Cautious-Samurai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.31K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

988

Trades

1,777

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-08 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 31% -$1,711

Other

37% 25% -$584

Sports

13% 44% -$9

Politics

1% 13% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	6	$790	1,038	1,038	+0	Up	+$190	05-08 00:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys	20	$526	1,135	238	+897	Eva Lys	-$87	05-06 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$452	356	356	+0	Down	+$252	05-08 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	6	$402	4,651	263	+4,388	Down	-$228	05-08 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$396	573	573	+0	Down	-$4	05-08 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$317	16,250	512	+15,738	Down	-$283	05-08 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$308	210	210	+0	Up	+$108	05-02 02:35
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	12	$302	272	272	+0	Thunder	+$8	05-06 03:22
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	13	$272	186	186	+0	Pistons	-$22	05-06 00:50
Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui	10	$271	203	203	+0	Jie Cui	+$36	05-06 18:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	7	$267	179	179	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$90	05-06 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	11	$267	324	324	+0	Down	-$27	05-06 22:23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson	8	$215	160	160	+0	Aleksandar Vukic	+$38	05-06 18:00
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	4	$207	134	134	+0	Under	+$60	05-05 21:08
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	7	$206	167	118	+49	No	+$30	05-06 21:33
76ers vs. Knicks	14	$206	257	0	+257	Knicks	+$51	05-06 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$200	526	0	+526	Down	-$200	04-27 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$200	10,842	0	+10,842	Down	-$200	04-26 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$200	532	0	+532	Down	-$200	05-02 04:19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	5	$196	110	110	+0	Yes	+$24	05-05 21:30
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	6	$188	161	114	+47	Thunder	+$41	05-06 03:21
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	2	$172	1,250	1,204	+46	No	-$28	04-29 01:03
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	3	$161	140	140	+0	Under	+$102	05-06 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$160	181	181	+0	Up	-$40	05-08 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$135	487	0	+487	Down	-$135	04-26 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	9	$134	243	44	+200	Up	-$51	05-06 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$125	336	0	+336	Up	+$211	05-02 02:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?	11	$122	140	140	+0	Yes	-$55	05-06 22:42
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	7	$114	136	133	+2	Celtics	-$7	04-26 23:24
Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score	5	$114	131	131	+0	Yes	-$4	05-07 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 00:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x3e0d58…
05-08 00:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xf84371…
05-08 00:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,163	3¢	$33	0x4f1375…
05-08 00:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,300	5¢	$67	0x2eecfc…
05-08 00:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	425	24¢	$100	0x0a2f69…
05-08 00:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	263	33¢	$87	0x21c8bc…
05-08 00:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x4af62f…
05-08 00:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	270	42¢	$113	0xd56fdc…
05-08 00:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xb1324c…
05-08 00:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	303	27¢	$83	0x62357c…
05-08 00:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x3d270e…
05-08 00:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x5f4fb0…
05-08 00:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5,694	2¢	$99	0xd5d9d6…
05-08 00:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x65c480…
05-08 00:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	512	3¢	$17	0x6355e3…
05-08 00:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	512	20¢	$100	0xd7af40…
05-08 00:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	181	33¢	$60	0xf78485…
05-08 00:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0x764ae7…
05-08 00:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	319	31¢	$100	0xb7afbf…
05-08 00:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	294	50¢	$146	0xed6a25…
05-08 00:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x6f9f42…
05-08 00:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	431	48¢	$207	0xcd01ff…
05-08 00:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	431	23¢	$100	0x8dbf66…
05-08 00:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	312	44¢	$138	0x3a2b33…
05-08 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x624c8c…
05-08 00:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	363	28¢	$100	0x8ee017…
05-08 00:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	356	99¢	$352	0x45bcf0…
05-07 23:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	356	28¢	$100	0xe4a7f0…
05-07 23:56:10	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-07?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xec6c36…
05-07 22:34:41	Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	131	42¢	$55	0x210890…
05-07 19:24:36	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x4cd7c3…
05-07 18:57:27	Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	1,961	4¢	$81	0xe7c24d…
05-07 16:45:35	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	SELL	184	23¢	$42	0x6f25d3…
05-07 16:45:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	No	SELL	63	43¢	$27	0xb16de6…
05-07 16:44:55	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0xd8bc42…
05-07 13:26:15	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0xeb2b52…
05-07 13:25:21	Istanbul: Carole Monnet vs Francesca Jones	Francesca Jones	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0ecd97…
05-07 13:25:16	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0x513f0a…
05-07 13:01:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	64	23¢	$15	0x3ad430…
05-07 13:00:13	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	67	22¢	$15	0xb5a1ec…
05-07 12:55:55	Will National Bank of Egypt Club win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0x70eef0…
05-07 12:55:54	Will National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa5a4da…
05-07 12:55:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	64	23¢	$15	0x5c1a68…
05-07 12:40:49	Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. HUS Agadir: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x72e102…
05-07 12:40:47	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xd8e3f4…
05-07 12:36:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x56dbe4…
05-07 12:35:27	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	92	16¢	$15	0x2b8e09…
05-07 12:35:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x0e292f…
05-07 12:31:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marcos Giron vs Marin Cilic	Marcos Giron	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0x056058…
05-07 12:31:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x119ce5…
05-07 12:25:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	Federico Cina	BUY	93	16¢	$15	0x24af68…
05-07 12:20:24	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-07?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xeff07e…
05-07 12:10:41	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x162a96…
05-07 12:06:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	Federico Cina	BUY	47	31¢	$15	0x15a602…
05-07 12:06:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	No	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0xcbc6aa…
05-07 12:05:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	Federico Cina	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xf90873…
05-07 12:05:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	No	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0x0ac19e…
05-06 23:25:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	116	26¢	$30	0x84f7f7…
05-06 23:16:19	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0xf1274f…
05-06 23:15:52	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0xe050bd…
05-06 23:15:49	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x019403…
05-06 23:15:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	58	25¢	$15	0xeae4cb…
05-06 23:15:45	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0x6796a9…
05-06 23:15:19	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x994648…
05-06 23:15:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0xf6eef7…
05-06 23:15:17	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x1570b6…
05-06 23:15:16	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x0694ac…
05-06 23:10:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	53	25¢	$13	0x124049…
05-06 23:07:42	Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino end in a draw?	No	SELL	72	56¢	$40	0x2b9d0c…
05-06 23:05:38	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x601c04…
05-06 23:05:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x8f48ed…
05-06 23:05:07	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x97183d…
05-06 23:01:35	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xc75e8d…
05-06 23:01:24	76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	76ers	SELL	205	25¢	$51	0x7dbd86…
05-06 23:00:00	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x99aec0…
05-06 22:51:33	Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino end in a draw?	No	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x662431…
05-06 22:51:31	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	61	24¢	$15	0x5b77b8…
05-06 22:50:54	Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino end in a draw?	No	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x7d489f…
05-06 22:50:53	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	61	24¢	$15	0x8d7c41…
05-06 22:50:33	Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino end in a draw?	No	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x1c2c58…
05-06 22:50:32	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	61	24¢	$15	0xfd3b0b…
05-06 22:46:48	76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	76ers	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x45f219…
05-06 22:46:30	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0xcb4227…
05-06 22:46:27	76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	76ers	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x87db37…
05-06 22:45:45	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0x1bb8f4…
05-06 22:45:43	76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	76ers	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x1fdad4…
05-06 22:45:29	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0x5a83db…
05-06 22:45:27	76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	76ers	BUY	52	28¢	$15	0xc33d4a…
05-06 22:42:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0xe9e5d4…
05-06 22:41:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0x5dfc19…
05-06 22:41:40	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x300de7…
05-06 22:41:22	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x56b024…
05-06 22:40:37	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x6a4527…
05-06 22:40:21	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xf9d92d…
05-06 22:39:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xc15cf2…
05-06 22:37:38	Will Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	173	23¢	$40	0xe15338…
05-06 22:37:19	Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	102	52¢	$53	0xb9852d…
05-06 22:37:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x225f8a…
05-06 22:36:33	Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xbb0ee1…
05-06 22:36:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x452be3…