Nimble-Outhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$365

Open exposure

$567

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-13 08:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

98% 40% $-1,065

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No		-499	$-461	98¢	$-492	$-31	05-13 08:54
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes		-281	$-77	27¢	$-75	+$2	05-13 01:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,644	400	+1,244	No	$-768	05-09 03:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$1000	1,087	0	+1,087	No	+$87	05-10 02:22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$461	0	499	-499	open	—	05-13 08:54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$152	0	476	-476	Yes	$-324	05-10 02:20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$149	0	292	-292	open	—	05-12 23:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$106	0	272	-272	Yes	$-166	05-06 09:46
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$106	0	441	-441	No	+$106	05-06 09:46
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$77	0	281	-281	open	—	05-13 01:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	499	92¢	$461	0x90458f…
05-13 01:03:16	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	281	27¢	$77	0x8531f0…
05-12 23:52:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	292	51¢	$149	0x35291a…
05-10 02:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x5b3004…
05-10 02:20:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	476	32¢	$152	0xeaf359…
05-09 03:54:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	58¢	$232	0x9f1253…
05-09 03:40:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,644	61¢	$1,000	0x2078b6…
05-06 09:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	39¢	$106	0x851ac8…
05-06 09:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	441	24¢	$106	0x2e00f5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92	8	$1.93K	29	05-13 02:22
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	7	$16.8K	370	05-13 09:15
Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b	7	$1.27K	74	05-13 09:58
Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5	7	$577	19	05-13 00:12
Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57	7	$557	19	05-13 04:17
Far-Acid 0xf6e6…e0bb	6	$3.44K	17	05-13 08:31
Ondra 0x849c…4009	6	$1.48K	43	05-13 08:51
(anonymous) 0xbea8…36ef	6	$1.32K	11	05-13 08:40