Inexperienced-Nudge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$677

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

1,201

Trades

2,323

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 06-29 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 99% +$13

Other

44% 27% -$538

Politics

4% 9% -$98

Sports

1% 0% -$30

Tech

1% 17% -$24

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	27	$169	119	119	+0	No	-$2	06-24 19:22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?	14	$152	173	169	+3	Yes	-$12	06-24 10:08
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	4	$140	100	100	+0	No	-$4	06-20 07:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?	4	$127	83	83	+0	Yes	-$7	06-24 01:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	13	$124	109	109	+0	Yes	-$2	06-23 22:22
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$118	69	69	+0	No	+$0	06-18 13:39
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$116	77	77	+0	No	$0	06-18 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?	8	$112	134	134	+0	No	-$5	06-24 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?	13	$110	128	128	+0	No	+$3	06-20 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	6	$109	86	86	+0	Yes	-$1	06-24 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?	2	$109	99	99	+0	Yes	-$6	06-18 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	8	$103	113	113	+0	Yes	-$1	06-24 04:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?	11	$101	96	95	+0	No	+$1	06-22 22:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?	11	$95	78	75	+4	Yes	-$5	06-24 12:20
cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	2	$94	105	105	+0	Team Falcons	+$0	06-20 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 21?	13	$93	59	59	+0	No	+$1	06-20 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 25?	2	$87	62	62	+0	No	-$2	06-23 08:07
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	6	$86	88	88	+0	No	-$4	06-25 09:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?	5	$83	59	59	+0	Yes	-$3	06-21 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 25?	8	$83	107	107	+0	No	-$4	06-24 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?	8	$82	75	75	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?	6	$81	57	57	-0	No	-$2	06-25 08:05
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	2	$81	52	52	+0	No	+$0	06-19 07:38
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	2	$80	52	52	+0	Yes	-$3	06-20 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 24?	7	$79	92	92	+0	No	-$8	06-24 01:22
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	5	$77	70	70	+0	No	-$1	06-25 02:48
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	4	$77	78	78	+0	Yes	-$5	06-23 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?	3	$75	54	54	+0	No	-$2	06-18 22:17
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	3	$74	60	60	+0	No	-$12	06-21 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 25?	2	$73	62	62	+0	No	-$6	06-24 04:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 00:52:58	will catherine west be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533200	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xf0f09d…
06-25 23:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 25?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x83f682…
06-25 23:39:22	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xfea294…
06-25 23:39:13	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xb931ed…
06-25 23:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x39c8d9…
06-25 23:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1936c4…
06-25 23:38:52	will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the office of the special prosecutor and national crime agency 20260623184301115	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x0c8e53…
06-25 23:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x5e72da…
06-25 23:38:35	will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians 20260623184301114	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xa190bc…
06-25 23:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 26?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x01bf14…
06-25 23:38:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	31	15¢	$5	0xe7077d…
06-25 23:38:17	Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xb9e65a…
06-25 23:38:04	Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xbb168c…
06-25 23:37:58	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	32	17¢	$5	0x48a909…
06-25 23:37:52	Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	No	SELL	68	10¢	$7	0xf933d4…
06-25 23:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0x307cf9…
06-25 23:36:22	Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x1cb049…
06-25 23:36:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 27?	No	SELL	33	57¢	$19	0x43895f…
06-25 23:29:58	will gavin mckenna be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346474	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x5bb70a…
06-25 23:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xbb8dde…
06-25 23:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x38f439…
06-25 22:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x0d08f8…
06-25 22:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9d5e98…
06-25 21:22:28	Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xa653b4…
06-25 20:46:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x2fe334…
06-25 20:26:32	Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x6f5f88…
06-25 20:24:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x88f273…
06-25 20:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 26?	No	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x12a2b1…
06-25 19:55:52	Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xf10a60…
06-25 19:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 26?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xd88966…
06-25 19:34:53	Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd9b1fd…
06-25 19:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x847818…
06-25 19:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xa9359f…
06-25 19:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb77a15…
06-25 19:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xe340b3…
06-25 18:29:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 27?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x649e8f…
06-25 18:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26?	No	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xf16c95…
06-25 18:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?	No	SELL	36	54¢	$19	0xb93102…
06-25 18:14:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x7d75ad…
06-25 17:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xb439a6…
06-25 17:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8b9438…
06-25 17:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5c713e…
06-25 17:31:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xd3ca4b…
06-25 17:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0xcadb5a…
06-25 17:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x67f3fc…
06-25 17:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xdbeabd…
06-25 17:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$3	0x2cb8d5…
06-25 17:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	23	49¢	$11	0x55f18f…
06-25 16:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 25?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xb9b10f…
06-25 16:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?	No	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x80aecf…
06-25 16:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0x5ba0b0…
06-25 16:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1d7882…
06-25 16:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xbaa413…
06-25 16:30:40	will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 40b 20260619202534028	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xef73fb…
06-25 16:23:52	will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 40b 20260619202534028	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x6c1ecc…
06-25 16:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?	Yes	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x93e394…
06-25 16:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x09eb75…
06-25 16:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 26?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0xb516c3…
06-25 16:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 26?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xe5cfe9…
06-25 16:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 26?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x7cbef9…
06-25 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x861e47…
06-25 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x57d419…
06-25 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x209237…
06-25 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x1f2402…
06-25 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x018e50…
06-25 15:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x514081…
06-25 15:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x85faf6…
06-25 15:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x0b994e…
06-25 15:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0x27dd48…
06-25 15:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26?	No	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x312f2b…
06-25 15:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x241395…
06-25 14:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x06a652…
06-25 14:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xbef5a1…
06-25 14:22:28	will spy dip to 725 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xee0a51…
06-25 14:16:19	will spy dip to 725 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	18	38¢	$7	0xb56263…
06-25 14:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x216911…
06-25 14:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xa88b72…
06-25 13:57:55	will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians 20260623184301114	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xcd3314…
06-25 13:48:17	will spy dip to 725 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x332104…
06-25 13:44:31	Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	Yes	SELL	39	19¢	$7	0xda2540…
06-25 13:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xcf33af…
06-25 13:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x31b192…
06-25 13:34:08	will spy dip to 730 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xba5e1c…
06-25 13:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 26?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x6797bd…
06-25 13:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xebd142…
06-25 13:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x955e0f…
06-25 12:57:50	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x626bf1…
06-25 12:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xcacde6…
06-25 12:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 26?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x9ea4c0…
06-25 12:22:32	will russia capture serhiivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x7bf757…
06-25 12:13:56	will russia capture serhiivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x3789ea…
06-25 12:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x3b8834…
06-25 11:56:32	Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 83% and 85%?	Yes	SELL	35	37¢	$13	0x629096…
06-25 11:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xabf83c…
06-25 11:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x05dc98…
06-25 11:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xacb952…
06-25 11:22:35	will russia capture dovha balka by september 30	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x29ef02…
06-25 11:22:34	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x2f24b2…
06-25 11:22:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0x869a1e…
06-25 11:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x733846…