Cautious-Samurai — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

23.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

24 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$208

$208 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$190

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% — —

Crypto

21% 30% $-16

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (7)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Santos: Santiago De La Fuente vs Franco Roncadelli	Franco Roncadelli	+53	$49	100¢	$53	+$4	05-05 20:29
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	+45	$24	100¢	$45	+$20	05-05 19:06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	No	+80	$43	52¢	$42	$-1	05-05 21:05
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5	Under	-60	$-13	54¢	$-32	$-20	05-06 00:00
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	L1ga Team	+10	$5	100¢	$10	+$5	05-05 19:41
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	No	+5	$4	89¢	$5	+$1	05-05 22:25
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	No	+6	$5	69¢	$4	$-1	05-04 21:54
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-05?	No	+33	$22	0¢	$0	$-22	05-05 21:54
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson	Juan Pablo Varillas	+5	$4	0¢	$0	$-4	05-05 21:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:00:16	Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0x0c2b71…
05-05 22:25:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x23643b…
05-05 21:54:30	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-05?	No	BUY	33	65¢	$22	0x8ba06d…
05-05 21:40:08	Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson	Juan Pablo Varillas	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8dd899…
05-05 21:05:10	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xaf423d…
05-05 21:05:08	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x6a707d…
05-05 20:29:58	Santos: Santiago De La Fuente vs Franco Roncadelli	Franco Roncadelli	BUY	27	92¢	$24	0x167c66…
05-05 20:29:56	Santos: Santiago De La Fuente vs Franco Roncadelli	Franco Roncadelli	BUY	27	92¢	$24	0x68ca32…
05-05 19:41:34	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb5ae77…
05-05 19:28:00	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0e2760…
05-05 19:06:24	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	45	55¢	$24	0x60b01b…
05-05 03:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x888e22…
05-05 03:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xa45a72…
05-05 03:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xe1c5f5…
05-05 03:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xf0f6d8…
05-05 03:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xc7008f…
05-05 03:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x67cd2f…
05-05 02:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xabf55e…
05-05 02:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5289df…
05-05 01:59:52	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xfed837…
05-05 00:45:10	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	651	1¢	$7	0x726d55…
05-04 23:39:52	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x98a5b5…
05-04 21:54:50	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd69393…
05-04 20:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x11ac75…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$825	37	05-05 15:12
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	5	$7.06K	43	05-05 23:35
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	5	$500	23	05-05 23:55
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	4	$997	74	05-05 22:45
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	3	$4.14K	4	05-05 03:44
Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b	3	$3.43K	24	05-05 23:55
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	3	$810	49	05-05 03:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Santos: Santiago De La Fuente vs Franco Roncadelli	2	$49	53	0	+53	open	—	05-05 20:29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	2	$43	80	0	+80	open	—	05-05 21:05
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	1	$24	45	0	+45	open	—	05-05 19:06
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-05?	1	$22	33	0	+33	open	—	05-05 21:54
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5	1	$13	0	60	-60	open	—	05-06 00:00
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$7	651	0	+651	Up	$-7	05-05 00:45
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$6	10	10	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 03:23
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 19:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$5	9	9	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 03:23
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 21:54
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 22:25
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Up	$-3	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 02:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-05 02:10
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$3	15	0	+15	Up	$-3	05-04 23:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	+$4	05-05 03:30
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$0	0	5	-5	Up	+$0	05-04 20:59