Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 15?
open
Total volume
$20,515
$4,916 in 24h
Trades
251
Unique wallets
120
Liquidity
$20,220
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-15 12:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $4.3K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $17.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $3 | $7.9K | $7.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $2 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 29 | $12 | $3.8K | $3.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 72 | $139 | $4.2K | $4.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1 | $4.3K | $4.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $2 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $1 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| Median | 49 | $2 | $4.4K | $4.4K |
| Below median | 16 | $6 | $259 | $253 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | $7 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $140 | — | +$140 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 23 | — | $3.5K | $3.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | +4,529 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 05-15 00:12 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +4,405 | $4,272 | $4,272 | 4 | 05-09 15:13 |
| Able-Toaster 0x9b20…b887 | Yes | +4,211 | $126 | $126 | 4 | 05-09 15:12 |
| Scientific-Relay 0x2a93…ac86 | No | +2,184 | $2,182 | $2,182 | 1 | 05-14 15:20 |
| Big-Hearted-Cousin 0xe6b1…9fdd | No | +1,080 | $1,079 | $1,079 | 1 | 05-15 00:12 |
| Unaware-Match 0xfe8f…3186 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 06:34 |
| Admired-Lute 0x05f1…538a | No | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 05-14 12:54 |
| Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 7 | 05-14 01:30 |
| Discrete-Locomotive 0x241a…1c12 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | +949 | $1 | $1 | 9 | 05-14 06:01 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | +717 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Forceful-Encounter 0x8aa6…6316 | Yes | +708 | $1 | $1 | 7 | 05-14 03:55 |
| Purple-Kazoo 0xe66f…c394 | No | +553 | $552 | $552 | 1 | 05-14 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ee9…b2ad | Yes | +460 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:43 |
| Blank-Sequel 0xeba0…1238 | No | +293 | $293 | $293 | 1 | 05-14 02:47 |
| Surprised-Proposition 0xdd71…f69d | No | +292 | $292 | $292 | 3 | 05-15 12:36 |
| Bold-Shoemaker 0x6481…b66c | No | +257 | $257 | $257 | 1 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Harsh-Diaphragm 0xa3ca…71a8 | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 05-14 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd35e…c2ab | No | +192 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 05-14 02:23 |
| Vapid-Soot 0x140b…2526 | No | +189 | $189 | $189 | 1 | 05-14 01:35 |
| Unhealthy-Chino 0x0884…af4d | No | +188 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 05-14 01:09 |
| Low-Boxer 0x103e…75d1 | No | +180 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 05-14 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x01c0…43d4 | No | +179 | $179 | $179 | 1 | 05-14 01:13 |
| Menacing-Inclusion 0x2d02…1cf8 | No | +177 | $177 | $177 | 1 | 05-14 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2ad…d871 | No | +176 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 05-14 03:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc921…d959 | No | +174 | $173 | $173 | 1 | 05-14 03:17 |
| Menacing-Chief 0x4bf7…9908 | No | +170 | $169 | $169 | 1 | 05-14 01:44 |
| Fabulous-Rotation 0xd3f7…d2a2 | No | +168 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 05-14 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x83d2…573f | No | +160 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 05-14 01:25 |
| Impish-Space 0xb926…f1ac | No | +155 | $154 | $154 | 1 | 05-14 00:27 |
| Pitiful-Porcupine 0x50b6…836b | No | +151 | $151 | $151 | 1 | 05-14 03:27 |
| Daring-Vibrissae 0xc214…7a58 | No | +145 | $145 | $145 | 1 | 05-14 03:44 |
| Ignorant-Amazon 0xb54e…4317 | No | +141 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 05-14 02:43 |
| Austere-Amazon 0x5616…c009 | No | +141 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 05-14 01:59 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +130 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 17:09 |
| Determined-Bridge 0xcf43…6908 | No | +116 | $116 | $116 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb60…c08f | No | +115 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-14 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xbaef…f1ca | No | +114 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 05-14 01:49 |
| Vital-Acorn 0x93d6…5cad | No | +113 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 05-13 23:51 |
| Heartfelt-Check 0x7e68…b4e8 | No | +106 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 05-14 02:40 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-14 15:20 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 15:20 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 05-14 18:44 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 23:51 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 05-14 17:09 |
| Muted-Boatyard 0x419f…e853 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $5 | 2 | 05-10 01:26 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 00:00 |
| Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | Yes | +37 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-11 07:42 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +35 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 17:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xc194…c49c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 15:20 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-14 16:14 |
| Animated-Aftershock 0x7f42…61e9 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-14 16:58 |
| Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-11 09:03 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 09:48 |
| Loving-Pusher 0xb457…9944 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 00:27 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 02:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 12:36:42 | Surprised-Proposition 0xdd71…f69d | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x25ea56… |
| 05-15 12:36:42 | Infinite-Bunkhouse 0x3863…8823 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x25ea56… |
| 05-15 07:08:09 | Sugary-Structure 0x3b22…06bd | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xd57cea… |
| 05-15 07:08:09 | Surprised-Proposition 0xdd71…f69d | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xd57cea… |
| 05-15 06:34:24 | Unaware-Match 0xfe8f…3186 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4e3a2d… |
| 05-15 06:34:24 | Surprised-Proposition 0xdd71…f69d | No | BUY | 265 | 100¢ | $264 | 0x4e3a2d… |
| 05-15 06:34:24 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e3a2d… |
| 05-15 06:34:24 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 546 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4e3a2d… |
| 05-15 06:34:24 | Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | Yes | SELL | 89 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e3a2d… |
| 05-15 04:59:08 | Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe06245… |
| 05-15 04:59:08 | Itchy-Manufacturer 0xdd9c…0bee | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xe06245… |
| 05-15 00:12:57 | Big-Hearted-Cousin 0xe6b1…9fdd | No | BUY | 1,080 | 100¢ | $1,079 | 0x80982a… |
| 05-15 00:12:57 | Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | BUY | 1,080 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x80982a… |
| 05-14 21:06:00 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf15964… |
| 05-14 21:06:00 | Severe-Liquor 0xd3b5…9cdf | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf15964… |
| 05-14 21:05:34 | Treasured-Exwife 0x0b69…d945 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x5816fc… |
| 05-14 21:05:34 | Severe-Liquor 0xd3b5…9cdf | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x5816fc… |
| 05-14 21:05:34 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5816fc… |
| 05-14 20:59:28 | Purple-Kazoo 0xe66f…c394 | No | BUY | 553 | 100¢ | $552 | 0x56949e… |
| 05-14 20:59:28 | Pricey-Hierarchy 0xba30…b09b | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x56949e… |
| 05-14 20:59:28 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | BUY | 549 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x56949e… |
| 05-14 20:48:02 | Pricey-Hierarchy 0xba30…b09b | No | SELL | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x9a61b3… |
| 05-14 20:48:02 | Beloved-Wilderness 0xb799…3792 | No | BUY | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x9a61b3… |
| 05-14 20:33:22 | Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x74ea3f… |
| 05-14 20:33:22 | Pricey-Hierarchy 0xba30…b09b | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x74ea3f… |
| 05-14 19:14:49 | Beloved-Pile 0x9b51…56fc | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x5adfab… |
| 05-14 19:14:49 | Pricey-Hierarchy 0xba30…b09b | No | SELL | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x5adfab… |
| 05-14 18:44:25 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x671b52… |
| 05-14 18:44:25 | Severe-Liquor 0xd3b5…9cdf | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x671b52… |
| 05-14 18:43:33 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 246 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e8cc8… |
| 05-14 18:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x3ee9…b2ad | Yes | BUY | 460 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6e8cc8… |
| 05-14 18:43:33 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6e8cc8… |
| 05-14 18:43:33 | Pricey-Hierarchy 0xba30…b09b | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0x6e8cc8… |
| 05-14 18:43:33 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6e8cc8… |
| 05-14 18:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x1876…f925 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xacf82d… |
| 05-14 18:28:19 | Klutzy-Cliff 0x5405…5f95 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xacf82d… |
| 05-14 18:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xf217…a07a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb22933… |
| 05-14 18:28:19 | Klutzy-Cliff 0x5405…5f95 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb22933… |
| 05-14 17:35:42 | Klutzy-Cliff 0x5405…5f95 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x36ed5e… |
| 05-14 17:35:42 | Infinite-Bunkhouse 0x3863…8823 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x36ed5e… |
| 05-14 17:09:40 | Itchy-Manufacturer 0xdd9c…0bee | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x222e10… |
| 05-14 17:09:40 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x222e10… |
| 05-14 17:09:40 | Klutzy-Cliff 0x5405…5f95 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x222e10… |
| 05-14 16:58:12 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b6f52… |
| 05-14 16:58:12 | Animated-Aftershock 0x7f42…61e9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b6f52… |
| 05-14 16:54:12 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 717 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x219383… |
| 05-14 16:54:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 717 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x219383… |
| 05-14 16:23:56 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9099d6… |
| 05-14 16:23:56 | Animated-Aftershock 0x7f42…61e9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9099d6… |
| 05-14 16:17:03 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e3a27… |
| 05-14 16:17:03 | Animated-Aftershock 0x7f42…61e9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e3a27… |
| 05-14 16:14:04 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x116200… |
| 05-14 16:14:04 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x116200… |
| 05-14 16:06:41 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb9362… |
| 05-14 16:06:41 | Pale-Barrel 0xfbd0…47c6 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdb9362… |
| 05-14 16:01:28 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x2b0d98… |
| 05-14 16:01:28 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b0d98… |
| 05-14 15:45:29 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8c33cf… |
| 05-14 15:45:29 | Klutzy-Cliff 0x5405…5f95 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x8c33cf… |
| 05-14 15:41:56 | Sugary-Structure 0x3b22…06bd | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2deb48… |
| 05-14 15:41:56 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2deb48… |
| 05-14 15:20:49 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfeadde… |
| 05-14 15:20:49 | Several-Crewmen 0xe2fe…699d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfeadde… |
| 05-14 15:20:36 | Gifted-Nursery 0xafc5…741f | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xf8f108… |
| 05-14 15:20:36 | Scientific-Relay 0x2a93…ac86 | No | BUY | 2,184 | 100¢ | $2,182 | 0xf8f108… |
| 05-14 15:20:36 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | BUY | 985 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf8f108… |
| 05-14 15:20:36 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 769 | 100¢ | $768 | 0xf8f108… |
| 05-14 15:20:36 | (anonymous) 0xc194…c49c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8f108… |
| 05-14 15:20:36 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8f108… |
| 05-14 15:20:36 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8f108… |
| 05-14 15:12:47 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x6dd295… |
| 05-14 15:12:47 | Stained-Meadow 0xba76…e52f | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x6dd295… |
| 05-14 15:12:30 | (anonymous) 0x0017…1cc2 | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x4a210b… |
| 05-14 15:12:30 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x4a210b… |
| 05-14 15:12:16 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x80b8ec… |
| 05-14 15:12:16 | (anonymous) 0xd952…f5c4 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x80b8ec… |
| 05-14 15:12:00 | Slippery-Criminal 0xea9c…ba44 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x879613… |
| 05-14 15:12:00 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x879613… |
| 05-14 14:35:17 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xa151c6… |
| 05-14 14:35:17 | Crazy-Antechamber 0x8608…b628 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xa151c6… |
| 05-14 12:54:43 | Admired-Lute 0x05f1…538a | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xead794… |
| 05-14 12:54:43 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xead794… |
| 05-14 12:18:14 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9d18af… |
| 05-14 12:18:14 | Slippery-Stadium 0x406b…f22b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9d18af… |
| 05-14 11:41:29 | Puzzling-Productivity 0xacfe…d62c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x64eb09… |
| 05-14 11:41:29 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x64eb09… |
| 05-14 11:28:16 | Excitable-Catsup 0xb366…73eb | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x39c433… |
| 05-14 11:28:16 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x39c433… |
| 05-14 11:11:21 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x30f449… |
| 05-14 11:11:21 | Sad-Tablet 0xe6b8…ec39 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x30f449… |
| 05-14 10:59:27 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x3cc7be… |
| 05-14 10:59:27 | Alarmed-Utensil 0x96b3…69d5 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x3cc7be… |
| 05-14 10:38:23 | Limping-Solitaire 0x59af…872e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x83461f… |
| 05-14 10:38:23 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x83461f… |
| 05-14 10:28:18 | Simplistic-Endothelium 0x92f1…46c1 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe5d875… |
| 05-14 10:28:18 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe5d875… |
| 05-14 10:15:58 | Able-Modem 0x90f4…28b7 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7744ac… |
| 05-14 10:15:58 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7744ac… |
| 05-14 08:58:10 | Useful-Metabolite 0x4044…8dd8 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xd051e2… |
| 05-14 08:58:10 | Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | No | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xd051e2… |