Physical-Ascend — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$897

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved (90d)

776

Trades (90d)

1,284

2,379 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$10.1K

$15.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-29 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 26% -$811

Other

24% 19% +$363

Politics

2% 22% -$43

Sports

0% 0% -$30

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		-26	-$8	24¢	$-6	+$2	08-08 19:54
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes		-25	-$2	2¢	$-1	+$2	07-28 18:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	6	$766	1,834	1,834	+0	England	+$638	07-18 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 11:15 UTC	3	$267	264	264	+0	Down	+$247	08-07 11:19
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	4	$202	1,228	1,228	+0	No	+$152	07-18 22:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 19:25 UTC	4	$193	315	238	+76	Down	+$103	08-15 19:27
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:55 UTC	3	$162	147	147	+0	Up	+$122	08-21 08:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:45 UTC	2	$150	154	154	+0	Up	+$110	08-17 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:20 UTC	4	$137	178	162	+16	Up	+$97	08-20 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	3	$126	208	199	+9	Up	+$76	08-21 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:35 UTC	7	$126	206	127	+79	Down	+$30	08-30 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	4	$114	510	343	+167	Up	+$44	08-12 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:50 UTC	5	$104	300	156	+144	Up	+$34	08-30 16:53
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:25 UTC	2	$101	174	174	+0	Up	+$81	08-20 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:30 UTC	2	$97	91	91	+0	Down	+$77	08-20 23:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:05 UTC	3	$95	118	118	+0	Up	+$65	08-21 09:09
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$91	113	113	+0	Down	+$51	08-23 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:30 UTC	5	$91	137	114	+24	Up	+$21	08-30 16:32
Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-05-11?	3	$87	77	77	+0	Yes	+$67	05-11 19:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:05 UTC	4	$86	169	149	+20	Down	+$14	08-12 18:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:50 UTC	3	$86	135	135	+0	Down	+$42	08-12 17:53
Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska	6	$85	121	118	+3	Federica Urgesi	+$68	05-11 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:05 UTC	2	$81	71	71	+0	Down	+$61	07-28 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:05 UTC	3	$80	185	167	+18	Up	+$50	08-21 13:09
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	4	$78	200	200	+0	Yes	+$58	07-07 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$78	112	100	+12	Down	+$18	05-12 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 12:05 UTC	2	$77	67	67	+0	Down	+$57	08-28 12:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:10 UTC	3	$77	70	70	+0	Up	+$63	08-12 17:15
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	2	$76	81	81	+0	Yes	+$36	07-11 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$75	91	91	+0	Down	+$55	10-20 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 12:20 UTC	6	$75	90	90	+0	Down	+$35	08-28 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	4	$71	94	94	+0	Down	+$41	08-27 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2fc476…
10-29 19:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xba435f…
10-21 17:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x50568b…
10-21 17:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc097f1…
10-21 17:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4cdfac…
10-21 17:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc79459…
10-21 17:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x9bcb20…
10-21 17:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe95527…
10-21 17:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x06ec8f…
10-21 17:27:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4304cf…
10-21 17:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0xb1a175…
10-21 17:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2efc1b…
10-21 04:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xef5b65…
10-21 04:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x482476…
10-20 19:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x98071c…
10-20 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6a1404…
10-20 19:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x7faf31…
10-20 19:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xe5e51b…
10-20 19:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa86451…
10-20 19:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x4b870f…
10-20 19:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xfee6b7…
10-20 19:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc4b682…
10-20 19:01:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8fdf10…
10-20 18:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfc521d…
10-20 18:55:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x786855…
10-20 18:55:51	Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0x14c3cf…
10-20 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xfd5927…
10-20 18:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x20e474…
10-20 18:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4a8fbf…
10-20 18:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	62	73¢	$46	0x5a24da…
10-20 18:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x43a244…
10-20 18:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x87a179…
10-20 18:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc56dc0…
10-20 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xbad97e…
10-20 17:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf30474…
10-20 17:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x5f672e…
10-20 17:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x15eab0…
10-20 17:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9193c1…
10-20 17:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x9b44db…
10-20 17:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x239961…
10-20 17:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	38	35¢	$13	0x7fcd64…
10-20 17:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xeb7b46…
10-20 17:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	91	71¢	$65	0x8db4fe…
10-20 17:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xdac891…
10-20 16:44:57	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x38966d…
10-20 16:43:30	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x615f8c…
10-20 16:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x11f39b…
10-20 16:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbcd735…
10-20 16:42:06	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x5a072d…
10-20 16:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x00f61d…
10-20 16:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1d47d9…
10-20 16:40:26	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x423fc9…
10-20 16:39:30	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0xc42170…
10-20 16:39:05	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x856aab…
10-20 16:38:39	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	43	79¢	$34	0xde4f96…
10-20 16:36:36	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x924ac5…
10-20 16:35:47	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1abc99…
10-20 16:32:39	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x57688c…
10-20 16:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x403267…
10-20 16:30:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x204888…
10-20 16:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xc540e4…
10-20 16:24:05	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0x60d216…
10-20 16:22:17	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x8067dc…
10-20 16:21:59	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc01bfb…
10-20 16:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0xd73a60…
10-20 16:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xb640d3…
10-20 16:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x271690…
10-20 16:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfbb18f…
10-20 16:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1659d1…
10-04 07:00:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x85e6a9…
10-04 06:56:47	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc4ffe6…
10-04 06:55:41	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe30764…
10-04 06:55:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x54d2c4…
09-22 18:30:52	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb47c30…
09-22 18:25:18	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x589e75…
09-22 18:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe4272a…
09-21 20:51:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xfad88e…
09-21 20:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x78d9b9…
09-08 18:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x06df31…
09-08 18:31:54	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb5ef4d…
09-08 18:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe74e3f…
09-08 18:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x845842…
09-08 18:02:34	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe7b014…
09-08 18:02:30	Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9e1de3…
09-08 17:54:15	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0xde24bb…
09-08 17:53:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0x133be0…
09-04 11:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd4e7ac…
09-04 11:36:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x2843e6…
09-04 11:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9c2efc…
08-31 18:00:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x706af5…
08-31 18:00:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdd5218…
08-31 17:59:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdf7486…
08-31 17:58:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:55 UTC	Down	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x8d6d1a…
08-31 17:58:01	ZEC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x27dc53…
08-31 17:57:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x313db1…
08-31 17:56:39	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xac87ab…
08-30 17:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeebeb1…
08-30 17:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x7b164a…
08-30 17:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x968bb5…
08-30 17:02:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x646df8…