Long-Alluvium — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

770 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.74M lifetime

Avg / trade

$4.86K

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-14 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 99% -$2,190

Sports

1% 100% +$57

Other

1% 57% -$264

Politics

0% 62% +$93

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	12	$49.8K	28,590	28,590	+0	Yes	-$7,208	01-31 14:40
bitcoin above 82k on february 5	2	$43.1K	21,554	21,554	+0	No	+$0	02-05 18:20
bitcoin above 84k on january 26	1	$29.0K	29,048	0	+29,048	Yes	+$29	01-26 08:06
bitcoin above 94k on january 25	1	$29.0K	28,990	0	+28,990	No	+$33	01-25 02:38
bitcoin above 96k on january 24	1	$28.9K	28,958	0	+28,958	No	+$29	01-24 01:10
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$28.9K	28,929	0	+28,929	Yes	+$58	01-23 02:44
ethereum above 2800 on january 22	3	$28.8K	28,871	0	+28,871	Yes	+$111	01-22 02:40
bitcoin above 94k on january 21	1	$28.7K	28,760	0	+28,760	No	+$61	01-21 01:54
bitcoin above 100k on january 18	1	$28.5K	28,578	0	+28,578	No	+$29	01-18 03:47
bitcoin above 90k on january 15	1	$28.5K	28,492	0	+28,492	Yes	+$28	01-15 02:55
bitcoin above 88k on january 14	1	$28.4K	28,464	0	+28,464	Yes	+$28	01-14 01:36
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	2	$28.4K	28,435	0	+28,435	Yes	+$29	01-13 08:09
bitcoin above 90k on january 30	1	$28.4K	28,499	0	+28,499	No	+$108	01-30 01:12
bitcoin above 86k on january 12	2	$28.4K	28,407	0	+28,407	Yes	+$28	01-12 08:05
bitcoin above 94k on january 29	1	$28.4K	28,390	0	+28,390	No	+$28	01-29 02:20
bitcoin above 82k on january 27	1	$27.7K	27,679	0	+27,679	Yes	+$28	01-27 01:53
bitcoin above 90k on january 17	1	$27.5K	27,549	0	+27,549	Yes	+$28	01-17 02:06
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	1	$27.3K	27,289	0	+27,289	Yes	+$36	01-08 01:06
bitcoin above 86k on january 7	1	$27.2K	27,253	0	+27,253	Yes	+$27	01-07 02:52
bitcoin above 86k on january 11	1	$26.5K	26,576	0	+26,576	Yes	+$27	01-11 03:48
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 20	2	$26.0K	22,000	4,010	+17,990	No	+$18	04-21 06:38
bitcoin above 86k on january 4	1	$25.9K	25,926	0	+25,926	Yes	+$26	01-04 02:40
bitcoin above 84k on january 9	1	$25.3K	25,312	0	+25,312	Yes	+$25	01-09 01:13
ethereum above 3000 on january 6	5	$25.1K	25,172	0	+25,172	Yes	+$35	01-06 07:04
bitcoin above 84k on january 2	2	$25.1K	25,091	0	+25,091	Yes	+$37	01-02 03:08
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	4	$24.9K	24,591	442	+24,149	No	+$83	04-10 09:13
bitcoin above 86k on january 3	1	$24.7K	24,723	0	+24,723	Yes	+$27	01-03 01:59
bitcoin above 66k on april 9	2	$24.5K	24,481	0	+24,481	Yes	+$24	04-09 09:30
bitcoin above 66k on april 8	1	$24.4K	24,432	0	+24,432	Yes	+$49	04-08 07:42
bitcoin above 70k on april 14	1	$24.3K	24,326	0	+24,326	Yes	+$24	04-14 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 11:29:50	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	93	41¢	$38	0xc4e4fd…
07-06 14:07:29	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	232	23¢	$53	0x33353d…
05-18 02:44:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	10,013	100¢	$10,003	0x0ac1f4…
05-18 02:28:31	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2,069	100¢	$2,067	0x7930ee…
05-18 02:28:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2,202	100¢	$2,200	0xbadac2…
05-17 11:04:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2,160	100¢	$2,158	0x1df73c…
05-17 04:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	4,103	100¢	$4,099	0x0f9cad…
05-17 03:53:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	8,008	100¢	$8,000	0xbfd2e3…
05-17 02:38:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	2,110	100¢	$2,108	0x4c2985…
05-17 02:38:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xf4d1cf…
05-16 09:13:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10,010	100¢	$10,000	0x2c3f8c…
05-16 03:36:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4,236	100¢	$4,232	0x5f9e88…
05-16 03:13:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10,007	100¢	$9,997	0xdbb8b5…
05-16 03:00:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x29445d…
05-15 13:28:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	13,417	100¢	$13,390	0xb4cb36…
05-15 11:41:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	5,166	100¢	$5,155	0x26fba3…
05-15 11:40:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	2,032	100¢	$2,030	0x4d15a8…
05-15 05:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	5,982	100¢	$5,970	0x135089…
05-15 05:13:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	2,032	100¢	$2,030	0x37b18a…
05-13 12:41:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	4,481	100¢	$4,476	0xc5ce71…
04-28 14:19:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0xd2fa19…
04-28 14:18:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	No	SELL	903	100¢	$902	0x68ac61…
04-28 14:15:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x400dd2…
04-28 14:15:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	No	SELL	1,211	100¢	$1,210	0xa11873…
04-28 14:12:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4e6fbe…
04-28 14:10:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	No	SELL	540	100¢	$539	0x59af05…
04-28 13:23:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	No	BUY	3,103	100¢	$3,098	0x391a8f…
04-27 08:39:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1,024	100¢	$1,023	0xbbfa5d…
04-27 08:39:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x9354d6…
04-27 08:38:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6f396e…
04-27 08:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf09cf2…
04-27 08:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe2ecdf…
04-27 08:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe14f9e…
04-27 08:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9d628a…
04-27 08:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9b5572…
04-27 08:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x938641…
04-27 08:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7fca90…
04-27 08:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5b0067…
04-27 08:38:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa667b1…
04-27 08:37:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x648714…
04-27 08:35:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1,998	100¢	$1,996	0x7e07ac…
04-27 08:35:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0ee457…
04-27 08:33:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x717e0c…
04-27 08:32:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1,997	100¢	$1,995	0x2eb3dc…
04-27 08:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeed6ad…
04-27 08:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x925265…
04-27 08:29:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	515	100¢	$514	0xc980ba…
04-27 08:29:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	515	100¢	$514	0x36d59c…
04-27 08:29:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	514	100¢	$513	0xbecf33…
04-27 08:29:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	514	100¢	$514	0x099d01…
04-27 08:28:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	515	100¢	$514	0xd51c80…
04-27 08:28:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	514	100¢	$514	0x16d8e2…
04-27 08:28:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	514	100¢	$514	0xb7e370…
04-27 08:28:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	515	100¢	$514	0x6af2a3…
04-27 08:28:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	514	100¢	$514	0x842fbb…
04-27 08:28:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	515	100¢	$514	0xb4bc49…
04-27 08:28:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	559	100¢	$559	0xae34fb…
04-27 03:27:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	11,012	100¢	$11,000	0x96e32e…
04-26 08:04:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1,112	100¢	$1,109	0x253783…
04-26 05:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	15,000	100¢	$14,985	0x4ce1f8…
04-26 05:20:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	658	100¢	$657	0x9e0773…
04-25 15:45:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	Yes	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x180dbc…
04-25 13:28:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	6,729	100¢	$6,702	0xd2e62a…
04-25 09:12:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	12,026	100¢	$12,014	0xb79a68…
04-24 07:38:52	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	12,983	100¢	$12,970	0xfe79ba…
04-24 07:37:36	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	5,733	100¢	$5,728	0x41374c…
04-24 04:40:58	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	3,330	100¢	$3,327	0x268cc7…
04-24 04:30:08	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x376490…
04-24 04:29:20	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8f6027…
04-24 04:14:32	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x82eae2…
04-24 03:27:02	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb95afe…
04-24 03:25:20	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xa4693c…
04-24 03:23:32	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xceae81…
04-24 03:10:46	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa4b0bd…
04-24 02:45:08	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb3074a…
04-24 02:35:36	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3a5e36…
04-24 02:35:12	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60eece…
04-24 02:21:06	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	1,634	100¢	$1,633	0x97b8d2…
04-23 10:38:12	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	12,517	100¢	$12,504	0x136627…
04-23 05:55:48	ethereum above 2000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x165e9b…
04-23 05:45:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	2,603	100¢	$2,600	0x6257e1…
04-23 05:45:04	ethereum above 2000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	3,555	100¢	$3,552	0x8c31ab…
04-23 03:53:48	will bitcoin dip to 77k on april 22	No	BUY	5,881	100¢	$5,875	0x040859…
04-23 03:53:44	will bitcoin dip to 77k on april 22	No	BUY	6,549	100¢	$6,543	0xc09c7a…
04-22 09:57:38	bitcoin above 74k on april 22	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x82b6d4…
04-22 09:56:40	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,994	0x3bdc63…
04-22 09:56:34	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x9b13d0…
04-22 09:56:26	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	11,053	100¢	$11,042	0x1139d1…
04-21 13:56:26	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	SELL	550	100¢	$549	0x7164bd…
04-21 08:41:12	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	3,475	100¢	$3,468	0xf9419e…
04-21 08:36:40	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 21	No	BUY	5,857	100¢	$5,851	0x888294…
04-21 08:35:42	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	8,679	100¢	$8,670	0x73158c…
04-21 06:38:32	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 20	No	SELL	4,010	100¢	$4,006	0x9f0272…
04-21 03:52:48	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	1,677	100¢	$1,676	0x6766be…
04-21 03:28:32	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 20	No	BUY	22,000	100¢	$21,978	0x7cd6cb…
04-20 14:10:44	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	No	BUY	1,731	100¢	$1,725	0x0379d0…
04-20 11:28:38	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	21,925	100¢	$21,903	0xf5c5da…
04-20 03:14:24	will bitcoin dip to 72k on april 19	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xe04eab…
04-20 02:45:12	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 19	No	BUY	19,074	100¢	$19,049	0x970f66…
04-20 02:26:42	will bitcoin dip to 72k on april 19	No	BUY	3,431	100¢	$3,427	0xaab50a…