Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.76K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

105

Trades

786

lifetime

Volume

$91.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-14 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Politics

63% 50% -$3,344

Other

25% 55% +$674

Sports

6% 38% +$31

Tech

6% 80% +$14

Crypto

1% 38% -$131

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+120	$25	18¢	$21	-$3	05-04 17:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	114	$15.9K	14,404	11,432	+2,972	Yes	-$2,061	02-27 16:49
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	62	$10.0K	9,356	9,356	+0	No	+$46	02-09 05:35
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	41	$9.8K	6,700	4,500	+2,200	No	+$318	02-17 17:10
bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after february 2026 meeting	2	$7.9K	4,000	3,900	+100	No	+$0	02-02 10:55
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$0	02-03 10:51
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	2	$5.0K	2,551	2,525	+26	No	+$0	02-23 15:03
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$4.5K	2,300	2,230	+70	No	+$0	03-03 12:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	18	$2.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$506	04-03 07:09
another us government shutdown by february 14	30	$2.0K	2,900	2,900	+0	No	-$147	02-12 14:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	26	$1.9K	3,400	5,200	-1,800	Yes	-$1,482	03-09 20:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$10	03-31 10:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	28	$1.5K	2,050	2,050	+0	Yes	-$170	03-28 01:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$1.4K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$23	02-28 07:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	8	$1.3K	1,961	0	+1,961	Yes	+$632	03-31 22:02
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	13	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$14	02-06 13:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	5	$1.3K	650	650	+0	No	+$5	03-04 12:57
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	7	$1.1K	1,100	500	+600	No	+$190	02-13 16:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.0K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$30	02-04 05:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$967	500	500	+0	No	+$1	02-06 16:45
us forces enter iran by march 7	6	$952	610	610	+0	No	-$1	03-04 04:49
lol sk shft 2026 02 08	11	$876	1,800	0	+1,800	Shifters	+$24	02-08 17:53
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	9	$857	800	800	+0	No	+$5	02-04 15:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	11	$851	2,400	2,400	+0	No	-$117	03-16 04:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	8	$845	568	568	+0	Yes	-$38	04-17 08:50
lol jdg tes 2026 02 05	17	$824	800	200	+600	Top Esports	-$16	02-05 12:53
lol vit lr 2026 02 08	12	$788	1,500	0	+1,500	Team Vitality	-$39	02-08 16:25
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	9	$652	400	400	+0	Yes	+$4	02-10 16:52
bad bunny wears a dress at the super bowl	5	$609	340	340	+0	No	+$63	02-09 01:58
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$590	600	0	+600	No	+$10	02-22 09:12
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	9	$534	385	440	-55	No	-$35	02-08 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 20:41:45	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xad6655…
08-10 05:53:13	will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 7	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xf65137…
08-10 05:53:13	will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 7	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4c54df…
08-05 17:38:35	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x45e42a…
08-03 14:37:57	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	92	16¢	$15	0x6e4348…
08-03 14:32:27	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xe1873c…
08-03 14:32:14	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xf9db27…
08-03 14:32:08	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xe5a069…
08-03 14:32:03	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x5a648a…
08-02 21:42:45	will ethereum reach 1900 in august 2026	No	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xba82b3…
08-02 21:05:06	will ethereum reach 1900 in august 2026	No	BUY	220	6¢	$13	0xfd101c…
08-01 16:46:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	50	79¢	$39	0xdc8181…
07-27 15:55:54	will trump say hottest during michigan remarks 20260724162420370	No	SELL	165	12¢	$20	0xea488d…
07-27 15:50:52	will trump say oil during michigan remarks 20260724162420369	Yes	SELL	99	90¢	$89	0x9389a4…
07-27 15:49:06	will trump say stock market during michigan remarks 20260724162420372	No	SELL	128	19¢	$24	0x8342a6…
07-27 15:48:13	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	SELL	277	21¢	$58	0x9429e6…
07-27 15:36:33	will trump say hottest during michigan remarks 20260724162420370	No	BUY	114	15¢	$17	0x9f7492…
07-27 15:35:24	will trump say hottest during michigan remarks 20260724162420370	No	BUY	51	15¢	$8	0x58b1cf…
07-27 15:24:19	will trump say stock market during michigan remarks 20260724162420372	No	BUY	128	20¢	$26	0x8b0a8b…
07-27 15:23:19	will trump say china or chinese during michigan remarks 20260724162420365	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xdbfa77…
07-27 15:08:40	will trump say oil during michigan remarks 20260724162420369	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x31a940…
07-27 15:08:27	will trump say oil during michigan remarks 20260724162420369	Yes	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xdcf1e5…
07-27 14:48:00	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x0a68fa…
07-27 14:42:58	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	BUY	64	24¢	$15	0x14d2e5…
07-27 14:42:57	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0xd7a16a…
07-27 14:42:57	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc5d14b…
07-27 14:08:21	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0x2fc308…
07-27 14:06:10	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	No	BUY	89	25¢	$22	0xb1d1fd…
07-27 14:01:21	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	150	65¢	$98	0x57439b…
07-25 18:02:13	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	SELL	60	49¢	$29	0x625690…
07-25 17:34:12	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xedb303…
07-25 09:05:55	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0xa66278…
07-20 15:54:15	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	150	41¢	$61	0xdac8a7…
07-20 15:46:36	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026 from july 16	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x43a6e0…
07-20 15:46:30	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026 from july 16	No	BUY	498	3¢	$15	0x983f2c…
07-18 16:55:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x3f5b03…
07-09 16:58:17	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0xfd7a8c…
07-09 14:08:08	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	120	70¢	$84	0x587f3a…
06-30 12:05:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x3abe0a…
06-30 12:00:13	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xf1195d…
06-23 17:38:19	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8cc0c…
06-23 17:37:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x528754…
05-07 09:03:17	Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1945ac…
05-04 17:25:34	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0xb28470…
05-03 13:55:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xbe34d1…
04-17 08:50:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	253	69¢	$175	0x8bac54…
04-17 08:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x7d8da6…
04-17 08:43:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xc080b6…
04-16 17:15:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	300	73¢	$219	0x80c9de…
04-14 13:38:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x3ef2de…
04-06 04:53:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	63	81¢	$51	0xa0ef62…
04-06 04:36:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	239	81¢	$194	0x2174a0…
04-06 04:17:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	65	81¢	$53	0xc08868…
04-03 07:09:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,000	71¢	$710	0x4c51e6…
04-02 14:46:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,000	68¢	$680	0xe4da76…
04-02 14:35:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	811	2¢	$13	0x21c29b…
04-02 14:24:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x6f4c8a…
04-02 14:23:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	84	2¢	$2	0x0daab2…
04-02 14:07:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$16	0xe2a95f…
04-01 07:29:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	405	38¢	$154	0x1d5d44…
04-01 07:21:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	295	38¢	$112	0x4192d3…
04-01 00:11:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe4c013…
04-01 00:09:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x8431b2…
04-01 00:04:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x06480f…
04-01 00:00:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0xc2bd92…
03-31 23:53:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x59f7d3…
03-31 22:02:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	322	67¢	$216	0x73592d…
03-31 22:02:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x1b3f89…
03-31 21:57:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	81	67¢	$54	0x33640c…
03-31 21:56:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	172	42¢	$72	0x5d7b8b…
03-31 21:38:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	94	67¢	$63	0x2a2d6c…
03-31 21:36:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	704	67¢	$471	0x1a9a11…
03-31 21:21:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x66cc26…
03-31 21:14:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xa1939e…
03-31 19:19:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf3a2e5…
03-31 19:17:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x06b90b…
03-31 19:09:39	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	60	87¢	$52	0x4806e4…
03-31 10:31:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x811baa…
03-31 10:07:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	1,000	82¢	$820	0x39aa67…
03-31 08:39:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	233	50¢	$116	0x0c38d3…
03-30 06:54:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x7dece7…
03-29 23:54:00	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0xb8fff4…
03-29 12:08:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	267	50¢	$134	0x3abf2a…
03-28 01:28:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	32¢	$19	0x1c9ab6…
03-28 01:28:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	32¢	$240	0x82f9cd…
03-27 22:47:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3e04d1…
03-27 22:44:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x8ee78b…
03-27 22:42:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	250	65¢	$163	0x0c5075…
03-27 22:34:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x10990f…
03-27 22:33:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x35323c…
03-27 22:12:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x6f6d97…
03-27 19:45:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	32¢	$40	0x0a6c6a…
03-27 19:45:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x5aab1f…
03-27 19:43:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	32¢	$15	0xd4c914…
03-27 19:34:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,036	32¢	$332	0xbb4f76…
03-25 05:33:49	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	111	30¢	$33	0x8a3dca…
03-25 05:28:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x8d1712…
03-25 05:28:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xea9ef8…
03-25 05:26:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xb0e380…
03-25 05:26:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	39	30¢	$12	0xd8dcea…