Taut-Brow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

1,978

Trades

2,448

lifetime

Volume

$9.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-31 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 53% -$606

Sports

34% 67% -$562

Other

25% 52% -$282

Politics

3% 60% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 328 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+985	$47	4¢	$38	-$9	10-26 11:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$420	0	1,000	-1,000	Yes	-$580	05-26 00:30
wta baptist shymano 2026 04 16	4	$412	267	263	+3	Iryna Shymanovich	+$88	04-16 13:34
wta parks andreev 2026 04 16	2	$305	161	161	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$16	04-16 14:34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$283	498	498	+0	No	+$103	07-13 06:17
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$259	785	785	+0	No	+$79	07-13 06:17
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$229	842	842	+0	No	+$69	07-13 06:18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$221	632	632	+0	Yes	+$41	07-13 06:17
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	1	$200	530	0	+530	No	-$200	07-19 20:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:45 UTC	4	$200	327	0	+327	Up	-$12	07-19 20:49
wta boulter cristia 2026 04 15	3	$193	139	137	+1	Katie Boulter	+$14	04-15 21:41
nhl nj edm 2026 01 20	4	$189	315	0	+315	Devils	-$189	01-21 03:34
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubas	2	$175	154	153	+2	Vilius Gaubas	-$24	04-21 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:40 UTC	5	$170	215	0	+215	Up	-$170	07-19 22:42
nhl dal buf 2026 04 15	3	$162	102	102	+0	Stars	+$42	04-16 03:19
nhl ott car 2026 04 20	4	$160	124	123	+2	Hurricanes	+$22	04-21 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 22:25 UTC	5	$157	166	166	+0	Down	-$83	07-20 22:29
nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	3	$156	100	100	+0	Oilers	+$26	04-21 04:52
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalieva	2	$153	113	112	+1	Elvina Kalieva	+$7	04-21 11:30
wta ostapen andreev 2026 04 13	2	$151	91	90	+1	Mirra Andreeva	+$30	04-15 17:44
nhl lak van 2026 04 14	2	$149	254	0	+254	Canucks	-$149	04-15 03:25
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$149	101	101	+0	No	+$3	04-16 12:42
wta cocciar podrez 2026 04 15	2	$146	190	0	+190	Veronika Podrez	-$146	04-16 14:41
nhl nyi van 2026 01 19	2	$124	176	0	+176	Islanders	+$52	01-20 05:02
Canadiens vs. Sabres	6	$104	97	91	+6	Canadiens	-$14	05-19 02:44
nhl sea las 2026 04 15 total 4pt5	1	$100	170	0	+170	Over	-$100	04-16 03:24
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$96	152	1,488	-1,337	No	+$72	01-20 05:00
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$89	337	337	+0	open	—	05-15 01:31
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaeva	1	$79	84	0	+84	Alina Charaeva	-$79	04-21 11:56
nhl sea las 2026 04 15	2	$77	52	52	+0	Golden Knights	+$27	04-16 04:27
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$70	719	0	+719	No	-$70	06-18 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:27:55	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x79601e…
10-31 01:12:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5a3a85…
10-31 01:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2a03cf…
10-31 00:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5134ad…
10-31 00:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xee9711…
10-31 00:43:07	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe1b40d…
10-31 00:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7449f6…
10-31 00:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6c6f02…
10-31 00:27:57	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x10f36a…
10-31 00:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xd4fea2…
10-31 00:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc18b97…
10-31 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xd1351f…
10-31 00:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb3c19c…
10-30 23:52:57	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7446b8…
10-30 23:38:09	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8db3cb…
10-30 22:27:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb5d5c2…
10-30 21:57:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1cea88…
10-30 21:28:03	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfb120a…
10-30 21:22:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1b4b56…
10-30 20:18:07	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc7e263…
10-30 19:58:03	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa7799d…
10-30 19:12:54	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xee5002…
10-30 18:38:07	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcef39c…
10-30 16:47:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd704b4…
10-30 16:32:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xddf2f6…
10-30 16:12:57	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x27165e…
10-30 14:37:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc127ce…
10-30 14:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0x5beefe…
10-30 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3eb5c2…
10-30 14:08:03	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfd3d1e…
10-30 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x85cb9b…
10-30 13:58:03	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7b58ea…
10-30 13:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xd3d89a…
10-30 13:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x792ca4…
10-30 13:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0a5c43…
10-30 13:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe46b15…
10-30 13:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xee6380…
10-30 13:22:58	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x34a4e8…
10-30 12:38:09	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9dd1e7…
10-30 12:28:04	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3a4cb8…
10-30 12:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x09a588…
10-30 11:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8ddd07…
10-30 10:42:58	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x17e5c2…
10-30 10:22:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6f7f75…
10-30 10:07:54	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa01155…
10-30 09:48:03	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xca5957…
10-30 09:33:03	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x34c7ce…
10-30 08:52:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7d52e6…
10-30 08:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3abb00…
10-30 08:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf8aae9…
10-30 08:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x84963c…
10-30 08:22:54	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3e98cc…
10-30 08:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8eba53…
10-30 08:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$1	0xf662c5…
10-30 08:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0c2441…
10-30 07:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xee965a…
10-30 07:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xff57a4…
10-30 07:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x94514f…
10-30 07:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaeed81…
10-30 06:27:57	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xec7905…
10-30 06:03:00	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8874ea…
10-30 05:13:07	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa272d1…
10-30 05:07:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0ea6f1…
10-30 04:58:01	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x12e346…
10-30 03:42:52	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x76ae09…
10-30 02:42:52	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa78a16…
10-30 02:33:07	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xac39ce…
10-30 00:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x812823…
10-30 00:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x357f40…
10-30 00:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0ea1de…
10-30 00:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x9d465c…
10-30 00:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xef24f2…
10-29 23:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x678251…
10-29 23:48:03	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe69a64…
10-29 23:33:07	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x57e12b…
10-29 22:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8548b0…
10-29 21:38:03	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeb39d1…
10-29 21:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xd0a424…
10-29 21:02:57	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x630d2d…
10-29 21:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x716898…
10-29 20:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5cf86e…
10-29 20:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x902e08…
10-29 20:48:12	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x025835…
10-29 20:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdf46c3…
10-29 20:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbcabf2…
10-29 20:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x7876cd…
10-29 20:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa22cca…
10-29 20:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x28bf9e…
10-29 17:53:02	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd5cb4…
10-29 17:37:58	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa7d07d…
10-29 14:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x44525f…
10-29 14:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x57b971…
10-29 14:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc58e2d…
10-29 13:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xec9404…
10-29 13:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7b7422…
10-29 12:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3e8c5c…
10-29 12:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa12b4c…
10-29 12:32:53	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x132757…
10-29 12:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1d0bc3…
10-29 12:08:08	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5e3d43…