Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
41.5%
Resolved
25
Trades
30
lifetime
Volume
$60
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$7
4 positions
First seen
2026-10-27
last 11-14 13:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
92% 23% -$4
Politics
8% 67% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? Yes +8 $2 24¢ $2 $0 11-12 03:28
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? Yes +25 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 10-27 21:32
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +8 $1 20¢ $2 +$1 11-12 21:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $2 +$1 10-27 21:27