Unaware-Match — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$624

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.5%

Resolved

459

Trades

905

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-14 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 2% -$213

Other

38% 28% -$313

Politics

16% 23% -$108

Sports

7% 71% +$9

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	2	$610	1,000	1,000	+0	Knicks	+$10	04-10 03:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	4	$589	2,311	2,311	+0	Yes	+$12	06-02 17:56
nba cle atl 2026 04 10	2	$530	1,000	1,000	+0	Hawks	-$10	04-10 05:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$527	1,160	1,127	+33	Yes	-$7	07-28 16:37
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	20	$526	900	1,000	-100	No	+$54	02-26 16:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$423	900	900	+0	No	-$9	03-21 13:35
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$399	475	475	+0	No	+$2	07-08 16:42
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	4	$394	747	747	+0	No	-$10	07-15 16:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$394	500	500	+0	Yes	-$4	03-29 10:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$382	823	835	-12	No	-$4	06-16 05:59
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$368	400	400	+0	No	-$1	03-17 18:50
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	4	$360	597	597	+0	No	+$1	07-20 15:43
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 300 319	32	$348	1,400	1,100	+300	No	-$70	02-28 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	26	$344	525	600	-75	Yes	-$38	02-26 16:51
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$326	900	900	-0	Yes	-$8	03-29 11:02
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 0 99	22	$319	689	700	-11	No	-$47	02-28 06:32
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 19:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$298	250	250	+0	No	+$2	06-16 15:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$289	1,700	1,700	+0	No	-$17	05-28 04:54
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	39	$287	931	931	+0	No	-$15	02-26 16:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$284	430	430	+0	Yes	-$9	06-10 13:42
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 280 299	31	$282	850	650	+200	No	-$42	02-28 09:21
ethereum above 1700 on february 14	2	$278	777	0	+777	Yes	-$1	02-14 06:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$265	600	600	+0	No	-$23	06-19 10:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 7	2	$251	451	0	+451	No	$0	01-07 06:59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$250	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	02-24 12:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$250	651	651	+0	No	-$7	07-08 12:50
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	2	$240	1,200	1,200	+0	Michigan Wolverines	-$48	03-21 16:26
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	30	$233	990	950	+40	No	-$13	02-28 08:37
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	4	$223	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$9	03-16 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 08:19:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$10	0x3278a3…
07-28 16:37:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	80¢	$26	0x6b75df…
07-28 16:37:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	327	20¢	$66	0xbad4ba…
07-28 14:55:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	327	22¢	$71	0x3149a5…
07-28 14:46:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	300	23¢	$68	0xf9370a…
07-28 12:58:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	24¢	$71	0xccabfb…
07-20 15:43:18	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	300	30¢	$90	0xa53424…
07-20 15:41:51	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x19c2ac…
07-20 08:28:37	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	297	30¢	$90	0xf618cb…
07-20 08:16:30	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	297	31¢	$92	0xfefe93…
07-20 08:05:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	47¢	$93	0xba03c9…
07-20 07:52:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xc1e23f…
07-15 16:16:01	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	370	25¢	$92	0x77377e…
07-15 15:53:23	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	370	26¢	$96	0x8821c8…
07-15 14:20:11	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	377	26¢	$100	0x22227e…
07-15 13:31:11	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	377	28¢	$106	0x0d67b2…
07-08 16:42:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	38¢	$95	0x5fc6b7…
07-08 15:10:55	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	38¢	$95	0x84c8fb…
07-08 14:09:52	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xadd9fe…
07-08 14:00:07	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x8c3ae9…
07-08 14:00:07	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3be91a…
07-08 12:50:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	151	21¢	$32	0x60f0fb…
07-08 11:44:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	151	20¢	$31	0x9fde6c…
07-08 11:03:10	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	480	17¢	$82	0x705cc0…
07-08 08:21:47	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	480	22¢	$106	0x938614…
07-03 19:10:35	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	225	47¢	$106	0x078a01…
07-03 18:05:53	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	225	46¢	$103	0x687313…
06-25 19:31:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	18¢	$90	0xaa27d2…
06-25 18:58:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$98	0xa426f6…
06-25 13:42:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0x82ba12…
06-25 13:37:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xa588b8…
06-24 07:33:05	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xbc6ac5…
06-24 07:30:31	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5f6fcf…
06-24 07:30:02	bitcoin above 60k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x325c78…
06-24 07:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe1fb17…
06-24 07:27:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	0¢	$1	0x04addd…
06-24 07:27:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x47fae1…
06-19 10:48:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	600	20¢	$121	0x3f6168…
06-19 10:32:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	600	24¢	$144	0xc411a1…
06-17 12:46:40	bitcoin above 58k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdf2a26…
06-17 12:46:29	bitcoin above 60k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x57c854…
06-17 12:46:07	bitcoin above 72k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	824	0¢	$1	0xfaa032…
06-17 12:45:58	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd760ed…
06-17 12:45:49	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xda6cc1…
06-17 12:45:38	bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x698a37…
06-17 12:45:26	bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x088c68…
06-16 15:01:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0x381e3e…
06-16 13:55:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	77	59¢	$45	0x943be8…
06-16 13:55:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	173	59¢	$102	0x8faea4…
06-16 05:59:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	211	18¢	$38	0x46204f…
06-16 05:53:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xe92523…
06-16 05:49:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x40010e…
06-16 05:45:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x4fc0d2…
06-16 05:38:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	185	18¢	$33	0x8955cd…
06-15 15:26:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	600	24¢	$144	0x1c4793…
06-15 15:21:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0xa4a70c…
06-10 13:42:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0xff30d7…
06-10 13:42:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	32¢	$138	0x484b6c…
06-10 12:05:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	34¢	$146	0x68a94c…
06-09 07:01:55	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x5f0538…
06-09 07:00:21	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc6c8cf…
06-09 07:00:13	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe338b2…
06-09 07:00:06	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x10f556…
06-09 06:59:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xebb684…
06-09 06:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x85bb01…
06-09 06:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x653723…
06-09 06:58:46	Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xaf6dc6…
06-09 06:58:33	Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x731f1a…
06-05 08:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xa791d1…
06-05 07:58:49	Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x57d467…
06-05 07:57:40	bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x326a9a…
06-05 07:57:07	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x7e6986…
06-05 07:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x962d5a…
06-05 07:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x91f07c…
06-05 07:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x3904a7…
06-02 19:35:56	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	74¢	$149	0x36a2af…
06-02 19:33:28	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$149	0xed9d5c…
06-02 17:56:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	13¢	$156	0xbd7b50…
06-02 16:15:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	12¢	$144	0xc8e21c…
06-02 13:03:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,111	13¢	$144	0x7c9c3a…
06-02 10:30:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	13¢	$144	0x1673a1…
05-28 04:54:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,700	8¢	$136	0x3d48aa…
05-28 04:44:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,700	9¢	$153	0x858ae4…
05-27 07:50:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x320dcb…
05-27 07:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xde5532…
05-27 07:49:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9bba2f…
05-27 07:49:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x50dd85…
05-27 07:49:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xb81e01…
05-27 07:49:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x67e81d…
05-27 07:48:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xde2fa5…
05-27 07:48:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xac2f86…
05-27 07:47:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xea8bac…
05-27 07:47:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x131cab…
05-27 07:47:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x583862…
05-15 06:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x37c8a7…
05-15 06:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	825	0¢	$1	0x994b58…
05-15 06:37:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	394	0¢	$1	0x5af34c…
05-15 06:37:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$1	0xe40c31…
05-15 06:37:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x94902e…
05-15 06:34:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xabe026…