Specific-Surgery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$454

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-05 20:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

57% — —

Other

43% 74% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		-11	$-10	96¢	$-11	$-0	06-05 20:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$29	45	24	+21	open	—	05-20 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 22:00
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5	4	$16	14	14	+0	Under	+$1	05-11 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$15	16	5	+11	open	—	05-20 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-20 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 23:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$10	0	11	-11	open	—	06-05 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 21:33
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	6	$6	10	6	+5	Under	+$1	05-11 20:43
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	6	$6	11	6	+5	Over	$-4	05-11 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-20 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-20 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-20 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-20 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	05-20 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-20 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-20 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-20 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-20 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-20 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 20:45:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x6f61a9…
05-23 19:49:12	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdb1bca…
05-20 23:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x849ecb…
05-20 23:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3f0ca8…
05-20 23:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x3e5aba…
05-20 23:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6cc0e9…
05-20 23:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xbf79a6…
05-20 23:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbec00a…
05-20 23:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xb46364…
05-20 23:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x061f4c…
05-20 23:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x4c409a…
05-20 23:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe0e81c…
05-20 23:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd12d0a…
05-20 23:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4e7fb2…
05-20 23:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x0bc9f0…
05-20 23:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6723fe…
05-20 22:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x112ee7…
05-20 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x2a14e0…
05-20 22:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc0aa62…
05-20 22:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd93572…
05-20 22:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8f941c…
05-20 22:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x81732c…
05-20 22:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x5bf6fb…
05-20 22:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x746bfa…
05-20 22:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x8bd959…
05-20 22:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xce5758…
05-20 22:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	63¢	$8	0xa8f127…
05-20 22:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa135c5…
05-20 22:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf6ae5c…
05-20 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc9097f…
05-20 22:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaae13b…
05-20 22:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x91352b…
05-20 22:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86b575…
05-20 22:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xaaf151…
05-20 22:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x486e34…
05-20 22:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6dadeb…
05-20 22:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x181f9f…
05-20 21:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3fc684…
05-20 21:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x29a487…
05-20 21:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcdb052…
05-20 21:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc7c874…
05-20 21:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f33d0…
05-20 21:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc10964…
05-20 21:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7ac20a…
05-20 21:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x44eb7c…
05-20 21:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x077d22…
05-20 21:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3776f8…
05-20 21:17:58	Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x563d85…
05-20 21:17:39	San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd92d05…
05-20 21:17:07	Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x984ceb…
05-20 21:16:46	Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa66337…
05-20 21:15:59	Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3ea1d9…
05-20 21:15:29	Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3b15f2…
05-20 21:15:00	Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x88a444…
05-20 21:14:37	FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x29103b…
05-20 21:14:00	D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x64d5f3…
05-20 21:13:51	Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9071df…
05-20 21:13:29	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7312c7…
05-20 21:11:00	Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd0eeee…
05-20 21:10:25	Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x42602e…
05-20 21:10:09	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf68b9f…
05-20 21:09:53	Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3c10d2…
05-20 21:08:50	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x87552b…
05-20 21:08:40	RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x48c333…
05-20 21:07:25	Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x70c523…
05-20 21:06:11	Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5b579f…
05-20 21:05:10	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8c804a…
05-20 21:04:59	Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x994a7f…
05-20 21:03:20	St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x07bc0a…
05-20 21:01:14	SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7b2a71…
05-20 21:00:46	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe511f8…
05-20 20:59:57	Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x25ee8e…
05-20 20:58:43	Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5ded12…
05-20 20:56:53	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x540807…
05-20 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x83f1e9…
05-20 19:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb4af1…
05-20 05:52:48	Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb44361…
05-18 22:27:02	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x25b830…
05-18 22:26:44	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcaae45…
05-18 22:26:18	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4d6caa…
05-17 21:27:24	CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xec2206…
05-17 21:27:06	Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x37f9ed…
05-17 21:24:22	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x22bacd…
05-17 21:23:24	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x39cb83…
05-17 21:22:19	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb89853…
05-17 21:19:19	Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4a7bc0…
05-17 21:12:54	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x87ecfe…
05-17 21:05:00	Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x435f46…
05-17 21:04:39	OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaadba2…
05-17 21:04:25	Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfcd138…
05-17 21:04:04	Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x24c8e7…
05-17 21:03:39	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf25424…
05-17 21:03:24	Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3bddf4…
05-17 21:03:11	Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x02797b…
05-17 21:03:01	CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x22ec9a…
05-17 21:02:45	Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x81ea11…
05-17 21:02:26	Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc6d964…
05-17 21:01:40	FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa5ebec…
05-17 21:00:30	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3d748e…
05-17 20:59:55	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x414191…