Skinny-Men — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

222

Trades

487

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-26 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 78% +$23

Politics

1% 54% -$26

Other

0% 15% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:50 UTC	4	$814	421	421	+0	Down	+$14	10-04 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	6	$615	357	357	+0	Down	+$15	10-04 09:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:40 UTC	6	$615	331	331	+0	Up	+$15	10-04 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$431	289	289	+0	Up	+$31	10-03 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$420	239	239	+0	Up	+$20	10-03 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:50 UTC	4	$419	234	234	+0	Down	+$19	10-04 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$414	249	249	+0	Up	+$14	10-03 12:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:50 UTC	4	$266	152	152	+0	Down	+$16	09-30 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:30 UTC	4	$262	146	146	+0	Up	+$12	09-29 21:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:35 UTC	4	$248	210	210	+0	Up	-$2	09-29 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:30 UTC	2	$214	121	121	+0	Down	+$14	09-30 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$211	112	112	+0	Down	+$11	10-03 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$205	108	108	+0	Down	+$5	10-03 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	2	$201	101	101	+0	Down	+$1	10-04 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	1	$200	341	0	+341	Up	-$200	10-04 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:50 UTC	6	$157	113	113	+0	Down	+$7	10-04 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$146	137	137	+0	Up	-$4	10-04 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	7	$123	65	65	+0	Up	+$1	10-04 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:35 UTC	4	$120	96	96	+0	Up	+$20	09-30 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:55 UTC	4	$117	106	106	+0	Up	+$17	09-30 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:15 UTC	4	$110	70	70	+0	Down	+$10	10-03 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$107	61	61	+0	Down	+$7	10-04 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$107	60	60	+0	Up	+$7	10-04 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$106	62	62	+0	Up	+$6	10-04 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$105	55	55	+0	Up	+$5	10-05 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$105	61	61	+0	Up	+$5	10-04 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	7	$102	60	60	+0	Down	+$2	10-04 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	1	$100	141	0	+141	Down	-$100	10-04 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	10-04 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:40 UTC	3	$87	98	56	+42	Down	-$13	09-29 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x056dd1…
10-26 17:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xac32f4…
10-26 17:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5bd08d…
10-26 17:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa9b6b0…
10-26 17:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x85445c…
10-26 17:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xad90b4…
10-26 17:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe068ca…
10-26 17:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf7a78d…
10-26 17:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3edd47…
10-26 17:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x36cfb9…
10-26 16:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xea6776…
10-26 16:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4771ab…
10-26 16:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb83c7c…
10-26 16:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x14c44b…
10-26 16:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xcae8c3…
10-26 16:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x39a18d…
10-26 16:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x848877…
10-26 16:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xebf2e7…
10-26 16:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x89ee59…
10-26 15:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x53ce42…
10-26 15:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xffe10b…
10-26 15:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbb9627…
10-26 15:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x766fca…
10-26 14:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x062e6b…
10-26 14:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x00a772…
10-26 14:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd0eba7…
10-26 14:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9a1893…
10-26 14:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x37812a…
10-26 13:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8abdc2…
10-26 13:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9d080a…
10-26 12:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x39a8e9…
10-26 12:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd52423…
10-26 12:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x904469…
10-26 11:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4d099b…
10-26 11:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x01cb37…
10-26 11:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf8d835…
10-26 10:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa32ea5…
10-26 10:40:05	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xa2a706…
10-26 10:39:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	32	42¢	$13	0x5f13a9…
10-07 20:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc2d25b…
10-07 20:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x16668c…
10-07 20:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x65a5f2…
10-07 20:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9ccbf7…
10-07 20:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x22cf64…
10-07 20:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7d1c06…
10-07 20:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x890c84…
10-07 20:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xeb7cb6…
10-07 20:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x537352…
10-07 20:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6d3500…
10-07 20:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe191c0…
10-07 20:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4fc421…
10-07 20:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe3a168…
10-07 09:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5a1e1e…
10-07 09:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x88faab…
10-07 09:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe28ffb…
10-06 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x72fc83…
10-06 14:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x131e93…
10-06 14:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x9c6a09…
10-06 13:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x574ab1…
10-06 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe17de9…
10-06 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7018f6…
10-06 13:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1a6c02…
10-06 13:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbbd473…
10-06 13:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xf4d112…
10-06 13:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xda6420…
10-06 13:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x2039b8…
10-06 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8d2086…
10-06 11:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x81a45f…
10-06 11:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x215248…
10-06 10:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x6ae3f4…
10-06 10:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x91c2db…
10-06 10:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x160537…
10-06 09:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xc38e04…
10-06 09:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xfc71a5…
10-05 15:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9400a4…
10-05 15:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7bbfac…
10-05 15:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x961a35…
10-05 15:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb2c008…
10-05 15:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x16f9d4…
10-05 14:17:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x7ba335…
10-05 14:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x8e73c6…
10-05 13:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xa8168e…
10-05 13:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x57668e…
10-05 13:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xf8d389…
10-05 13:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xfe1aaf…
10-05 13:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	34	75¢	$25	0xb37632…
10-05 13:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x9c5d6e…
10-05 13:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x620803…
10-05 13:11:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x3e6b9e…
10-05 13:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7d1d28…
10-05 13:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	37	31¢	$12	0x50c116…
10-05 13:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x4380a3…
10-05 13:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x09303d…
10-05 11:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x68c33b…
10-05 11:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x1069cc…
10-05 11:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xa0fafa…
10-05 11:41:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x957346…
10-05 11:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x74e04b…
10-05 11:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x454669…
10-05 11:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x99e911…