Sarcastic-Sycamore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.09K

Unrealized P&L

-$212

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

302

Trades

471

lifetime

Volume

$84.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$180

Open exposure

$294

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-05 07:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

55% 75% +$3,466

Sports

26% 73% -$866

Crypto

12% 80% +$515

Politics

5% 88% -$30

Tech

1% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+201	$139	92¢	$184	+$45	06-01 07:31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	+345	$300	27¢	$93	-$207	11-04 06:11
will napoli qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	Yes	+100	$67	17¢	$17	-$50	08-20 06:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	7	$4.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$86	03-29 05:28
will atalanta reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$4.0K	4,018	0	+4,018	No	+$10	03-18 05:51
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$2.2K	5,972	0	+5,972	Yes	+$3,750	07-20 09:08
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$2.2K	6,067	0	+6,067	No	-$2,222	07-20 09:09
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$2.1K	1,062	1,062	+0	No	+$33	04-25 04:43
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	30	$1.7K	4,321	4,321	+0	No	-$190	07-02 06:47
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	18	$1.6K	1,766	0	+1,766	No	+$200	03-22 08:30
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	19	$1.4K	49,975	0	+49,975	No	-$1,437	03-17 19:20
sea int cag 2026 04 17 ags lautaro martinez	1	$1.4K	1,419	0	+1,419	No	+$2	04-17 02:23
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	1	$1.3K	1,431	0	+1,431	No	+$98	10-21 06:13
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$1.2K	1,562	0	+1,562	France	+$328	07-08 06:11
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.2K	14,141	12,161	+1,980	No	-$160	03-19 05:01
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$854	877	0	+877	No	+$23	03-22 00:54
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	1	$777	809	0	+809	No	+$32	07-17 07:02
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	1	$777	803	0	+803	No	+$26	03-11 04:41
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$777	804	0	+804	FC Bayern München	+$27	03-14 04:25
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$728	999	0	+999	No	+$271	07-02 06:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$692	777	0	+777	No	+$85	05-16 04:42
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 ars	1	$666	876	0	+876	Yes	+$210	03-16 05:15
will leverkusen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	1	$666	733	0	+733	No	+$67	03-11 04:42
will real madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	1	$666	774	0	+774	Yes	+$108	03-12 08:36
Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$666	757	0	+757	Yes	+$91	06-27 09:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$661	0	666	-666	No	-$5	06-13 07:20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$635	1,800	0	+1,800	No	-$635	07-02 06:58
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	2	$633	649	0	+649	No	+$16	03-29 05:48
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$607	831	0	+831	No	+$224	06-13 07:23
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$586	888	0	+888	No	+$302	03-15 22:52
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	1	$585	589	0	+589	No	+$5	03-24 00:40
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$573	666	0	+666	No	+$93	05-15 04:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	1	$566	666	0	+666	No	+$100	05-15 04:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 07:56:27	Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	236	78¢	$184	0x0dfef4…
11-05 07:55:04	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x8c3959…
11-05 07:51:16	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xd5cc9b…
11-05 07:51:07	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xd0a0ff…
11-05 07:50:30	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0xf68049…
11-05 07:45:31	Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)	AFC Ajax	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x371b3c…
11-05 07:40:04	AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x85916f…
11-05 07:39:45	Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Sunderland AFC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	305	65¢	$200	0x01e0ff…
11-05 07:39:16	Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Sunderland AFC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x1c8ddf…
11-05 07:39:00	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x95e80d…
11-05 07:38:51	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0xe5b732…
11-05 07:35:55	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x0a999a…
11-05 07:34:40	AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xe578c6…
11-05 07:33:10	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x7e050c…
11-05 07:33:03	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x106618…
11-05 07:32:34	AZ vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x706047…
11-05 07:32:06	Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xdc9028…
11-05 07:31:03	Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x3a681d…
11-05 07:30:49	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0xe93268…
11-05 07:29:39	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x2abe40…
11-05 07:29:00	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x9b047d…
11-05 07:28:48	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x1d9435…
11-05 07:28:36	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xca3153…
11-05 07:28:25	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x7ebfd7…
11-05 07:28:13	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xf27b69…
11-05 07:27:27	RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x9762a0…
11-05 07:27:04	Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0xa2b993…
11-05 07:26:52	RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x4f805d…
11-05 07:26:18	Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x576fe1…
11-05 07:24:30	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xfad89a…
11-05 07:24:15	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x81d851…
11-05 07:23:34	Will AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x60e788…
11-05 07:22:57	Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Crystal Palace FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xefe45d…
11-05 07:22:33	Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xe4b029…
11-05 07:20:55	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: AC Milan O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	279	72¢	$200	0xa14f04…
11-05 07:18:12	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x14b3b0…
11-05 07:17:45	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xbc8d15…
11-05 07:15:31	AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x446cfe…
11-05 07:15:16	AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x2359ac…
11-05 07:14:46	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x2c8ef5…
11-04 06:11:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xe5d43d…
11-04 06:07:13	Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	285	70¢	$200	0x08a02b…
11-04 06:06:45	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x090299…
11-04 06:03:18	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xaf6e0c…
11-04 05:57:40	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x7085b8…
11-04 05:57:04	SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x5e7019…
11-04 05:56:40	Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: Como 1907 O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x00d3a8…
11-04 05:56:18	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xd85911…
11-04 05:55:22	Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x5cb085…
11-04 05:54:21	Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)	SSC Napoli	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x46a600…
11-04 05:52:54	Spread: PSV (-2.5)	Club Brugge KV	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x7789f2…
11-04 05:52:10	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xe1425f…
11-04 05:51:45	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x228ea7…
11-04 05:51:06	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x610a43…
11-04 05:50:48	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xb0a3d2…
11-04 05:49:27	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x60f9ef…
11-04 05:49:10	Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x3be4b8…
11-04 05:48:21	SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x79d833…
11-04 05:47:46	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x7e253f…
11-04 05:46:45	FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xec9d59…
11-04 05:46:28	FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xaa253c…
11-04 05:45:45	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xcb2903…
11-04 05:45:22	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x7a3eb3…
11-04 05:44:27	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x9ab752…
11-04 05:43:58	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0xd217dd…
11-04 05:43:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x17edd6…
11-04 05:43:09	Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xb81ebd…
11-03 08:17:24	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x7e2327…
11-03 08:17:09	Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xfa64ac…
11-03 08:16:36	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x757584…
10-24 13:36:30	Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	207	29¢	$60	0xa8add3…
10-24 13:35:57	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0x7c0a6e…
10-24 13:35:33	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Everton FC	BUY	545	55¢	$300	0x95a5ca…
10-24 13:34:50	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x259827…
10-21 06:15:30	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	404	80¢	$323	0xa2c58e…
10-21 06:15:05	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x25b0cf…
10-21 06:13:35	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,431	93¢	$1,333	0xf0a8c3…
10-21 06:12:29	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x6dbd5a…
10-17 12:28:17	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x684388…
10-17 12:28:02	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0xc4fb0a…
10-17 12:27:12	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x6594e1…
10-17 12:26:57	Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	419	95¢	$400	0x577a56…
10-13 09:34:38	Spread: PSV (-2.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	311	97¢	$300	0xfeed0e…
10-13 09:33:10	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	440	63¢	$277	0x2a894a…
10-13 09:31:44	RB Leipzig vs. PSV: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0xcf7304…
10-13 09:30:58	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x9586bb…
10-13 09:29:10	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xdfe026…
10-13 09:28:40	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x24dffb…
08-20 06:35:03	will roma qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	Yes	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x4642ab…
08-20 06:34:43	will napoli qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xe566a7…
08-20 06:34:30	will inter milan qualify for the 2027 28 uefa champions league	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$43	0xb7cf8e…
07-20 09:09:22	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6,067	37¢	$2,222	0xda95dd…
07-20 09:08:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,972	37¢	$2,222	0xc622cb…
07-17 07:02:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	809	96¢	$777	0x4dbc70…
07-17 06:53:40	will the announcers say ticket during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403330	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$99	0x01db9d…
07-17 06:53:16	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956893	Yes	BUY	358	41¢	$148	0x8e479e…
07-17 06:52:07	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	No	BUY	182	48¢	$88	0x1f060e…
07-17 06:51:40	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	Yes	BUY	586	83¢	$488	0xe11c54…
07-17 06:51:15	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	BUY	528	74¢	$388	0x376bf1…
07-17 06:51:01	will the announcers say handball during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403316	Yes	BUY	387	74¢	$288	0xa89390…