Extroverted-Institution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,497

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-20 03:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 14% $-38

Other

6% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$136	12,916	0	+12,916	open	—	03-30 03:54
btc updown 5m 1773880500	6	$53	84	0	+84	open	—	03-19 00:38
highest temperature in miami on april 7 2026 75forbelow	8	$51	288	120	+168	open	—	04-06 20:00
btc updown 5m 1773879600	6	$43	59	0	+59	open	—	03-19 00:24
btc updown 5m 1773892200	2	$38	251	0	+251	open	—	03-19 03:54
btc updown 5m 1773696000	3	$34	407	0	+407	open	—	03-16 21:22
will bitcoin hit 73000 or 74000 first on march 16	2	$29	29,000	0	+29,000	open	—	03-16 18:33
btc updown 5m 1773776400	3	$29	200	0	+200	open	—	03-17 19:42
btc updown 5m 1780608300	4	$29	52	34	+18	open	—	06-04 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$26	25	25	+0	open	—	04-29 15:35
btc updown 5m 1774150500	4	$25	181	0	+181	open	—	03-22 03:39
btc updown 5m 1774245900	5	$23	68	0	+68	open	—	03-23 06:08
btc updown 5m 1774241700	6	$22	48	0	+48	open	—	03-23 04:57
btc updown 5m 1773862800	2	$22	98	0	+98	open	—	03-18 19:42
btc updown 15m 1773962100	2	$22	1,004	0	+1,004	open	—	03-19 23:22
btc updown 5m 1773890400	3	$22	87	0	+87	open	—	03-19 03:23
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$22	38	0	+38	open	—	03-16 01:33
btc updown 5m 1783398000	6	$22	39	35	+4	open	—	07-07 04:24
btc updown 5m 1774235400	5	$21	122	0	+122	open	—	03-23 03:13
btc updown 5m 1773705600	4	$21	342	0	+342	open	—	03-17 00:02
btc updown 5m 1774221300	5	$21	66	0	+66	open	—	03-22 23:17
btc updown 5m 1774235100	6	$21	90	0	+90	open	—	03-23 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$21	23	21	+2	open	—	05-25 21:44
btc updown 5m 1774243500	5	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	03-23 05:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-16 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	7	$19	41	20	+21	open	—	05-02 05:49
btc updown 5m 1773705000	4	$19	131	0	+131	open	—	03-16 23:53
btc updown 5m 1774236300	6	$19	53	0	+53	open	—	03-23 03:28
btc updown 5m 1773988200	5	$19	112	0	+112	open	—	03-20 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 03:03:52	btc updown 5m 1784516400	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x92054d…
07-20 02:51:57	btc updown 5m 1784515800	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1f337c…
07-07 06:23:14	btc updown 5m 1783405200	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe211db…
07-07 06:15:46	btc updown 5m 1783404900	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2babaa…
07-07 06:11:56	btc updown 5m 1783404600	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x675b2b…
07-07 06:06:16	btc updown 5m 1783404300	Up	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x239205…
07-07 06:05:35	btc updown 5m 1783404300	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xfd6d2a…
07-07 05:43:05	btc updown 5m 1783402800	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbd9179…
07-07 05:42:17	btc updown 5m 1783402800	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6172e3…
07-07 04:27:53	btc updown 5m 1783398300	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x23c3b4…
07-07 04:27:16	btc updown 5m 1783398300	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x918eec…
07-07 04:24:32	btc updown 5m 1783398000	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe1ff80…
07-07 04:23:58	btc updown 5m 1783398000	Down	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x3aa4a1…
07-07 04:22:01	btc updown 5m 1783398000	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x1f80c6…
07-07 04:21:44	btc updown 5m 1783398000	Down	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x9d483b…
07-07 04:20:46	btc updown 5m 1783398000	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1f018b…
07-07 04:20:35	btc updown 5m 1783398000	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xdaba7d…
07-07 04:19:05	btc updown 5m 1783397700	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xdf5cd6…
07-07 04:18:37	btc updown 5m 1783397700	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x57895a…
07-07 04:17:44	btc updown 5m 1783397700	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x313bef…
07-07 04:16:41	btc updown 5m 1783397700	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdeca06…
07-07 04:14:16	btc updown 5m 1783397400	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8c28b8…
07-07 04:13:50	btc updown 5m 1783397400	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xaaab91…
07-07 04:10:47	btc updown 5m 1783397400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb6acd3…
07-07 04:07:14	btc updown 5m 1783397100	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xada158…
07-07 04:06:29	btc updown 5m 1783397100	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x802094…
07-07 04:04:53	btc updown 5m 1783396800	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x126686…
06-23 01:28:20	btc updown 5m 1782177900	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6e050a…
06-23 01:26:37	btc updown 5m 1782177900	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc18bea…
06-23 01:25:49	btc updown 5m 1782177900	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe55af8…
06-23 01:24:22	btc updown 5m 1782177600	Down	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x5c3252…
06-23 01:22:17	btc updown 5m 1782177600	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x013422…
06-23 01:22:05	btc updown 5m 1782177600	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfb5a47…
06-06 00:33:34	btc updown 5m 1780705800	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x655d2f…
06-05 02:31:46	btc updown 5m 1780626600	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8232b8…
06-05 02:30:28	btc updown 5m 1780626600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xba2f69…
06-05 02:29:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xc41221…
06-05 02:28:31	btc updown 5m 1780626300	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x413f24…
06-04 23:10:37	btc updown 5m 1780614600	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0e8a41…
06-04 21:59:18	btc updown 5m 1780610100	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0a48db…
06-04 21:57:34	btc updown 5m 1780610100	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x264c50…
06-04 21:38:28	btc updown 5m 1780608900	Up	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0x093e06…
06-04 21:37:22	btc updown 5m 1780608900	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x399b0e…
06-04 21:36:54	btc updown 5m 1780608900	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x758363…
06-04 21:32:12	btc updown 5m 1780608600	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2e3a09…
06-04 21:31:52	btc updown 5m 1780608600	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4e1209…
06-04 21:28:48	btc updown 5m 1780608300	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc11cf7…
06-04 21:28:04	btc updown 5m 1780608300	Down	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0x7a7b4a…
06-04 21:26:57	btc updown 5m 1780608300	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x751b51…
06-04 21:26:24	btc updown 5m 1780608300	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb341d1…
06-04 21:21:34	btc updown 5m 1780608000	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcf5cae…
06-04 21:21:21	btc updown 5m 1780608000	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x33655e…
05-29 21:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x344b1e…
05-29 21:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x15739a…
05-29 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc80d46…
05-29 20:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x7f02d1…
05-29 18:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x107b92…
05-29 18:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9ecefc…
05-29 18:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfada57…
05-29 18:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x003b0f…
05-29 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xb24542…
05-29 18:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc02276…
05-29 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x234ec6…
05-29 18:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf05338…
05-28 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x89f677…
05-28 00:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6fb7c7…
05-28 00:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xcfaba3…
05-28 00:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2a2cf2…
05-28 00:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9eab53…
05-28 00:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4c3334…
05-27 23:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x82e1da…
05-27 06:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x754282…
05-27 06:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x0b6491…
05-26 06:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7f612b…
05-26 06:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x985dd6…
05-26 00:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf89687…
05-26 00:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1ee7a6…
05-26 00:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe98d5e…
05-26 00:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfcc4db…
05-26 00:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6b8fea…
05-26 00:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x8a9fca…
05-26 00:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8c719b…
05-26 00:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5b98f5…
05-26 00:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc8c2cb…
05-26 00:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc59cb0…
05-25 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x274a62…
05-25 22:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x1d5436…
05-25 21:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2f82dd…
05-25 21:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xac5f8c…
05-25 21:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x10452c…
05-25 21:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x71b7a5…
05-25 21:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xb8b136…
05-25 21:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc2dd38…
05-25 21:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x355f23…
05-25 21:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xc2e0e0…
05-25 21:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6eadb5…
05-25 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0xa49956…
05-25 21:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe2e6b8…
05-25 21:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x999c4b…
05-25 21:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbdbf92…