Possible-Reason — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.1%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$2.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-22 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-26

Sports

22% 100% +$1

Politics

6% 0% $-2

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	7	$94	80	80	+0	open	—	07-15 21:02
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$78	48	48	+0	open	—	05-27 03:32
meta up or down on april 23 2026	4	$74	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 02:30
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	6	$67	63	63	+0	open	—	05-10 22:37
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	4	$65	88	88	+0	open	—	06-03 03:58
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	6	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	07-15 04:38
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$59	50	50	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 03:49
Thunder vs. Spurs	6	$54	72	22	+50	open	—	05-29 00:04
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$52	50	50	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 04:14
Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	4	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	04-28 01:50
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$50	50	50	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 05:57
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 01:49
highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 27c	2	$49	35	35	+0	open	—	04-20 21:53
will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	5	$47	60	60	+0	open	—	07-15 21:02
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$45	31	31	+0	open	—	04-21 06:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 05:32
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	3	$41	20	40	-20	open	—	05-03 19:06
highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 26c	8	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	04-20 22:16
Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?	5	$40	48	48	+0	open	—	04-26 05:11
hood up or down on april 23 2026	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 02:28
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	5	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	07-17 01:06
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$37	20	40	-20	Yes	$-13	04-30 09:37
googl up or down on april 23 2026	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 02:31
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	3	$36	54	8	+46	open	—	05-24 01:45
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$36	28	28	+0	open	—	05-11 22:18
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$35	20	40	-20	open	—	04-21 00:23
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	2	$35	44	44	+0	open	—	05-18 19:12
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	06-07 05:21
Will "Batman" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$33	20	40	-20	open	—	04-29 19:06
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$32	50	50	+0	Up	$-1	05-08 04:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 04:05:12	mlb cin sea 2026 07 21	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x39ebff…
07-22 03:45:55	btc updown 5m 1784691900	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaa6437…
07-21 01:28:22	btc updown 5m 1784597100	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x87187e…
07-20 00:57:00	btc updown 5m 1784508900	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd32ce8…
07-19 21:28:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x5e2f75…
07-19 02:42:00	btc updown 5m 1784428800	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x59346f…
07-18 21:28:18	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb786f8…
07-18 04:42:00	will mikie sherrill attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357117	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xd8753b…
07-18 04:39:52	will zinedine zidane attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357140	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x61d258…
07-18 04:39:49	will rosalia attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357136	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x87b81d…
07-17 08:22:06	will mikie sherrill attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357117	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x096e36…
07-17 02:30:57	will zinedine zidane attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357140	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x8f5484…
07-17 01:59:10	will rosalia attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357136	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc30035…
07-17 01:06:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xb37848…
07-17 00:52:46	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x365753…
07-17 00:52:29	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xabb0f6…
07-17 00:51:38	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1aa203…
07-17 00:44:31	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xc1ea37…
07-17 00:40:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x1bbf45…
07-17 00:34:47	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x403ecc…
07-17 00:34:08	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x3a3f87…
07-17 00:33:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xf98454…
07-17 00:29:40	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x77965d…
07-17 00:24:47	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x7eb214…
07-17 00:17:41	will kristi noem attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357123	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x8bdcfd…
07-17 00:16:08	will kristi noem attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357123	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x243ef6…
07-17 00:12:05	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe71292…
07-15 21:02:19	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x7f3897…
07-15 21:02:16	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x10c14d…
07-15 08:11:59	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x219dd5…
07-15 08:11:53	will there be at least 2000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153972	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe1d7b4…
07-15 08:11:37	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe5260b…
07-15 08:11:28	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe5ff15…
07-15 06:34:49	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x33eca2…
07-15 06:25:19	will there be at least 2000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153972	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x16c60b…
07-15 06:24:05	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x741c58…
07-15 05:41:05	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xb28cd1…
07-15 05:32:13	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xff5e48…
07-15 05:26:08	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x68de26…
07-15 05:26:04	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x278ac3…
07-15 04:47:34	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4f0d89…
07-15 04:40:20	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb8fbec…
07-15 04:38:53	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xe757aa…
07-15 04:38:05	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe115a2…
07-15 04:37:07	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x2b8033…
07-15 04:35:29	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x6dd5ac…
07-15 04:35:25	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x03cd21…
07-15 04:34:35	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xc25eea…
07-15 04:34:02	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x32e5f4…
07-15 04:33:26	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0xbfe13b…
07-15 04:28:35	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0xa4f814…
07-15 04:24:29	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1bea79…
07-15 04:10:02	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4a159b…
07-15 04:08:41	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x8384ea…
07-15 04:01:37	will the announcers say back to back or back to back during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905968	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd45c6d…
07-15 03:45:50	will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153973	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x610e0f…
07-15 03:39:11	will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153973	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x4ed534…
07-15 03:25:11	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x2f8c7e…
07-15 03:24:04	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x5a96e9…
07-15 03:24:01	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xe33e0e…
07-15 03:23:07	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x214fd9…
07-15 03:13:52	xrp updown 5m 1784085000	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x40eac4…
07-14 01:04:49	xrp updown 5m 1783990800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa47856…
07-13 02:19:13	xrp updown 5m 1783908900	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2abeb8…
07-12 05:08:49	btc updown 5m 1783832700	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf932ec…
07-08 04:37:44	btc updown 5m 1783485300	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x34b079…
07-05 04:57:52	btc updown 5m 1783227300	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xba7d62…
07-04 04:59:37	btc updown 5m 1783140900	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa359e5…
07-03 04:18:14	btc updown 5m 1783052100	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcddb49…
07-02 00:02:58	btc updown 5m 1782950400	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3c5b1c…
07-01 01:54:40	btc updown 5m 1782870600	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x68d3bd…
06-29 01:51:08	btc updown 5m 1782697800	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54374a…
06-27 05:20:19	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716829	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xd70426…
06-26 19:20:01	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x08295c…
06-26 19:18:16	will the announcers say handball during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700891	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x0c299f…
06-26 07:27:01	will the announcers say messi during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259143	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x5e101e…
06-26 07:20:41	will the announcers say knee during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250621	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xecd485…
06-26 07:17:37	will the announcers say messi during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259143	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xad501c…
06-26 06:14:32	will the announcers say handball during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700891	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1319d6…
06-26 05:44:47	will the announcers say handball during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700891	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29840a…
06-26 05:16:23	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe84063…
06-26 04:22:52	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x28de40…
06-26 04:22:46	will the announcers say champion during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259138	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xd91e70…
06-26 04:18:52	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250630	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x01c9f6…
06-26 04:18:35	will the announcers say champion during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259138	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x6ff3eb…
06-26 04:09:08	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716829	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x7ac313…
06-18 04:26:25	btc updown 5m 1781756700	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0c4d16…
06-16 05:24:46	btc updown 5m 1781587200	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xceb9f8…
06-11 03:52:00	btc updown 5m 1781149800	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf400f4…
06-10 04:45:30	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	San Diego Padres	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x49c172…
06-10 04:45:07	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	San Diego Padres	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x65b534…
06-09 04:11:18	mlb cin sd 2026 06 08	San Diego Padres	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xab1459…
06-08 03:33:31	xrp updown 5m 1780889400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6e61c7…
06-07 05:21:13	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x010a81…
06-07 05:05:43	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf90f04…
06-07 04:57:51	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x4e8543…
06-07 04:53:16	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xd2bd18…
06-07 04:49:15	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x3f1c89…
06-07 04:32:40	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	No	SELL	44	26¢	$11	0xf16f97…
06-07 00:47:33	btc updown 5m 1780793100	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf2eaee…