17	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	117	51¢	$60	0xc32294…
07-02 23:01:52	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x3f465a…
07-02 21:24:17	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x20e3fa…
07-02 18:31:01	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,871	51¢	$954	0x58ba48…
07-02 17:46:25	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	219	51¢	$111	0xd7ace3…
06-15 16:14:54	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x28a9a8…
06-14 22:44:01	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	218	52¢	$113	0xc2f3f9…
06-13 19:10:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x6fe19b…