Outrageous-Tailor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$153

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-19 09:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

42% 67% +$163

Crypto

30% — —

Other

27% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$150	304	0	+304	Yes	+$154	04-23 08:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$121	111	111	+0	open	—	04-08 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	05-22 09:47
btc updown 5m 1776529200	3	$83	81	45	+36	open	—	04-18 16:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	2	$80	63	61	+2	open	—	04-27 15:34
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$75	506	0	+506	open	—	04-23 06:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$75	191	0	+191	open	—	06-19 09:58
btc updown 5m 1776681300	2	$70	53	50	+2	open	—	04-20 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?	2	$66	49	47	+1	open	—	04-25 06:51
btc updown 5m 1776529500	2	$61	43	42	+2	open	—	04-18 16:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$61	1,271	0	+1,271	open	—	04-22 14:32
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	1	$50	85	0	+85	open	—	04-22 21:40
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$50	97	0	+97	open	—	04-22 21:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$44	34	34	+0	open	—	01-31 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$40	117	0	+117	open	—	04-25 09:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$39	29	29	+0	open	—	03-02 04:36
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	2	$35	26	26	+1	open	—	04-24 17:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$34	12,364	0	+12,364	open	—	04-24 11:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	03-10 18:55
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 31	2	$30	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	01-31 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$30	21	20	+1	open	—	04-25 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$29	28	27	+1	open	—	04-25 11:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$28	34	34	+0	open	—	04-08 06:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$20	250	0	+250	open	—	05-04 17:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	04-24 17:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-04 16:05
btc updown 5m 1776526500	1	$20	54	0	+54	open	—	04-18 15:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	06-15 07:48
btc updown 5m 1776681600	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	04-20 10:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	1	$20	57	0	+57	open	—	04-24 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 09:58:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x2255a1…
06-15 14:44:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xb50f62…
06-15 07:51:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x0bc04d…
06-15 07:48:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x6fbb7a…
06-07 20:29:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x072359…
05-23 20:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x26be83…
05-22 09:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5a0d8a…
05-13 20:36:24	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xd8f2b3…
05-13 20:35:49	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xe8a213…
05-07 21:09:06	Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	252	4¢	$10	0xf2cbd4…
05-04 17:05:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x54b1f3…
05-04 16:05:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x544bfe…
05-04 14:00:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x68ee12…
05-04 13:58:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x67350b…
05-04 13:40:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x9feb1e…
04-30 08:54:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,063	0¢	$6	0x30364f…
04-28 19:47:18	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe73d7c…
04-27 18:50:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa8daba…
04-27 18:50:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xce3e81…
04-27 18:50:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7fa72e…
04-27 18:47:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	2¢	$4	0x033045…
04-27 15:34:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xaae51f…
04-27 07:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x4aae99…
04-26 08:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 26?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9dbc28…
04-26 07:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0xbd645b…
04-26 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xe09477…
04-25 11:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x43ea1f…
04-25 11:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x58ec06…
04-25 11:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xdb8ff3…
04-25 11:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0xc2715d…
04-25 11:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x3cb85b…
04-25 09:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x910756…
04-25 09:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x300fb0…
04-25 09:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x65e520…
04-25 09:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa91948…
04-25 09:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x7460de…
04-25 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x0e57f0…
04-25 09:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x97e013…
04-25 07:35:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x5bf070…
04-25 07:35:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x132328…
04-25 06:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	47	96¢	$46	0x0cccd6…
04-24 22:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xd1ee4b…
04-24 21:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x259bce…
04-24 20:32:32	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xb61a9f…
04-24 20:30:38	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc99d34…
04-24 20:30:32	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xefc856…
04-24 19:40:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x543dbd…
04-24 17:39:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xeef341…
04-24 17:38:38	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2eea2e…
04-24 17:32:20	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x16c17b…
04-24 17:31:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x64a0c0…
04-24 11:16:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5,100	0¢	$5	0xc3c843…
04-24 06:46:32	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8d69a3…
04-24 06:46:18	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x98b6ac…
04-23 21:02:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x1fcb46…
04-23 18:26:28	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe7edff…
04-23 18:25:40	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1bc9b0…
04-23 18:24:40	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x90d834…
04-23 08:28:22	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x95e1c4…
04-23 06:41:22	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x0c1a72…
04-23 06:40:46	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x27bad7…
04-22 21:44:36	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	367	14¢	$50	0x0fab92…
04-22 21:40:52	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xbdfb1d…
04-22 21:35:50	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0x3ba01b…
04-22 21:35:24	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xc0ab1e…
04-22 20:56:46	will the bharatiya janata party bjp win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf96c69…
04-22 20:55:32	Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x658959…
04-22 20:55:28	Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7594a7…
04-22 17:55:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x58e0e2…
04-22 17:55:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xad1341…
04-22 17:54:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x210397…
04-22 14:32:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb087c8…
04-22 14:31:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9af4d1…
04-21 11:33:24	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xd7d1a5…
04-21 10:47:00	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x5229d7…
04-21 10:46:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$5	0xfde409…
04-20 17:34:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	264	8¢	$20	0x918f6f…
04-20 10:41:48	btc updown 5m 1776681600	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x12eeb3…
04-20 10:40:08	btc updown 5m 1776681300	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xab6a05…
04-20 10:37:30	btc updown 5m 1776681300	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x8b40f0…
04-19 20:13:26	btc updown 5m 1776629400	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xdbd916…
04-19 16:50:38	btc updown 5m 1776617400	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xdaf049…
04-19 12:02:36	btc updown 5m 1776600000	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x951838…
04-19 12:02:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xaa1bac…
04-19 07:32:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb158f5…
04-19 07:09:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	212	24¢	$50	0x1f2f1b…
04-18 16:34:02	btc updown 5m 1776529800	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x156c6e…
04-18 16:29:50	btc updown 5m 1776529500	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xddf489…
04-18 16:25:20	btc updown 5m 1776529500	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9c2eb2…
04-18 16:23:50	btc updown 5m 1776529200	Up	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xfa82ac…
04-18 16:20:16	btc updown 5m 1776529200	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xc4f94e…
04-18 16:20:12	btc updown 5m 1776529200	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x4a3d6d…
04-18 15:40:20	btc updown 5m 1776526800	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x882255…
04-18 15:36:40	btc updown 5m 1776526500	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x1b65f0…
04-18 15:31:06	btc updown 5m 1776526200	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xa5e474…
04-18 15:26:42	btc updown 5m 1776525900	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3e4b53…
04-18 15:20:40	btc updown 5m 1776525600	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6668ac…
04-18 15:19:38	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x975cf8…
04-18 15:16:44	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xdf96c5…
04-18 15:14:44	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2c66f2…