Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

225

Trades

645

lifetime

Volume

$5.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-26

last 11-03 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 69% -$47

Other

20% 100% +$3

Politics

8% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+26	$20	84¢	$21	+$1	11-03 21:59
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+13	$10	76¢	$10	$0	11-03 22:02
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+16	$10	29¢	$5	-$5	11-03 22:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	8	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	10-25 22:41
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	3	$225	169	169	+0	No	+$5	10-18 13:46
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	5	$91	66	66	+0	Yes	+$11	10-25 22:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:05 UTC	6	$90	108	0	+108	Up	+$18	09-28 12:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:20 UTC	9	$86	74	60	+14	Down	-$10	09-28 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:20 UTC	4	$77	55	55	+0	Up	+$17	09-27 13:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:50 UTC	5	$76	57	57	+0	Down	+$6	09-27 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:40 UTC	4	$72	51	51	+0	Down	+$12	09-27 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$72	54	54	+0	Up	+$2	09-27 14:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:10 UTC	6	$66	86	28	+59	Up	-$5	09-28 09:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:15 UTC	4	$66	44	44	+0	Up	+$6	09-27 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:10 UTC	9	$65	83	42	+41	Down	-$14	09-28 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:20 UTC	3	$64	51	44	+8	Down	+$4	09-27 12:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$63	34	34	+0	No	+$3	10-24 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:55 UTC	3	$63	46	33	+13	Down	+$3	09-27 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$61	50	32	+18	Up	+$1	09-27 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:25 UTC	3	$61	41	31	+10	Down	+$1	09-27 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC	12	$60	74	0	+74	Up	-$60	09-28 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:15 UTC	9	$60	69	38	+32	Up	-$18	09-28 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:25 UTC	8	$57	81	19	+62	Down	+$9	09-28 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:45 UTC	2	$56	38	38	+0	Down	+$6	09-27 12:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:15 UTC	4	$56	70	34	+36	Up	-$18	09-28 09:19
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$52	37	37	+0	Yes	+$2	11-01 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:45 UTC	6	$51	79	20	+59	Down	-$39	09-28 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 09:35 UTC	2	$51	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	09-27 09:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:15 UTC	5	$49	64	19	+45	Down	-$21	09-27 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:10 UTC	5	$45	50	16	+34	Up	-$1	09-28 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:45 UTC	5	$45	65	43	+22	Down	-$14	09-28 06:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:40 UTC	5	$44	51	10	+41	Up	+$5	09-28 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:10 UTC	5	$43	55	15	+40	Down	+$3	09-27 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:02:30	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xba5cbc…
11-03 22:00:43	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xeafe08…
11-03 21:59:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x4c8548…
11-01 14:50:58	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	37	72¢	$27	0xd592ef…
10-25 22:41:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xaba079…
10-25 22:41:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x143952…
10-25 12:40:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xed7db1…
10-24 19:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6070cc…
10-24 19:15:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xf63882…
10-22 15:08:23	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x1c5622…
10-18 13:47:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	48	68¢	$33	0x79672e…
10-18 13:46:56	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	169	68¢	$115	0x244bf6…
10-13 12:21:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x08daba…
10-13 12:21:25	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa182f1…
10-12 21:07:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x9deb25…
10-12 21:06:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	773	71¢	$547	0x0a07be…
10-09 05:13:51	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x86388a…
10-05 19:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x416182…
10-05 19:16:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x796778…
10-05 19:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb013e4…
10-05 19:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x103ace…
10-05 19:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd22f52…
10-05 19:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x2ec0ba…
10-05 19:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x664178…
10-05 19:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xecc0ef…
10-05 19:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe80077…
10-05 19:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x5cff85…
10-05 19:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x72b71f…
10-05 19:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x21e79a…
10-05 19:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb3aec1…
10-05 19:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xbe8df4…
10-05 19:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc67bac…
10-05 19:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xe7ddfa…
10-05 19:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7b1c6e…
10-05 19:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x995aea…
10-05 19:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb0c4d6…
10-05 19:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x908424…
10-05 19:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x658e99…
10-05 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x94952a…
10-05 19:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf86447…
10-05 19:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xcd5124…
10-05 19:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe4a8ce…
10-05 18:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfe7197…
10-05 18:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0be1e5…
10-05 18:53:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x075795…
10-05 18:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfaac82…
10-05 18:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe7d294…
10-05 18:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0c1bb4…
10-05 18:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x003771…
10-05 18:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x546e1c…
10-05 18:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x4fb39d…
10-05 18:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x64ac5e…
10-05 18:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfe2986…
10-05 18:37:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1aa346…
10-05 18:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x139cd0…
10-05 18:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x27ab22…
10-05 18:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8e6e48…
10-05 18:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3ff8bb…
10-05 18:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x737adf…
10-05 18:31:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xf67414…
10-05 18:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xe0dcc0…
10-05 18:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc4367a…
10-05 18:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c8198…
10-05 18:24:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x10869d…
10-05 18:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xd73847…
10-05 18:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xbe1efe…
10-05 18:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2cb895…
10-05 18:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x50c6ae…
10-05 18:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x3c07d3…
10-05 18:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf39f9d…
10-05 17:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x30beb3…
10-05 17:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7f6996…
10-05 17:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xfd3902…
10-05 17:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5b2121…
10-05 17:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x5317d6…
10-05 17:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x84d21b…
10-05 17:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xdebfe5…
10-05 17:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x75a9ec…
10-05 17:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x4aaf50…
10-05 17:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbf1e94…
10-05 17:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x0cb45e…
10-05 17:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0a0670…
10-05 17:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x04360b…
10-05 17:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf333fc…
10-05 17:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x4b8007…
10-05 17:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e52af…
10-05 17:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x3d3d2d…
10-05 17:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5a778c…
10-05 17:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xbad618…
10-05 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4b0869…
10-05 17:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x614fdf…
10-05 17:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3b6310…
10-05 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8d39e2…
10-05 17:01:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf7f3ef…
10-05 15:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa4b492…
10-05 14:32:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xedef92…
10-05 14:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x35163c…
10-05 13:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd76f8f…
10-05 13:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x2a8a2f…
10-05 13:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc5f28c…