Austere-Amazon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-16 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$5

Other

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 8	1	$152	153	+153	No	+$0	04-08 07:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?	1	$152	152	+152	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:30
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$149	149	+149	No	+$0	03-15 12:33
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 31	1	$149	149	+149	No	+$0	03-29 19:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$148	148	+148	No	+$0	03-18 11:46
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$148	148	+148	No	+$0	04-05 04:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	1	$147	148	+148	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:27
bitcoin above 78k on february 16	1	$147	148	+148	No	+$0	02-15 02:29
ethereum above 2600 on february 14	1	$147	147	+147	No	+$0	02-13 00:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 12	1	$147	147	+147	No	+$0	04-11 12:57
bitcoin above 80k on january 17	1	$147	147	+147	Yes	+$0	01-15 02:25
bitcoin above 82k on january 13	1	$146	147	+147	Yes	+$0	01-11 17:49
bitcoin above 76k on february 24	1	$146	147	+147	No	+$1	02-22 10:48
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 98000 on february 1	1	$146	146	+146	No	+$0	01-30 20:42
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 4	1	$146	146	+146	No	+$0	01-02 20:24
ethereum above 2300 on march 1	1	$146	146	+146	No	+$0	02-28 12:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 26	1	$146	146	+146	No	+$0	03-25 19:30
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	1	$145	146	+146	No	+$0	02-11 00:02
bitcoin above 82k on january 9	1	$145	145	+145	Yes	+$0	01-08 13:02
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$144	145	+145	Yes	+$0	03-02 06:57
bitcoin above 78k on march 29	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	03-27 20:26
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 27	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	02-25 02:27
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	1	$143	144	+144	No	+$0	03-20 11:29
bitcoin above 78k on february 21	1	$143	143	+143	No	+$0	02-19 10:19
bitcoin above 98k on january 28	1	$143	143	+143	No	+$0	01-26 23:03
bitcoin above 78k on february 10	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	02-10 00:14
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	1	$142	143	+143	No	+$0	01-18 03:46
bitcoin above 86k on february 8	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	02-07 03:07
bitcoin above 90k on february 6	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	02-05 01:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on february 3	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	02-02 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 07:51:34	ethereum above 2000 on august 16 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4f4ce3…
08-13 08:24:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4712ba…
07-28 14:51:31	bitcoin above 68k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0863b8…
07-15 19:38:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x64a3da…
06-26 00:26:52	ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x6f4d84…
06-21 17:23:22	ethereum above 2100 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x654547…
06-16 13:41:07	bitcoin above 56k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xcdf1e3…
06-13 09:06:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 14?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xac0552…
06-09 11:38:33	bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x2425dc…
06-03 04:34:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x770a5b…
05-15 08:45:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x07358f…
05-14 01:59:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 15?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xb5feab…
05-12 00:01:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xe290d1…
05-06 18:08:29	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xafbc4e…
05-06 18:06:16	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x38cf6c…
05-06 15:27:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0x65eab1…
05-03 13:30:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xff56b3…
04-26 18:47:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x9200b5…
04-21 13:55:34	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on april 22	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x8ff5c8…
04-19 12:55:22	bitcoin above 82k on april 20	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x368025…
04-16 01:08:06	Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x56a86d…
04-16 01:06:44	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xae6f41…
04-16 01:05:14	Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xba3061…
04-16 01:03:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x28a978…
04-16 01:02:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x37e1c6…
04-11 12:57:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 12	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x7cf79d…
04-09 04:39:29	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x255562…
04-08 07:14:23	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 8	No	BUY	153	100¢	$152	0xd9f285…
04-05 04:44:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xaa0bad…
03-29 19:57:34	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 31	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x337096…
03-27 20:26:17	bitcoin above 78k on march 29	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x5beacd…
03-25 19:30:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 26	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x53fa95…
03-23 15:11:03	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x62cc98…
03-20 11:29:09	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x807fcd…
03-19 17:35:25	aapl above 310 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x829586…
03-18 11:46:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x0f188d…
03-15 12:33:55	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x1dc197…
03-02 06:57:45	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0xecf846…
02-28 12:03:53	ethereum above 2300 on march 1	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x86cef4…
02-25 02:27:24	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 27	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xbbda1f…
02-22 10:48:40	bitcoin above 76k on february 24	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0xeacd5a…
02-19 10:19:30	bitcoin above 78k on february 21	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x582925…
02-15 02:29:13	bitcoin above 78k on february 16	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0x3dfbed…
02-13 00:15:47	ethereum above 2600 on february 14	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x892043…
02-11 00:02:57	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 12	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0x6a0769…
02-10 00:14:25	bitcoin above 78k on february 10	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x652180…
02-07 03:07:47	bitcoin above 86k on february 8	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x285b66…
02-05 01:35:39	bitcoin above 90k on february 6	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x31eb0a…
02-02 09:14:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on february 3	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x35724a…
01-30 20:42:06	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 98000 on february 1	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x70aac1…
01-26 23:03:25	bitcoin above 98k on january 28	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x643d3a…
01-24 12:35:18	bitcoin above 100k on january 26	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x36258f…
01-21 07:26:56	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3700 on january 23	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x0e26d5…
01-18 03:46:58	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0x85612c…
01-15 07:41:00	will solana dip to 100 in january 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa1ab3d…
01-15 02:25:00	bitcoin above 80k on january 17	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x1395e1…
01-11 17:49:18	bitcoin above 82k on january 13	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0xffa03a…
01-08 13:02:41	bitcoin above 82k on january 9	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x8c3792…
01-05 18:43:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 7	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xf0b354…
01-02 20:24:01	will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 4	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xa0517d…