Old-Gobbler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$69

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 06-23 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 43% +$3

Politics

30% 11% -$5

Other

17% 9% -$10

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+6	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	05-15 03:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-15 03:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$10	26	0	+26	Up	+$16	05-15 03:27
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	06-23 20:31
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$3	05-15 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	Down	-$5	05-15 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	Up	-$5	05-15 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-15 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-15 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	43	0	+43	Down	-$5	05-15 04:29
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	25	0	+25	No	-$1	05-15 04:03
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	50	0	+50	No	-$1	05-15 03:24
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	35	0	+35	No	-$1	05-15 04:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	200	0	+200	No	-$1	05-15 03:50
will trump speak to mark rutte in june	1	$1	40	0	+40	Yes	-$1	06-23 20:41
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	06-23 20:33
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	05-15 04:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 03:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	333	0	+333	No	-$1	05-15 03:49
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	05-15 04:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	05-15 04:21
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	05-15 04:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 03:34
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	-$1	05-15 04:13
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	1	$1	22	0	+22	Yes	-$1	06-23 20:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	71	0	+71	No	-$1	05-15 03:48
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	05-15 04:11
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	05-15 04:03
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be less than 80?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	05-15 04:00
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	1	$1	111	0	+111	Golden Knights	-$1	05-15 04:01
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	06-23 20:37
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	05-15 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 20:41:19	will trump speak to mark rutte in june	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x6b59df…
06-23 20:37:59	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x53ecc0…
06-23 20:34:22	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x7d53d2…
06-23 20:33:34	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2800c5…
06-23 20:31:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x85d551…
05-15 04:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0x2d6df9…
05-15 04:25:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xf17932…
05-15 04:21:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfdfbf9…
05-15 04:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf10ca5…
05-15 04:13:10	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4c0406…
05-15 04:12:30	Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa3e9d9…
05-15 04:11:53	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc5ff8d…
05-15 04:11:38	Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x4981ab…
05-15 04:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc8a683…
05-15 04:04:38	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x440a2a…
05-15 04:04:27	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9261ad…
05-15 04:04:13	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc6fe55…
05-15 04:03:19	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8b4e0f…
05-15 04:03:05	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xca1aa9…
05-15 04:01:53	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xbb6164…
05-15 04:00:03	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be less than 80?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x99f3a7…
05-15 03:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbb78a4…
05-15 03:50:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd6ab39…
05-15 03:49:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xbdd786…
05-15 03:48:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x515f6d…
05-15 03:48:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x77f662…
05-15 03:46:57	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6537e2…
05-15 03:46:33	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x9bd050…
05-15 03:43:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x284def…
05-15 03:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfbd85f…
05-15 03:34:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf63135…
05-15 03:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3ce064…
05-15 03:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc169d6…
05-15 03:24:37	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3bd9ea…