Extroverted-Institution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$910

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.9%

Resolved

765

Trades

1,561

lifetime

Volume

$4.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 08-13 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 26% -$761

Other

9% 47% -$134

Politics

1% 25% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$136	12,916	0	+12,916	No	-$136	03-30 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 00:35 UTC	6	$53	84	0	+84	Down	+$21	03-19 00:38
highest temperature in miami on april 7 2026 75forbelow	8	$51	288	120	+168	No	-$27	04-06 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 00:20 UTC	6	$43	59	0	+59	Down	+$3	03-19 00:24
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?	1	$41	0	81	-81	open	—	05-25 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 03:50 UTC	2	$38	251	0	+251	Down	-$38	03-19 03:54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$35	167	167	+0	No	+$31	05-25 05:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:20 UTC	3	$34	407	0	+407	Down	-$25	03-16 21:22
will bitcoin hit 73000 or 74000 first on march 16	2	$29	29,000	0	+29,000	74,000	-$29	03-16 18:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:40 UTC	3	$29	200	0	+200	Down	-$29	03-17 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:25 UTC	4	$29	52	34	+18	Down	+$16	06-04 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$26	20	20	+0	Down	+$13	05-01 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$26	25	25	+0	Up	+$18	04-29 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 03:35 UTC	4	$25	181	0	+181	Up	-$25	03-22 03:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	5	$24	2,292	1,567	+725	No	+$4	05-25 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:05 UTC	5	$23	68	0	+68	Down	-$23	03-23 06:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 04:55 UTC	6	$22	48	0	+48	Up	+$7	03-23 04:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 19:40 UTC	2	$22	98	0	+98	Down	-$22	03-18 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 23:15 UTC	2	$22	1,004	0	+1,004	Down	-$22	03-19 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 03:20 UTC	3	$22	87	0	+87	Down	-$22	03-19 03:23
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$22	38	0	+38	No	+$16	03-16 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:20 UTC	6	$22	39	35	+4	Up	+$10	07-07 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 03:10 UTC	5	$21	122	0	+122	Down	-$5	03-23 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:00 UTC	4	$21	342	0	+342	Down	-$21	03-17 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:15 UTC	5	$21	66	0	+66	Down	-$18	03-22 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 03:05 UTC	6	$21	90	0	+90	Down	-$21	03-23 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$21	23	21	+2	Down	+$17	05-25 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:25 UTC	5	$20	43	0	+43	Down	-$6	03-23 05:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-16 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	7	$19	41	20	+21	Up	+$6	05-02 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 04:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8135a4…
08-13 03:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x693810…
08-13 03:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x85f286…
08-13 03:55:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x863675…
08-13 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x71eb44…
08-13 03:51:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x549e17…
08-13 03:50:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x96414a…
08-13 03:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5bde59…
08-13 03:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4d659c…
08-13 03:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9a99dd…
08-13 03:46:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8dc854…
08-13 03:42:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc9789c…
08-13 03:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4c3c5e…
08-12 20:32:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xffb44e…
08-12 20:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaaab77…
08-12 20:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x24adff…
08-12 20:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x220f41…
08-12 20:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5f6d40…
08-12 20:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x60a752…
08-12 19:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x61fbaa…
08-12 19:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x596d0d…
08-12 19:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x892c38…
08-12 19:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf37f12…
08-12 19:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x27f613…
08-12 19:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xefe6b2…
08-12 19:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x58673e…
08-12 05:56:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa8f0ff…
08-12 05:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3c6f04…
08-12 05:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2da4a3…
08-12 05:49:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x963072…
08-12 05:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1196ea…
08-12 05:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x86924c…
08-12 05:35:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x488945…
08-12 05:32:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc09101…
08-12 05:32:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3ab801…
08-12 05:24:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3195de…
08-12 05:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc7b880…
07-20 03:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x92054d…
07-20 02:51:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1f337c…
07-07 06:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe211db…
07-07 06:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2babaa…
07-07 06:11:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x675b2b…
07-07 06:06:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x239205…
07-07 06:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xfd6d2a…
07-07 05:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbd9179…
07-07 05:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6172e3…
07-07 04:27:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x23c3b4…
07-07 04:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x918eec…
07-07 04:24:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe1ff80…
07-07 04:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:20 UTC	Down	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x3aa4a1…
07-07 04:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x1f80c6…
07-07 04:21:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:20 UTC	Down	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x9d483b…
07-07 04:20:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1f018b…
07-07 04:20:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xdaba7d…
07-07 04:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xdf5cd6…
07-07 04:18:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x57895a…
07-07 04:17:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x313bef…
07-07 04:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdeca06…
07-07 04:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8c28b8…
07-07 04:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xaaab91…
07-07 04:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb6acd3…
07-07 04:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xada158…
07-07 04:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x802094…
07-07 04:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x126686…
06-23 01:28:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6e050a…
06-23 01:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc18bea…
06-23 01:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe55af8…
06-23 01:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x5c3252…
06-23 01:22:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x013422…
06-23 01:22:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfb5a47…
06-06 00:33:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x655d2f…
06-05 02:31:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8232b8…
06-05 02:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xba2f69…
06-05 02:29:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xc41221…
06-05 02:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x413f24…
06-04 23:10:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0e8a41…
06-04 22:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfc7c46…
06-04 21:59:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0a48db…
06-04 21:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x264c50…
06-04 21:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0x093e06…
06-04 21:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x399b0e…
06-04 21:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x758363…
06-04 21:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2e3a09…
06-04 21:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4e1209…
06-04 21:28:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc11cf7…
06-04 21:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0x7a7b4a…
06-04 21:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x751b51…
06-04 21:26:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb341d1…
06-04 21:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcf5cae…
06-04 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x33655e…
05-29 21:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x344b1e…
05-29 21:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x15739a…
05-29 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc80d46…
05-29 20:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x7f02d1…
05-29 18:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x107b92…
05-29 18:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9ecefc…
05-29 18:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x67ade7…
05-29 18:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfada57…
05-29 18:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x003b0f…
05-29 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xb24542…