Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$288

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

605

Trades

4,658

lifetime

Volume

$1.25M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

$86

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-07

last 09-06 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

61% 90% -$7,928

Politics

37% 82% +$5,079

Sports

2% 100% +$1,565

Tech

0% 86% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 638 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	Yes	+200	$193	40¢	$80	-$113	08-06 15:51
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	+205	$189	3¢	$6	-$182	08-06 10:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+0	-$4	97¢	$0	+$4	08-06 02:13
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+0	-$3	67¢	$0	+$3	09-01 21:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	88	$40.9K	25,431	25,431	+0	Yes	+$1,309	06-17 08:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	26	$31.3K	16,468	16,468	+0	Yes	+$268	07-26 22:30
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	885	$30.1K	15,772	15,772	+0	No	+$110	08-11 01:03
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	91	$29.6K	15,533	14,533	+1,000	No	+$127	06-18 21:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	27	$23.7K	15,634	15,634	+0	open	—	08-08 20:02
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	15	$21.9K	11,147	11,147	+0	Yes	+$311	08-02 05:12
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 5pt5	20	$20.0K	10,197	10,197	+0	Under	+$402	07-04 22:52
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	30	$17.1K	10,799	7,222	+3,577	No	+$77	08-13 23:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	75	$17.0K	11,394	9,113	+2,281	Yes	-$1,046	06-21 04:44
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	10	$16.3K	9,499	9,499	+0	No	+$337	08-21 16:40
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	16	$14.5K	7,427	7,427	+0	No	+$370	07-31 05:11
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	27	$14.4K	14,854	0	+14,854	Under	+$453	07-01 21:59
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 6pt5	10	$14.1K	7,300	7,113	+187	Under	+$257	06-25 21:40
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	18	$12.9K	7,551	7,551	+0	Yes	+$254	08-11 15:24
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	7	$12.9K	6,619	6,619	+0	Yes	+$310	07-28 01:13
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	15	$12.7K	7,216	7,216	+0	No	+$330	08-24 12:56
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	18	$11.8K	6,300	6,300	+0	Under	+$753	07-05 21:40
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	57	$11.1K	5,938	5,938	+0	No	+$68	06-10 17:41
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 5pt5	9	$10.5K	5,555	5,489	+66	Under	+$112	07-07 18:04
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	8	$10.2K	5,650	5,650	-0	Yes	+$1,095	06-17 23:33
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	27	$10.0K	10,266	0	+10,266	Argentina	+$286	07-03 22:43
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 4pt5	5	$9.9K	5,444	4,964	+480	Under	+$253	07-04 22:10
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	33	$9.8K	5,110	5,110	+0	Yes	+$85	07-20 01:34
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	6	$9.8K	10,886	0	+10,886	Over	-$9,810	07-07 16:17
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 4pt5	11	$9.7K	11,319	0	+11,319	Over	-$9,669	07-07 00:27
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	15	$9.5K	9,600	0	+9,600	No	+$141	06-24 22:32
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 5pt5	50	$9.3K	4,779	4,778	+1	Under	+$276	07-05 21:25
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	4	$9.2K	5,152	5,152	+0	No	+$52	08-30 20:02
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	8	$8.9K	5,177	5,177	+0	Over	+$494	07-05 21:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	17	$8.9K	5,649	5,049	+600	No	+$334	06-21 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 17:43:49	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	64¢	$56	0x9092e5…
09-02 12:35:03	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	No	SELL	414	86¢	$356	0x4ca165…
09-01 22:17:40	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	No	SELL	19	86¢	$17	0xf652a6…
09-01 21:05:24	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	133	71¢	$95	0x935575…
09-01 19:46:01	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x088cc2…
09-01 17:51:51	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xd1a596…
08-31 23:04:09	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$93	0x620c39…
08-31 22:30:39	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x2fcede…
08-31 20:50:43	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$41	0x68aab5…
08-31 20:23:42	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc1dd88…
08-31 16:49:01	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6ecaee…
08-31 16:40:18	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x4759b8…
08-31 16:03:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	300	84¢	$252	0x012628…
08-31 15:52:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xbb117c…
08-31 15:49:04	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x9da48a…
08-31 15:20:48	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xbc6fdf…
08-31 15:20:48	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xa16d99…
08-31 15:11:52	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x34546c…
08-31 15:00:48	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x4ea144…
08-31 15:00:46	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x3815fa…
08-31 15:00:34	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xe85e19…
08-31 12:07:25	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1f102e…
08-31 12:00:22	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xa71dd1…
08-31 11:57:21	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x8d1760…
08-31 01:22:45	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0x62b8a8…
08-31 01:18:58	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	181	91¢	$165	0x2b69c7…
08-30 23:47:06	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xacafa7…
08-30 23:47:03	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xcfe650…
08-30 23:47:03	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x009dbb…
08-30 23:41:37	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	387	97¢	$376	0x32e19a…
08-30 23:40:57	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x652055…
08-30 23:40:24	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	828	73¢	$604	0x39d53c…
08-30 23:31:57	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x47144f…
08-30 23:31:25	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,078	66¢	$708	0x75bcb8…
08-30 23:23:37	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 9 2026	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x727b59…
08-30 23:22:55	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x57f568…
08-30 23:21:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x3e8559…
08-30 23:20:01	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	91¢	$200	0x871c30…
08-30 23:19:34	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	SELL	205	91¢	$187	0xd72442…
08-30 23:18:40	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf29cf6…
08-30 23:18:30	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0x3a66a2…
08-30 22:52:09	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	SELL	844	96¢	$809	0xdc1570…
08-30 22:35:36	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	SELL	582	96¢	$557	0xdeafb3…
08-30 22:18:27	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	199	92¢	$183	0x715e9a…
08-30 22:08:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	3,103	95¢	$2,952	0xcc8f06…
08-30 20:02:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	No	SELL	1,912	92¢	$1,759	0x54d28d…
08-30 19:07:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	No	BUY	1,912	91¢	$1,740	0x423233…
08-30 06:43:33	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 9 2026	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x571091…
08-30 03:46:18	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$284	0x4fd01c…
08-30 02:10:10	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	SELL	803	73¢	$587	0x937715…
08-30 02:06:24	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	290	62¢	$180	0x93057f…
08-30 02:02:19	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	189	92¢	$173	0xcdecf2…
08-30 02:01:52	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	244	85¢	$208	0x3fdba6…
08-30 01:42:13	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	Yes	BUY	201	96¢	$193	0x328e36…
08-30 01:33:52	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 80–85%?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x08c704…
08-29 19:40:45	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x55ae17…
08-29 18:38:19	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	578	74¢	$428	0x5899d4…
08-29 18:35:01	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,078	91¢	$979	0x4c47f9…
08-29 12:19:57	us imposes new sanctions on china by september 30	No	BUY	533	86¢	$458	0x9365f3…
08-29 00:27:37	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	220	64¢	$140	0xaeb3fa…
08-28 23:54:52	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xa8ed81…
08-28 08:49:43	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	No	SELL	427	98¢	$420	0x23a200…
08-26 02:51:19	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x88f604…
08-24 23:00:18	US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?	Yes	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x0d3fc0…
08-24 17:40:57	US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0de09c…
08-24 17:38:42	US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xbe73e7…
08-24 17:23:24	US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?	No	SELL	81	23¢	$19	0x64cc69…
08-24 17:22:46	US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?	No	BUY	81	22¢	$17	0xac91d6…
08-24 12:56:01	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	2,136	91¢	$1,943	0xcd2147…
08-24 00:53:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	SELL	498	75¢	$374	0x070cae…
08-24 00:28:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	SELL	45	75¢	$34	0xc235dd…
08-23 23:29:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x859d5a…
08-23 23:29:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0xc27a7f…
08-23 22:58:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	SELL	42	75¢	$32	0xdb6250…
08-23 21:43:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x0e373d…
08-23 20:36:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x26e871…
08-23 20:32:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xddcfcf…
08-23 20:30:33	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	SELL	277	94¢	$261	0xe39783…
08-23 20:29:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	SELL	662	75¢	$497	0xa964e4…
08-23 13:15:10	Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?	No	BUY	75	29¢	$22	0x36e0de…
08-23 13:12:31	Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?	No	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x5c7603…
08-23 12:45:43	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	84¢	$69	0xd0c07a…
08-23 12:11:36	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x496190…
08-23 11:38:49	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xdf884f…
08-23 11:37:54	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x743d23…
08-23 10:40:06	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x940016…
08-23 05:50:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x8fa6f3…
08-23 03:30:30	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	20	84¢	$16	0x4a53cd…
08-23 03:30:21	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	20	84¢	$16	0x3e8e9c…
08-23 03:24:49	will iran target bahrain by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xab499a…
08-23 02:48:36	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb4edfc…
08-22 18:04:30	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 31	Yes	BUY	19	87¢	$16	0x92a9b6…
08-22 18:00:51	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 31	Yes	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x194b59…
08-22 12:59:16	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	64	82¢	$52	0xcbf120…
08-22 12:59:15	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xf52f0c…
08-22 12:54:30	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	BUY	828	72¢	$595	0x676798…
08-22 01:42:01	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 31	Yes	BUY	2,000	85¢	$1,700	0xc16638…
08-22 01:12:18	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 31	Yes	BUY	86	85¢	$73	0xe33b9b…
08-21 23:25:46	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	205	88¢	$180	0x4fd7c2…
08-21 16:49:13	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	3,000	64¢	$1,920	0x4f6b51…