Menacing-Inclusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-02 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$13

Other

0% 89% -$4

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		-4	-$4	97¢	$-4	$0	09-02 17:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$189	189	+189	No	+$0	03-18 12:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 8	1	$187	187	+187	No	+$0	03-07 22:42
ethereum above 2500 on march 29	1	$186	186	+186	No	+$0	03-27 19:17
bitcoin above 76k on april 3	1	$186	186	+186	No	+$0	04-02 03:45
bitcoin above 80k on april 16	1	$184	184	+184	No	+$0	04-16 11:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 23	1	$184	184	+184	No	+$0	03-22 17:12
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 12	1	$183	183	+183	No	+$0	02-11 01:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 27	1	$183	183	+183	No	+$0	02-27 01:59
bitcoin above 84k on february 5	1	$182	183	+183	No	+$0	02-04 22:08
bitcoin above 82k on march 17	1	$182	183	+183	No	+$1	03-16 13:36
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	1	$182	182	+182	No	+$0	01-12 10:45
ethereum above 2600 on march 21	1	$182	182	+182	No	+$0	03-20 12:24
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 15	1	$181	182	+182	No	+$0	02-13 09:22
bitcoin above 76k on february 26	1	$181	181	+181	No	+$0	02-24 06:15
bitcoin above 76k on february 23	1	$180	181	+181	No	+$0	02-22 04:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	1	$180	181	+181	Yes	+$1	05-03 13:38
ethereum above 2600 on february 21	1	$180	181	+181	No	+$0	02-19 09:00
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 18	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	02-16 23:10
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$179	179	+179	Yes	+$0	03-06 21:58
bitcoin above 78k on february 10	1	$179	179	+179	No	+$0	02-10 00:00
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 4	1	$179	179	+179	No	+$0	03-03 06:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 9	1	$179	179	+179	No	+$0	02-08 02:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 7	1	$179	179	+179	No	+$0	02-06 03:28
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 8	1	$178	178	+178	No	+$0	04-08 06:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 16	1	$178	178	+178	No	+$0	02-16 02:12
bitcoin above 58k on march 10	1	$178	178	+178	Yes	+$1	03-09 11:07
bitcoin above 82k on january 9	1	$178	178	+178	Yes	+$0	01-07 17:47
bitcoin above 82k on january 2	1	$177	177	+177	Yes	+$0	01-02 01:29
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on march 27	1	$177	177	+177	No	+$0	03-26 15:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 15?	1	$177	177	+177	No	+$0	05-14 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 17:21:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x311d6b…
08-05 19:02:41	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7bf081…
07-28 14:09:56	bitcoin above 68k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xded341…
06-22 21:01:43	ethereum above 2200 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x549988…
06-19 06:52:11	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9a3d76…
06-19 06:49:10	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe358f8…
06-19 06:46:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc134b5…
06-19 06:43:08	will spy reach 780 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x012d4d…
06-19 06:40:08	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x17480a…
06-16 16:51:29	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xccfc04…
06-11 18:40:28	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2008dc…
06-11 18:38:12	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0ad3f1…
06-11 18:35:46	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2d04f7…
06-11 18:33:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbf6df3…
06-10 07:31:25	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xead0dd…
06-03 06:11:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xb7ad37…
05-19 06:47:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x7c33dd…
05-14 19:56:38	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x9dc341…
05-14 19:51:01	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x16ae94…
05-14 03:29:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 15?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xbde15e…
05-11 06:26:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe60c88…
05-07 12:35:18	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa81157…
05-03 13:38:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x7ff1b5…
04-30 15:19:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xd95a91…
04-27 20:23:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 28?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x628d2f…
04-22 15:09:08	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x7e9fa5…
04-22 15:07:38	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xadce07…
04-22 15:01:34	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x02f2b0…
04-19 13:19:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 20	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x32e9c1…
04-16 11:01:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xa27da1…
04-13 11:51:15	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x3e2757…
04-08 06:18:47	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 8	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xd03757…
04-06 01:36:01	Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6dd371…
04-02 03:45:13	bitcoin above 76k on april 3	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xe8fb0a…
03-27 19:17:51	ethereum above 2500 on march 29	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x4fea9c…
03-26 15:00:11	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on march 27	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xfa416a…
03-24 15:41:15	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 25	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x789e47…
03-22 17:12:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 23	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xff542f…
03-20 12:24:29	ethereum above 2600 on march 21	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xad2d5d…
03-20 03:11:23	will sp 500 spx hit 5000 low in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x065aab…
03-18 12:18:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x045546…
03-16 13:36:47	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x6f99c3…
03-13 09:49:21	bitcoin above 58k on march 14	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x9ac675…
03-09 11:07:15	bitcoin above 58k on march 10	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x039a4b…
03-07 22:42:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 8	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x5b69b8…
03-06 21:58:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x991d7d…
03-03 06:44:43	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 4	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xf7825d…
02-27 01:59:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 27	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xa1e787…
02-24 06:15:22	bitcoin above 76k on february 26	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xb917de…
02-22 04:52:38	bitcoin above 76k on february 23	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x75b9f4…
02-19 09:00:30	ethereum above 2600 on february 21	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x4ee0d6…
02-16 23:10:11	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 18	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x0a8971…
02-16 02:12:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 16	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xa4474a…
02-13 09:22:39	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 15	No	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0xf138b6…
02-11 01:05:13	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 12	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xb88010…
02-10 00:00:31	bitcoin above 78k on february 10	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x0d0853…
02-08 02:56:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 9	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x0ac4a8…
02-06 03:28:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 7	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x534e26…
02-04 22:08:13	bitcoin above 84k on february 5	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x0d14bc…
02-02 08:12:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on february 3	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xfe51ce…
01-30 21:09:20	ethereum above 3300 on february 1	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0xb21218…
01-28 23:37:32	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 30	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x7cbe35…
01-26 22:26:15	bitcoin above 98k on january 28	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x9ed32c…
01-24 14:09:02	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 26	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x1a8913…
01-21 10:16:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 102000 104000 on january 23	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xa13737…
01-18 05:05:36	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xf34254…
01-16 01:06:24	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x25090e…
01-15 03:03:14	bitcoin above 82k on january 17	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x746018…
01-12 10:45:10	bitcoin above 102k on january 14	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xe0a146…
01-09 20:05:56	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 11	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xb28d78…
01-07 17:47:55	bitcoin above 82k on january 9	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x3ea8cf…
01-04 09:57:23	bitcoin above 80k on january 6	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x63a5e1…
01-02 01:29:41	bitcoin above 82k on january 2	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x67a434…