Possible-Reason — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.1%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$2.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-02 00:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-26

Sports

19% 100% +$1

Politics

7% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$78	48	48	+0	open	—	05-27 03:32
meta up or down on april 23 2026	4	$74	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 02:30
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	6	$67	63	63	+0	open	—	05-10 22:37
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	4	$65	88	88	+0	open	—	06-03 03:58
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$59	50	50	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 03:49
Thunder vs. Spurs	6	$54	72	22	+50	open	—	05-29 00:04
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$52	50	50	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 04:14
Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	4	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	04-28 01:50
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$50	50	50	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 05:57
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 01:49
highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 27c	2	$49	35	35	+0	open	—	04-20 21:53
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$45	31	31	+0	open	—	04-21 06:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 05:32
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	3	$41	20	40	-20	open	—	05-03 19:06
highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 26c	8	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	04-20 22:16
Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?	5	$40	48	48	+0	open	—	04-26 05:11
hood up or down on april 23 2026	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 02:28
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$37	20	40	-20	Yes	$-13	04-30 09:37
googl up or down on april 23 2026	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 02:31
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	3	$36	54	8	+46	open	—	05-24 01:45
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$36	28	28	+0	open	—	05-11 22:18
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$35	20	40	-20	open	—	04-21 00:23
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	2	$35	44	44	+0	open	—	05-18 19:12
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	06-07 05:21
Will "Batman" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$33	20	40	-20	open	—	04-29 19:06
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$32	50	50	+0	Up	$-1	05-08 04:26
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 21:33
Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$31	20	80	-60	open	—	04-29 06:09
Will "Nuclear" or "Nuke" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	04-26 05:11
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$30	36	7	+29	open	—	05-31 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:02:58	btc updown 5m 1782950400	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3c5b1c…
07-01 01:54:40	btc updown 5m 1782870600	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x68d3bd…
06-29 01:51:08	btc updown 5m 1782697800	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54374a…
06-27 05:20:19	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716829	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xd70426…
06-26 19:20:01	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x08295c…
06-26 19:18:16	will the announcers say handball during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700891	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x0c299f…
06-26 07:27:01	will the announcers say messi during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259143	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x5e101e…
06-26 07:20:41	will the announcers say knee during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250621	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xecd485…
06-26 07:17:37	will the announcers say messi during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259143	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xad501c…
06-26 06:14:32	will the announcers say handball during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700891	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1319d6…
06-26 05:44:47	will the announcers say handball during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700891	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29840a…
06-26 05:16:23	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe84063…
06-26 04:22:52	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x28de40…
06-26 04:22:46	will the announcers say champion during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259138	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xd91e70…
06-26 04:18:52	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x01c9f6…
06-26 04:18:35	will the announcers say champion during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259138	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x6ff3eb…
06-26 04:09:08	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716829	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x7ac313…
06-18 04:26:25	btc updown 5m 1781756700	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0c4d16…
06-16 05:24:46	btc updown 5m 1781587200	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xceb9f8…
06-11 03:52:00	btc updown 5m 1781149800	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf400f4…
06-10 04:45:30	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	San Diego Padres	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x49c172…
06-10 04:45:07	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	San Diego Padres	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x65b534…
06-09 04:11:18	mlb cin sd 2026 06 08	San Diego Padres	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xab1459…
06-08 03:33:31	xrp updown 5m 1780889400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6e61c7…
06-07 05:21:13	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x010a81…
06-07 05:05:43	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf90f04…
06-07 04:57:51	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x4e8543…
06-07 04:53:16	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xd2bd18…
06-07 04:49:15	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x3f1c89…
06-07 04:32:40	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	No	SELL	44	26¢	$11	0xf16f97…
06-07 00:47:33	btc updown 5m 1780793100	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf2eaee…
06-06 05:29:52	btc updown 5m 1780723500	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x538270…
06-05 04:10:52	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	No	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0xed1013…
06-05 03:42:45	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x3f30dc…
06-05 03:41:36	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3fd00a…
06-04 03:50:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xfe26fb…
06-04 03:50:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6b267e…
06-03 18:56:13	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x721777…
06-03 09:34:27	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x5bc55b…
06-03 07:18:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x6ff5c0…
06-03 04:03:26	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbdd1f1…
06-03 04:03:05	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x09fa2b…
06-03 03:58:34	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	No	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0x30ba74…
06-03 03:58:17	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	No	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x53bdf6…
06-03 03:56:40	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	31¢	$14	0x169bde…
06-03 03:55:18	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x53bf78…
06-02 10:42:43	Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x113f6e…
06-02 06:31:00	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xe64c32…
06-02 06:30:59	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x515998…
06-02 06:30:55	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0x78aebf…
06-02 06:30:22	Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xc824b1…
06-02 06:29:29	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x01d745…
06-02 06:26:26	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xdc2b8d…
06-02 03:53:09	Nothing Ever Happens: June	Something	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0x8179e7…
06-02 03:52:45	Nothing Ever Happens: June	Something	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xced6ef…
06-01 03:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55992b…
05-31 01:54:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x04ec6d…
05-31 01:54:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xaa0402…
05-31 01:53:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xba0304…
05-30 04:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xedaec8…
05-29 03:51:36	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x7dfc75…
05-29 00:04:48	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x17f9a3…
05-29 00:03:38	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbe89c1…
05-28 19:14:37	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xf3a456…
05-28 19:13:10	Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	10¢	$4	0x8f7777…
05-28 08:08:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x51a3f6…
05-28 08:06:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3e5048…
05-28 04:35:45	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0xbdcfe4…
05-28 04:23:47	Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0xd92f08…
05-27 19:31:56	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd19905…
05-27 03:45:49	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x50b4a7…
05-27 03:32:59	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x1c3323…
05-26 06:37:12	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x8042c7…
05-26 01:11:56	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3431e7…
05-25 01:17:56	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x1a2016…
05-25 01:10:33	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe54746…
05-24 07:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x99f87c…
05-24 01:45:13	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xb4f817…
05-24 00:56:09	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x425199…
05-24 00:50:14	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb3e60e…
05-23 02:07:59	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x83c8db…
05-23 00:05:55	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xe44292…
05-22 01:58:34	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0xbaba8b…
05-21 21:08:04	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x0c2ce1…
05-21 21:00:55	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x7749dd…
05-20 20:01:54	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x65bcd9…
05-18 19:12:50	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	33¢	$15	0x922b74…
05-18 06:34:57	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x381161…
05-18 00:08:08	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.60B?	No	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x9aaaf5…
05-18 00:06:00	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.60B?	No	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xd56002…
05-17 23:40:20	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.60B?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x31971c…
05-17 23:35:02	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.60B?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x846fa9…
05-17 21:03:57	Will Tête de femme by Picasso sell for $47M or more?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfed00e…
05-17 19:05:44	Will Tête de femme by Picasso sell for $47M or more?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x438939…
05-16 21:15:53	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x5f7202…
05-16 21:13:51	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc9fe03…
05-16 19:51:48	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xd91857…
05-16 19:44:53	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x53fa6c…
05-16 09:40:37	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xa284d7…
05-16 09:40:02	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x721774…